AZ Snake Pit - Crowd Sourcing 2019 Arizona Diamondbacks ProjectionsAn unofficial Arizona Diamondbacks community and bloghttps://cdn.vox-cdn.com/community_logos/47033/azsnakepit_f.png2019-03-14T14:00:00-04:00http://www.azsnakepit.com/rss/stream/179721902019-03-14T14:00:00-04:002019-03-14T14:00:00-04:00Crowd Sourcing Diamondbacks Over/Under Projections: #39 Yasmany Tomas
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<img alt="MLB: Spring Training-Arizona Diamondbacks at Colorado Rockies" src="https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/PPN0RIL1zGDeMOMAlMTzPzdGtBo=/0x0:2981x1987/1310x873/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_image/image/63234257/usa_today_10648521.0.jpg" />
<figcaption>Cheryl Evans-USA TODAY Sports</figcaption>
</figure>
<p>El Tanque fights to get back on the 40 man roster</p> <p id="vDDQYX"><em>If familiar with this series go ahead and skip to poll. If not, please read on.</em></p>
<p id="fMqC0i">This series of articles will run from now until shortly before opening day. The purpose is to crowd source the D-Backs fans of this website to get a sense of how they feel about the prospects of each individual player on the <a href="http://m.dbacks.mlb.com/roster/40-man/">40 man roster</a>. </p>
<p id="MJcMAl">For this exercise I will only be using rate (average) stats and poll the readers on their sense of direction for that player’s level of basic performance, regardless of playing time expectations. I’m not including defense and base running, so no WAR here, as that is playing time dependent. </p>
<p id="itIZpq">You will be given two poll options: The player will either exceed the projection or under perform the projection by 5% for hitters OPS or 10% for pitchers ERA/FIP. There is no middle option to vote on. (Otherwise the majority of votes would end up agreeing with the projection). What I am looking for is if you are forced to indicate your sense of direction for the player, is it well over or under the projection?</p>
<p id="BP2PJa"><strong>Other Points of note:</strong></p>
<ul>
<li id="MPIdvZ">Projections are the average of <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/projections.aspx?pos=all&stats=bat&type=steamer&team=15&lg=all&players=0&sort=20,d">Steamer</a> and <a href="https://blogs.fangraphs.com/2019-zips-projections-arizona-diamondbacks/">ZIPS projections</a>. (Click through for original tables)</li>
<li id="gTuUnu">The projections draw on 3 or 4 year samples, weighting most recent seasons the heaviest, but I’m just showing 2018 and career stats in mini table below for simplicity</li>
<li id="iIKId5">The player’s name is high lighted with a link to the player’s Baseball-Reference page. Click on that to see more player history and detail</li>
<li id="oh0zC5">Age is the 2019 player age. </li>
<li id="SuXRYO">Polls will run until mid March, so if you miss a player, you can go to the story stream box on the front page and find a player you might have missed . </li>
</ul>
<p id="rve8vV"><strong>Please let us know in the comments section your thoughts behind your vote. Thanks !</strong></p>
<p id="Dk9q2o"><strong>CONTEXT</strong></p>
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<p id="13PIJP"><a href="https://www.baseball-reference.com/register/player.fcgi?id=tomas-001yas">Yasmany Tomas </a>, age </p>
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<img alt=" " data-mask-text="false" src="https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/QECaZS5x0cjJFA-Jh_Mm9AZkPY4=/400x0/filters:no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/15960434/Screen_Shot_2019_03_13_at_5.22.35_PM.png">
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<p id="1NldZY">Yasmany Tomas has a projection for a .711 OPS. Is he likely to come in over or under ?</p>
<div id="GQx9gX"><div data-anthem-component="poll:6007278"></div></div>
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https://www.azsnakepit.com/2019/3/14/18264786/crowd-sourcing-diamondbacks-over-under-projections-39-yasmany-tomasJack Sommers2019-03-13T14:00:00-04:002019-03-13T14:00:00-04:00Crowd Sourcing Diamondbacks Over/Under Projections: #38 Kevin Cron
<figure>
<img alt="Arizona Diamondbacks Photo Day" src="https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/AS4PBdhsmJgtUPQsc8F837yWN7Y=/1x0:6478x4318/1310x873/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_image/image/63231197/921631218.jpg.0.jpg" />
<figcaption>Photo by Christian Petersen/Getty Images</figcaption>
</figure>
<p>Cron will start the year in Reno but could get a chance in 2019</p> <p id="vDDQYX"><em>If familiar with this series go ahead and skip to poll. If not, please read on.</em></p>
<p id="fMqC0i">This series of articles will run from now until shortly before opening day. The purpose is to crowd source the D-Backs fans of this website to get a sense of how they feel about the prospects of each individual player on the <a href="http://m.dbacks.mlb.com/roster/40-man/">40 man roster</a>. </p>
<p id="MJcMAl">For this exercise I will only be using rate (average) stats and poll the readers on their sense of direction for that player’s level of basic performance, regardless of playing time expectations. I’m not including defense and base running, so no WAR here, as that is playing time dependent. </p>
<p id="itIZpq">You will be given two poll options: The player will either exceed the projection or under perform the projection by 5% for hitters OPS or 10% for pitchers ERA/FIP. There is no middle option to vote on. (Otherwise the majority of votes would end up agreeing with the projection). What I am looking for is if you are forced to indicate your sense of direction for the player, is it well over or under the projection?</p>
<p id="BP2PJa"><strong>Other Points of note:</strong></p>
<ul>
<li id="MPIdvZ">Projections are the average of <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/projections.aspx?pos=all&stats=bat&type=steamer&team=15&lg=all&players=0&sort=20,d">Steamer</a> and <a href="https://blogs.fangraphs.com/2019-zips-projections-arizona-diamondbacks/">ZIPS projections</a>. (Click through for original tables)</li>
<li id="gTuUnu">The projections draw on 3 or 4 year samples, weighting most recent seasons the heaviest, but I’m just showing 2018 and career stats in mini table below for simplicity</li>
<li id="iIKId5">The player’s name is high lighted with a link to the player’s Baseball-Reference page. Click on that to see more player history and detail</li>
<li id="oh0zC5">Age is the 2019 player age. </li>
<li id="SuXRYO">Polls will run until mid March, so if you miss a player, you can go to the story stream box on the front page and find a player you might have missed . </li>
</ul>
<p id="rve8vV"><strong>Please let us know in the comments section your thoughts behind your vote. Thanks !</strong></p>
<p id="Dk9q2o"><strong>CONTEXT</strong></p>
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<img alt=" " data-mask-text="false" src="https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/CR1YtTYIQjBlai7TYdHbN7hGhWE=/400x0/filters:no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/13736425/NL_Position_Players_2017_18.jpg">
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<p id="13PIJP"><a href="https://www.baseball-reference.com/register/player.fcgi?id=cron--000kev">KEVIN CRON</a> Age 26</p>
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<img alt=" " data-mask-text="false" src="https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/LG-cJ8E9cq4kN0EB9R742Zh7-dI=/400x0/filters:no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/15959018/Cron_Over_Under.jpg">
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<p id="ZGlwpJ">Kevin Cron has a projection for a .723 OPS. Is he likely to come in over or under ?</p>
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https://www.azsnakepit.com/2019/3/13/18263883/crowd-sourcing-diamondbacks-over-under-projections-38-kevin-cronJack Sommers2019-03-12T14:00:00-04:002019-03-12T14:00:00-04:00Crowd Sourcing Diamondbacks Over/Under Projections: #37 Taylor Widener
<figure>
<img alt="Arizona Diamondbacks Photo Day" src="https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/_uPv6vQ1j0h0lhu_3BK7Ky9VOWw=/0x130:4135x2887/1310x873/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_image/image/63224375/1130999270.jpg.0.jpg" />
<figcaption>Photo by Christian Petersen/Getty Images</figcaption>
</figure>
<p>Yet another DBacks prospect knocking on the door</p> <p id="vDDQYX"><em>If familiar with this series go ahead and skip to poll. If not, please read on.</em></p>
<p id="fMqC0i">This series of articles will run from now until shortly before opening day. The purpose is to crowd source the D-Backs fans of this website to get a sense of how they feel about the prospects of each individual player on the <a href="http://m.dbacks.mlb.com/roster/40-man/">40 man roster</a>. </p>
<p id="MJcMAl">For this exercise I will only be using rate (average) stats and poll the readers on their sense of direction for that player’s level of basic performance, regardless of playing time expectations. I’m not including defense and base running, so no WAR here, as that is playing time dependent. </p>
<p id="JEPCgC">You will be given two poll options: The player will either exceed the projection or under perform the projection by 5% for hitters OPS or 10% for pitchers ERA/FIP. There is no middle option to vote on. (Otherwise the majority of votes would end up agreeing with the projection). What I am looking for is if you are forced to indicate your sense of direction for the player, is it well over or under the projection?</p>
<p id="BP2PJa"><strong>Other Points of note:</strong></p>
<ul>
<li id="MPIdvZ">Projections are the average of <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/projections.aspx?pos=all&stats=bat&type=steamer&team=15&lg=all&players=0&sort=20,d">Steamer</a> and <a href="https://blogs.fangraphs.com/2019-zips-projections-arizona-diamondbacks/">ZIPS projections</a>. (Click through for original tables)</li>
<li id="gTuUnu">The projections draw on 3 or 4 year samples, weighting most recent seasons the heaviest, but I’m just showing 2018 and career stats in mini table below for simplicity</li>
<li id="iIKId5">The player’s name is high lighted with a link to the player’s Baseball-Reference page. Click on that to see more player history and detail</li>
<li id="oh0zC5">Age is the 2019 player age. </li>
<li id="SuXRYO">Polls will run until mid March, so if you miss a player, you can go to the story stream box on the front page and find a player you might have missed . </li>
</ul>
<p id="rve8vV"><strong>Please let us know in the comments section your thoughts behind your vote. Thanks !</strong></p>
<p id="mY8he9"><strong>CONTEXT </strong></p>
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<img alt=" " data-mask-text="false" src="https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/xT8ZtFU05PDPjLZW5KdzcFcycek=/400x0/filters:no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/13736429/NL_Pitchers_2017_18.jpg">
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<p id="2Fctzr"><a href="https://www.baseball-reference.com/register/player.fcgi?id=widene000tay">Taylor Widener</a> , Age 24</p>
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<img alt=" " data-mask-text="false" src="https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/8IHjXJ9cthmQqQseyT6zAWxc5yw=/400x0/filters:no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/15956674/Widener_Over_Under.jpg">
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<p id="fycTjx">Taylor Widener has projection for a 4.49 ERA/4.53 FIP. Do you think he is likely to come in over or under ?</p>
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https://www.azsnakepit.com/2019/3/12/18261854/crowd-sourcing-diamondbacks-over-under-projections-37-taylor-widenerJack Sommers2019-03-11T14:00:00-04:002019-03-11T14:00:00-04:00Crowd Sourcing Diamondbacks Over/Under Projections: #36 Adam Jones
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<img alt="Baltimore Orioles v Houston Astros" src="https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/t38XM_s0gUyVAwWiu-YxioI9hPA=/0x48:3505x2385/1310x873/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_image/image/63215857/941610428.jpg.0.jpg" />
<figcaption>Photo by Bob Levey/Getty Images</figcaption>
</figure>
<p>The veteran outfielder brings his resume to Arizona</p> <p id="vDDQYX"><em>If familiar with this series go ahead and skip to poll. If not, please read on.</em></p>
<p id="fMqC0i">This series of articles will run from now until shortly before opening day. The purpose is to crowd source the D-Backs fans of this website to get a sense of how they feel about the prospects of each individual player on the <a href="http://m.dbacks.mlb.com/roster/40-man/">40 man roster</a>. </p>
<p id="MJcMAl">For this exercise I will only be using rate (average) stats and poll the readers on their sense of direction for that player’s level of basic performance, regardless of playing time expectations. I’m not including defense and base running, so no WAR here, as that is playing time dependent. </p>
<p id="itIZpq">You will be given two poll options: The player will either exceed the projection or under perform the projection by 5% for hitters OPS or 10% for pitchers ERA/FIP. There is no middle option to vote on. (Otherwise the majority of votes would end up agreeing with the projection). What I am looking for is if you are forced to indicate your sense of direction for the player, is it well over or under the projection?</p>
<p id="BP2PJa"><strong>Other Points of note:</strong></p>
<ul>
<li id="MPIdvZ">Projections are the average of <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/projections.aspx?pos=all&stats=bat&type=steamer&team=15&lg=all&players=0&sort=20,d">Steamer</a> and <a href="https://blogs.fangraphs.com/2019-zips-projections-arizona-diamondbacks/">ZIPS projections</a>. (Click through for original tables)</li>
<li id="gTuUnu">The projections draw on 3 or 4 year samples, weighting most recent seasons the heaviest, but I’m just showing 2018 and career stats in mini table below for simplicity</li>
<li id="iIKId5">The player’s name is high lighted with a link to the player’s Baseball-Reference page. Click on that to see more player history and detail</li>
<li id="oh0zC5">Age is the 2019 player age. </li>
<li id="SuXRYO">Polls will run until mid March, so if you miss a player, you can go to the story stream box on the front page and find a player you might have missed . </li>
</ul>
<p id="rve8vV"><strong>Please let us know in the comments section your thoughts behind your vote. Thanks !</strong></p>
<p id="Dk9q2o"><strong>CONTEXT</strong></p>
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<img alt=" " data-mask-text="false" src="https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/CR1YtTYIQjBlai7TYdHbN7hGhWE=/400x0/filters:no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/13736425/NL_Position_Players_2017_18.jpg">
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<p id="4Z8zB4"><a href="https://www.baseball-reference.com/players/j/jonesad01.shtml">ADAM JONES</a> , Age 33</p>
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<p id="1NldZY">Adam Jones has a projection for a .737 OPS. Is he likely to come in over or under ?</p>
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https://www.azsnakepit.com/2019/3/11/18259746/crowd-sourcing-diamondbacks-over-under-projections-36-adam-jonesJack Sommers2019-03-10T14:00:00-04:002019-03-10T14:00:00-04:00Crowd Sourcing Diamondbacks Over/Under Projections: #35 Ildemaro Vargas
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<img alt="Arizona Diamondbacks v San Diego Padres" src="https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/2PZyIox65MPWlSpu74mnZiUWl9I=/0x276:3271x2457/1310x873/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_image/image/63211899/1043209724.jpg.0.jpg" />
<figcaption>Photo by Denis Poroy/Getty Images</figcaption>
</figure>
<p>The utility man continues to fight for a spot on the roster</p> <p id="vDDQYX"><em>If familiar with this series go ahead and skip to poll. If not, please read on.</em></p>
<p id="fMqC0i">This series of articles will run from now until shortly before opening day. The purpose is to crowd source the D-Backs fans of this website to get a sense of how they feel about the prospects of each individual player on the <a href="http://m.dbacks.mlb.com/roster/40-man/">40 man roster</a>. </p>
<p id="MJcMAl">For this exercise I will only be using rate (average) stats and poll the readers on their sense of direction for that player’s level of basic performance, regardless of playing time expectations. I’m not including defense and base running, so no WAR here, as that is playing time dependent. </p>
<p id="itIZpq">You will be given two poll options: The player will either exceed the projection or under perform the projection by 5% for hitters OPS or 10% for pitchers ERA/FIP. There is no middle option to vote on. (Otherwise the majority of votes would end up agreeing with the projection). What I am looking for is if you are forced to indicate your sense of direction for the player, is it well over or under the projection?</p>
<p id="BP2PJa"><strong>Other Points of note:</strong></p>
<ul>
<li id="MPIdvZ">Projections are the average of <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/projections.aspx?pos=all&stats=bat&type=steamer&team=15&lg=all&players=0&sort=20,d">Steamer</a> and <a href="https://blogs.fangraphs.com/2019-zips-projections-arizona-diamondbacks/">ZIPS projections</a>. (Click through for original tables)</li>
<li id="gTuUnu">The projections draw on 3 or 4 year samples, weighting most recent seasons the heaviest, but I’m just showing 2018 and career stats in mini table below for simplicity</li>
<li id="iIKId5">The player’s name is high lighted with a link to the player’s Baseball-Reference page. Click on that to see more player history and detail</li>
<li id="oh0zC5">Age is the 2019 player age. </li>
<li id="SuXRYO">Polls will run until mid March, so if you miss a player, you can go to the story stream box on the front page and find a player you might have missed . </li>
</ul>
<p id="rve8vV"><strong>Please let us know in the comments section your thoughts behind your vote. Thanks !</strong></p>
<p id="Dk9q2o"><strong>CONTEXT</strong></p>
<figure class="e-image">
<img alt=" " data-mask-text="false" src="https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/CR1YtTYIQjBlai7TYdHbN7hGhWE=/400x0/filters:no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/13736425/NL_Position_Players_2017_18.jpg">
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<p id="4Z8zB4"><a href="https://www.baseball-reference.com/register/player.fcgi?id=vargas001ild">Ildemaro Vargas</a> , age 27</p>
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<p id="3Aarqy">Ildemaro Vargas has a projection for a .691 OPS. IS he likely to come in over or under ?</p>
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https://www.azsnakepit.com/2019/3/10/18258519/crowd-sourcing-diamondbacks-over-under-projections-35-ildemaro-vargasJack Sommers2019-03-09T13:00:00-05:002019-03-09T13:00:00-05:00Crowd Sourcing Diamondbacks Over/Under Projections: #34 Joey Krehbiel
<figure>
<img alt="MLB: St. Louis Cardinals at Arizona Diamondbacks" src="https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/X20gJRtAF7OL7R5tvfdwpD1EDYQ=/0x0:2254x1503/1310x873/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_image/image/63207870/usa_today_10921550.0.jpg" />
<figcaption>Joe Camporeale-USA TODAY Sports</figcaption>
</figure>
<p>The 8 year minor leaguer hopes to get a chance in 2019</p> <p id="vDDQYX"><em>If familiar with this series go ahead and skip to poll. If not, please read on.</em></p>
<p id="fMqC0i">This series of articles will run from now until shortly before opening day. The purpose is to crowd source the D-Backs fans of this website to get a sense of how they feel about the prospects of each individual player on the <a href="http://m.dbacks.mlb.com/roster/40-man/">40 man roster</a>. </p>
<p id="MJcMAl">For this exercise I will only be using rate (average) stats and poll the readers on their sense of direction for that player’s level of basic performance, regardless of playing time expectations. I’m not including defense and base running, so no WAR here, as that is playing time dependent. </p>
<p id="JEPCgC">You will be given two poll options: The player will either exceed the projection or under perform the projection by 5% for hitters OPS or 10% for pitchers ERA/FIP. There is no middle option to vote on. (Otherwise the majority of votes would end up agreeing with the projection). What I am looking for is if you are forced to indicate your sense of direction for the player, is it well over or under the projection?</p>
<p id="BP2PJa"><strong>Other Points of note:</strong></p>
<ul>
<li id="MPIdvZ">Projections are the average of <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/projections.aspx?pos=all&stats=bat&type=steamer&team=15&lg=all&players=0&sort=20,d">Steamer</a> and <a href="https://blogs.fangraphs.com/2019-zips-projections-arizona-diamondbacks/">ZIPS projections</a>. (Click through for original tables)</li>
<li id="gTuUnu">The projections draw on 3 or 4 year samples, weighting most recent seasons the heaviest, but I’m just showing 2018 and career stats in mini table below for simplicity</li>
<li id="iIKId5">The player’s name is high lighted with a link to the player’s Baseball-Reference page. Click on that to see more player history and detail</li>
<li id="oh0zC5">Age is the 2019 player age. </li>
<li id="SuXRYO">Polls will run until mid March, so if you miss a player, you can go to the story stream box on the front page and find a player you might have missed . </li>
</ul>
<p id="rve8vV"><strong>Please let us know in the comments section your thoughts behind your vote. Thanks !</strong></p>
<p id="mY8he9"><strong>CONTEXT </strong></p>
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</figure>
<p id="2Fctzr"><a href="https://www.baseball-reference.com/register/player.fcgi?id=krehbi000jos">JOEY KREHBIEL</a> Age 26</p>
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</figure>
<p id="RiHaGW">Joey Krehbiel is projected to have a 4.28 ERA/4.27 FIP. Is he likely to come in over or under ?</p>
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https://www.azsnakepit.com/2019/3/9/18257164/crowd-sourcing-diamondbacks-over-under-projections-34-joey-krehbielJack Sommers2019-03-08T12:00:00-05:002019-03-08T12:00:00-05:00Crowd Sourcing Diamondbacks Over/Under Projections: #33 Jon Duplantier
<figure>
<img alt="Arizona Fall League All Star Game" src="https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/Dz-eEKqoUa5My3FIjj84RQDNZ7Q=/0x0:3580x2387/1310x873/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_image/image/63201949/1057540672.jpg.0.jpg" />
<figcaption>Photo by Christian Petersen/Getty Images</figcaption>
</figure>
<p>With a mid 2019 ETA the big righty’s time is fast approaching</p> <p id="vDDQYX"><em>If familiar with this series go ahead and skip to poll. If not, please read on.</em></p>
<p id="fMqC0i">This series of articles will run from now until shortly before opening day. The purpose is to crowd source the D-Backs fans of this website to get a sense of how they feel about the prospects of each individual player on the <a href="http://m.dbacks.mlb.com/roster/40-man/">40 man roster</a>. </p>
<p id="MJcMAl">For this exercise I will only be using rate (average) stats and poll the readers on their sense of direction for that player’s level of basic performance, regardless of playing time expectations. I’m not including defense and base running, so no WAR here, as that is playing time dependent. </p>
<p id="JEPCgC">You will be given two poll options: The player will either exceed the projection or under perform the projection by 5% for hitters OPS or 10% for pitchers ERA/FIP. There is no middle option to vote on. (Otherwise the majority of votes would end up agreeing with the projection). What I am looking for is if you are forced to indicate your sense of direction for the player, is it well over or under the projection?</p>
<p id="BP2PJa"><strong>Other Points of note:</strong></p>
<ul>
<li id="MPIdvZ">Projections are the average of <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/projections.aspx?pos=all&stats=bat&type=steamer&team=15&lg=all&players=0&sort=20,d">Steamer</a> and <a href="https://blogs.fangraphs.com/2019-zips-projections-arizona-diamondbacks/">ZIPS projections</a>. (Click through for original tables)</li>
<li id="gTuUnu">The projections draw on 3 or 4 year samples, weighting most recent seasons the heaviest, but I’m just showing 2018 and career stats in mini table below for simplicity</li>
<li id="iIKId5">The player’s name is high lighted with a link to the player’s Baseball-Reference page. Click on that to see more player history and detail</li>
<li id="oh0zC5">Age is the 2019 player age. </li>
<li id="SuXRYO">Polls will run until mid March, so if you miss a player, you can go to the story stream box on the front page and find a player you might have missed . </li>
</ul>
<p id="rve8vV"><strong>Please let us know in the comments section your thoughts behind your vote. Thanks !</strong></p>
<p id="mY8he9"><strong>CONTEXT </strong></p>
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<img alt=" " data-mask-text="false" src="https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/xT8ZtFU05PDPjLZW5KdzcFcycek=/400x0/filters:no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/13736429/NL_Pitchers_2017_18.jpg">
</figure>
<p id="2Fctzr"><a href="https://www.baseball-reference.com/register/player.fcgi?id=duplan000jon">JON DUPLANTIER</a> Age 24</p>
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</figure>
<p id="xjcIZK">Jon Duplantier has a projection for a 4.29 ERA/4.27 FIP. Is he likely to come in over or under?</p>
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https://www.azsnakepit.com/2019/3/8/18255603/crowd-sourcing-diamondbacks-over-under-projections-33-jon-duplantierJack Sommers2019-03-07T13:00:00-05:002019-03-07T13:00:00-05:00Crowd Sourcing Diamondbacks Over/Under Projections: #32 Tim Locastro
<figure>
<img alt="Arizona Diamondbacks Photo Day" src="https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/gvmtENVaV-qeH0IfbBLtGgT5dOY=/0x291:4113x3033/1310x873/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_image/image/63196122/1130999337.jpg.0.jpg" />
<figcaption>Photo by Christian Petersen/Getty Images</figcaption>
</figure>
<p>The versatile player hopes to land a job with the Dbacks in 2019</p> <p id="vDDQYX"><em>If familiar with this series go ahead and skip to poll. If not, please read on.</em></p>
<p id="fMqC0i">This series of articles will run from now until shortly before opening day. The purpose is to crowd source the D-Backs fans of this website to get a sense of how they feel about the prospects of each individual player on the <a href="http://m.dbacks.mlb.com/roster/40-man/">40 man roster</a>. </p>
<p id="MJcMAl">For this exercise I will only be using rate (average) stats and poll the readers on their sense of direction for that player’s level of basic performance, regardless of playing time expectations. I’m not including defense and base running, so no WAR here, as that is playing time dependent. </p>
<p id="itIZpq">You will be given two poll options: The player will either exceed the projection or under perform the projection by 5% for hitters OPS or 10% for pitchers ERA/FIP. There is no middle option to vote on. (Otherwise the majority of votes would end up agreeing with the projection). What I am looking for is if you are forced to indicate your sense of direction for the player, is it well over or under the projection?</p>
<p id="BP2PJa"><strong>Other Points of note:</strong></p>
<ul>
<li id="MPIdvZ">Projections are the average of <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/projections.aspx?pos=all&stats=bat&type=steamer&team=15&lg=all&players=0&sort=20,d">Steamer</a> and <a href="https://blogs.fangraphs.com/2019-zips-projections-arizona-diamondbacks/">ZIPS projections</a>. (Click through for original tables)</li>
<li id="gTuUnu">The projections draw on 3 or 4 year samples, weighting most recent seasons the heaviest, but I’m just showing 2018 and career stats in mini table below for simplicity</li>
<li id="iIKId5">The player’s name is high lighted with a link to the player’s Baseball-Reference page. Click on that to see more player history and detail</li>
<li id="oh0zC5">Age is the 2019 player age. </li>
<li id="SuXRYO">Polls will run until mid March, so if you miss a player, you can go to the story stream box on the front page and find a player you might have missed . </li>
</ul>
<p id="rve8vV"><strong>Please let us know in the comments section your thoughts behind your vote. Thanks !</strong></p>
<p id="Dk9q2o"><strong>CONTEXT</strong></p>
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<p id="4Z8zB4"><a href="https://www.baseball-reference.com/register/player.fcgi?id=locast000tim">TIM LOCASTRO</a> Age 26</p>
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<p id="9mXcLf">Tim Locastro has a projection for a .686 OPS. Is he likely to come in over or under ?</p>
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https://www.azsnakepit.com/2019/3/7/18254303/crowd-sourcing-diamondbacks-over-under-projections-32-tim-locastroJack Sommers