AZ Snake Pit - Game #138, 9/2: Diamondbacks 14, Padres 7An unofficial Arizona Diamondbacks community and bloghttps://cdn.vox-cdn.com/community_logos/47033/azsnakepit_f.png2019-09-02T21:01:40-04:00http://www.azsnakepit.com/rss/stream/206086712019-09-02T21:01:40-04:002019-09-02T21:01:40-04:00Diamondbacks 14, Padres 7: Labor Day Grind
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<img alt="San Diego Padres v Arizona Diamondbacks" src="https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/7TNzEoSrm2tNpZWjw9muIS-v_Fk=/0x103:3975x2753/1310x873/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_image/image/65158905/1171821733.jpg.0.jpg" />
<figcaption>Photo by Norm Hall/Getty Images</figcaption>
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<p>A brisk game that was shaping up to be a laugher turned into a grind in the sixth, due to a Christian Walker fielding miscue. Thankfully, however, the offense kept piling on...</p> <p id="NSjIQp">Since Sling TV dropped Fox Sports Arizona from its service, it’s taken some doing for me to regain the ability to watch D-Backs games live, so I don’t think I’d actually seen a <span>Mike Leake</span> start until now. I know that lots of folks here in the Snake Pit have been unenthusiastic about him, but I was definitely interested to have a look at the guy.</p>
<p id="DdKnvJ"><span>Leake</span> started off a bit shaky, alternating outs with line drive singles to <span>Nick Martini</span> and <span>Eric Hosmer</span> in the first, and surrendering a leadoff single to <a href="https://www.gaslampball.com/">Padres</a> second baseman <span>Ty France</span> before retiring the next three batters in the top of the second.</p>
<p id="1i2weq">Padres starter <span>Cal Quantrill</span> had a similarly blemished first inning, giving up a one-out single to <span>Josh Rojas</span> before sitting down <span>Ketel Marte</span> and <span>Eduardo Escobar</span> on a productive ground out to first and a fly ball to center. Like <span>Leake</span>, too, he gave up a leadoff single to <span>Christian Walker</span>. This is where the starters’ paths diverged, though, as new Diamondback <span>Abraham Almonte</span> followed with a single to right that allowed Walker to reach third. Almonte, meanwhwile, astutely advanced to second as the throw from Padres right fielder Jose Naylor missed the cut-off man. <span>Nick Ahmed</span> followed with another single, this time to center, scoring Walker. <span>Alex Avila</span> then struck out swinging, which was a bummer, and then <span>Leake</span> grounded out to second. That out, at least, was productive, as Almonte was able to score from third on the play. The offense wasn’t done yet, though. <span>Dyson</span> drew a walk that scored Ahmed from third, as the fourth ball was also a wild pitch that rolled to the backstop. Josh Rojas followed with his second hit of the game, a double to left that allowed <span>Dyson</span> to come around and score from first. It was a nice little hit parade that kept the line moving. Then <span>Ketel Marte</span> did this:</p>
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<p lang="en" dir="ltr">"I wanna score this inning too..." -Ketel Marte, probably <a href="https://t.co/MXcT6bhWnD">pic.twitter.com/MXcT6bhWnD</a></p>— FOX Sports Arizona (@FOXSPORTSAZ) <a href="https://twitter.com/FOXSPORTSAZ/status/1168630266748735488?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">September 2, 2019</a>
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<p id="V2WIFm">Escobar ended the Padres’ pain, at least temporarily, by popping out the third to end the inning, but we’d just put up a very nice, very crooked number. <strong>6-0 D-BACKS</strong></p>
<p id="SRd56z"><span>Leake</span>, meanwhile, started off the third with another leadoff single, this time to Padres center fielder Manuel Margot. <span>Martini</span> lined out to short, though, and <span>Manny Machado</span> hit into a slick Ahmed-<span>Marte</span>-Walker double play. In fact, that single was the last Padre who Leake would allow to reach base until the sixth inning, which we’ll be getting to shortly.</p>
<p id="Q1p8rF">Meanwhile, the <a href="https://www.azsnakepit.com/">Diamondbacks</a> put <span>Nick Ahmed</span> in scoring position in the third thanks to the first of Padres shortstop <span>Luis Urias</span>’ two errors, followed by an <span>Alex Avila</span> single to center. Leake, though, couldn’t get them home. We went down in order in the fourth, which was in fact the only clean inning the Padres pitching staff was able to manage in the entire game. </p>
<p id="Lpxz3A">The Diamondbacks tacked on a couple more runs in the fifth, thanks to an <span>Eduardo Escobar</span> leadoff single, followed after a <span>Christian Walker</span> strikeout, followed by a <span>Nick Ahmed</span> single Almonte’s second hit of the game, a single to the right side that France knocked down but couldn’t hold onto. Ahmed then struck out, but <span>Alex Avila</span> came up with an unexpectedly clutch double that almost snuck over the right field wall:</p>
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<p lang="en" dir="ltr">Alex Avila gets in on the action with a 2-run double making it 8-0 <a href="https://twitter.com/Dbacks?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">@Dbacks</a> in the 5th! <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/RattleOn?src=hash&ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#RattleOn</a> <a href="https://t.co/KILhrmJ0Nk">pic.twitter.com/KILhrmJ0Nk</a></p>— FOX Sports Arizona (@FOXSPORTSAZ) <a href="https://twitter.com/FOXSPORTSAZ/status/1168641937269608448?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">September 2, 2019</a>
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<p id="tS7n0f">Leake struck out to end the frame, but hooray, another crooked number! <strong>8-0 D-BACKS</strong></p>
<p id="FqChq3">And then the sixth inning happened. Bear in mind, Leake was cruising, sitting down the Padres and doing it very efficiently. He was at 64 pitches when the inning began, and it took him seven pitches to get both Margot and Martini to ground out to Escobar at third. So <span>Manny Machado</span> is up, and he hits a weakish pop-up into foul territory in front of the Padres dugout. It wasn’t a TOWERING pop-up by any means, but <span>Christian Walker</span> had plenty of time to get over there and make a play. He didn’t exactly hustle, though, so rather than getting underneath the ball, he wound up trying to backhand it. He failed. This totally should have been an error, except that it was a foul ball, so it couldn’t be scored that way. However. After that pitch, which should have ended the inning, it wound up taking Leake 28 more pitches to get out of the inning. See, <span>Machado</span> managed to draw a walk, followed by a weird <span>Hosmer</span> bloop double in the no-man’s land behind third base. <span>Josh Naylor</span> then singled to left, scoring <span>Machado</span>. THEN Ty France hit one out to left center, a three-run shot. Luis Urias then hit a soft grounder back to the mound, and Leake threw wide left to first, missing Walker entirely and allowing the ball to roll off into shallow right field. That wound up not being called an error either, because Almonte hustled over, barehanded the ball, and threw a strike to Ahmed at second to cut down Urias, who was trying to advance. That ended it, thankfully, but what had been looking like a plausible complete game shutout for Leake had been completely thrown into disarray. <strong>8-4 D-BACKS</strong></p>
<p id="M1WzE0">The good guys, though, didn’t let it get them down. Quantrill had left the game by this point, so we were treated to <span>Javy Guerra</span>, the first of the Padre relievers we would deal with. <span>Jarrod Dyson</span> struck out looking to lead off the inning on a <em><strong>truly</strong></em> terrible call (one of several on the day) by home plate umpire Ted Barrett. His teammates, I suppose, decided they’d have to take a different approach, one that didn’t give Barrett any opportunity at all to weigh in. Josh Rojas got his third hit of the game, an absolute bomb to right field that went about fifteen rows back in the bleachers. <span>Marte</span> grounded out to first, but then Escobar got in on the action too, a shot down the right field line that just stayed fair. Then Walker launched one up into the home run porch in left center. Here they all are:</p>
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<p lang="en" dir="ltr">So a lot just happened in the <a href="https://twitter.com/Dbacks?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">@Dbacks</a> 6th inning... <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/RattleOn?src=hash&ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#RattleOn</a> <a href="https://t.co/d9JhxEKMcl">pic.twitter.com/d9JhxEKMcl</a></p>— FOX Sports Arizona (@FOXSPORTSAZ) <a href="https://twitter.com/FOXSPORTSAZ/status/1168652068954857472?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">September 2, 2019</a>
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<p id="VpyNd9">Almonte followed the Walker dinger with a mere double into the gap in right center, and Marte brought him home with a single to left. Once more, Alex Avila ended the Padres’ pain (again temporarily) with an unceremonious swinging K. <strong>12-4 D-BACKS</strong></p>
<p id="OfHLYk">Leake recorded one out in the seventh before being pulled at 94 pitches. It was a much better start than his line would suggest, as none of the badness that ensued in the previous inning would have happened if Walker had just caught that foul ball. <span>Robby Scott</span> came in to face lefty shortstop <span>Greg Garcia</span>, who had been double-switched for Urias when <span>Guerra</span> had entered the game, and promptly walked him. He then walked Margot, before finally managing to record an out by inducing Martini to pop up to Ahmed. He then gave way to <span>Stefan Crichton</span>, who, in sharp contrast to his predecessor, only needed two pitches to notch the third out.</p>
<p id="rNuzcd">Meanwhile, the Diamondbacks added on a couple more, with replacement catcher <span>Caleb Joseph</span> (he’d come in with <span>Scott</span>) stroking a leadoff single to right. Dyson struck out for the second time in a row, but Rojas singled for his <strong>fourth</strong> hit of the game. Marte followed with a double to left that everyone initially seemed to think was a foul ball, but which scored both <span>Joseph</span> and Rojas once everyone started actually running the bases. <strong>14-4 D-BACKS</strong></p>
<p id="zipwIk"><span>Jon Duplantier</span> came out to start the eighth, and after retiring the first batter he faced, proceeded to make a mess of things, issuing three walks and walking in a runner before recording the second out of the inning. He then gave up two more hits before being yanked for <span>Jimmie Sherfy</span>, who struck out some rando Padres replacement player on three pitches to put a stop to it. <strong>14-7 D-BACKS</strong></p>
<p id="YmcDrO">And that was pretty much all she wrote. The Diamondbacks threatened again in their half of the eighth, and <span>Sherfy</span> pitched a scoreless ninth.</p>
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<strong>WIN PROBABILITY</strong>, courtesy of <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/livewins.aspx?date=2019-09-02&team=Diamondbacks&dh=0&season=2019">Fangraphs</a>
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<p id="Jf1cPB"><strong>On Fire: </strong><span><strong>Mike Leake</strong></span><strong> (+11.1 WPA - pitching), Nick Ahmed (+14.5 WPA), Josh Rojas (+11.1 WPA), </strong><span><strong>Abraham Almonte</strong></span><strong> (+10.8)</strong></p>
<p id="1lKU4P"><strong>Garbage Fire: Christian Walker, for dropping that foul ball</strong></p>
<p id="ckWXXj">The Game Day Thread was pretty lively, it seems, especially for a Monday (and a holiday that often features cookouts and whatnot instead of staying indoors watching baseball), with 380 comments by 23 commenters. All present and accounted for were: AzDbackfanInDc, DBacksEurope, DORRITO, GuruB, Hannibal4467, Jack Sommers, Jim McLennan, Johnneu, Makakilo, MesaDBacksFan, Michael McDermott, MikeMono, MrMrrbi, NikT77, Rockkstarr12, Smurf1000, SongBird, William Kubas, edbigghead, kilnborn, ofinn29, onedotfive, since_98</p>
<p id="mJUJUY"><s>No Sedona Red today, so I’m just going to accept that we have no CoTG. Sad, really, but what can ya do?</s><s><strong> </strong></s><strong>UPDATE:</strong> <a href="http://www.sbnation.com/users/Rockkstarr12">Rockkstarr12</a> objected in the comments section, so I checked again, and found one that somehow magically became Sedona Red enough to work with. So CotG goes to <a href="http://www.sbnation.com/users/kilnborn">kilnborn</a>, for this very fair observation regarding baserunning speed demon <span>Alex Avila</span>:</p>
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<p id="lMORgY">Join us again tomorrow when <span>Merrill Kelly</span> faces off against the Padres’ bullpen, for whatever reason. First pitch is 6:40pm, Arizona time. </p>
<p id="i5Oakh">I hope everyone had/is having a lovely Labor Day. As always, thanks for reading, Go D-Backs!</p>
https://www.azsnakepit.com/2019/9/2/20845309/diamondbacks-14-padres-7-labor-day-grindDano_in_Tucson2019-09-02T16:00:00-04:002019-09-02T16:00:00-04:00Gameday Thread, #138: 9/2 vs. Padres
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<img alt="‘The Great Fire of London, 1666’, (c1666)." src="https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/0vSeJYbuSvSWeojiUIGD3lUZsXM=/0x605:4681x3726/1310x873/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_image/image/65157742/464477645.jpg.0.jpg" />
<figcaption>Photo by Museum of London/Heritage Images/Getty Images</figcaption>
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<p lang="en" dir="ltr">September 2 - 1666: England - The Great Fire of London broke out and burned for three days, destroying 10,000 buildings including St Paul's Cathedral. history</p>— Today In History (@Yesterday_Today) <a href="https://twitter.com/Yesterday_Today/status/1168527246434418690?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">September 2, 2019</a>
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https://www.azsnakepit.com/2019/9/2/20844699/gameday-thread-137-9-1-vs-dodgersJim McLennan2019-09-02T15:00:00-04:002019-09-02T15:00:00-04:00Preview, #138: 9/2 vs. Padres
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<img alt="Colorado Rockies v Arizona Diamondbacks" src="https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/qnw6dW8HvyCwJfDhlxfCT_5pfMo=/0x0:4404x2936/1310x873/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_image/image/65157480/1169428131.jpg.0.jpg" />
<figcaption>Photo by Jennifer Stewart/Getty Images</figcaption>
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<p>Time to start a new winning streak. </p> <div id="EcNxFi">
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<h3>Today's Lineups</h3>
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<th align="left">PADRES</th>
<th align="left">DIAMONDBACKS</th>
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<td class="td-last td-name">Manuel Margot - CF</td>
<td class="td-first td-name">Jarrod Dyson - CF</td>
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<td class="td-last td-name">Nick Martini - LF</td>
<td class="td-first td-name">Josh Rojas - LF</td>
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<td class="td-last td-name">Manny Machado - 3B</td>
<td class="td-first td-name">Ketel Marte - 2B</td>
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<td class="td-last td-name">Eric Hosmer - 1B</td>
<td class="td-first td-name">Eduardo Escobar - 3B</td>
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<td class="td-last td-name">Josh Naylor - RF</td>
<td class="td-first td-name">Christian Walker - 1B</td>
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<td class="td-last td-name">Ty France - 2B</td>
<td class="td-first td-name">Abraham Almonte - RF</td>
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<td class="td-last td-name">Luis Urias - SS</td>
<td class="td-first td-name">Nick Ahmed - SS</td>
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<td class="td-last td-name">Austin Hedges - C</td>
<td class="td-first td-name">Alex Avila - C</td>
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<td class="td-last td-name">Cal Quantrill - RHP</td>
<td class="td-first td-name">Mike Leake - RHP</td>
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<p id="aIpywc">After coming within two outs of the first ever four-game sweep of the Dodgers, the D-backs should be in good mental shape for a home series against what <em>should</em> be a significantly easier opponent in the Padres. I say “should”, because San Diego has more or less had its way with Arizona so far this year. We have won only three out of the ten contests between the two teams. With nine games against the Padres in the final month, that is going to have to change, and change quickly, if the Diamondbacks’ flickering, rekindled hopes of wild-card contention are going to be sustained. We probably need to go at least 6-3; winning every series should do it. </p>
<p id="UkCNPp">However, it has been more than three months since we last encountered the Padres, with the previous time we faced them all the way back on May 22. At that point, they were still above .500, and just one game back in the wild-card race. Since then, they have gone 38-48, for the fourth-worst record in the NL over that time, as the latest attempt by San Diego to spend their way to contention proved premature. with Eric Hosmer in particular being a flop. So far, they’ve paid him $42 million and he has been worth 1.8 bWAR. He’s on the books for SIX more seasons, unless he opts out after 2022, which doesn’t look likely. There’s also Manny Machado, who has been okay, rather than great (3.2 bWAR). </p>
<p id="cF4nXZ">Standing in the way of victory for Arizona today is Mike Leake. Yeah, he finally won a game last time out, pitching into the eighth inning and allowing only two runs. However, he had good fortune with balls in play that day, only four of the 24 turning into hits. That more or less regressed his BABIP average as a Diamondback, dropping it from .367 to .320. The lack of strikeouts is a real issue. Small sample size, but of the 171 pitches to have thrown 25 innings for the D-backs, Leake’s K-rate of 3.45 is ranked 170th. He’s ahead only of... Jason Grimsley, and the sole other Arizona pitcher below 3.75 is Casey Daigle. These are not players with anyone would want to be associated. </p>
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https://www.azsnakepit.com/2019/9/2/20844646/preview-138-9-2-vs-padresJim McLennan