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D-backs Preview #41: 5/16 vs. Nationals

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Injuries. Injuries EVERYWHERE...

Commonwealth Games Village Sports Complex Converted Into Covid-19 Care Centre

Today's Lineups

NATIONALS DIAMONDBACKS
Trea Turner - SS Pavin Smith - 1B
Juan Soto - RF Josh Rojas - RF
Ryan Zimmerman - 1B Eduardo Escobar - 3B
Kyle Schwarber - LF David Peralta - LF
Starlin Castro - 3B Stephen Vogt - C
Alex Avila - C Domingo Leyba - 2B
Jordy Mercer - 2B Nick Ahmed - SS
Erick Fedde - RHP Tim Locastro - CF
Victor Robles - CF Luke Weaver - RHP

Last night, the D-backs were involved in another blowout game, winning by a sever-run margin. There have been a lot of those - in both directions - this year. That was the fifteenth game this season decided by a margin of five runs or more, in just 40 contests. For comparison, there were only eleven such last year, in 20 more games played. Arizona are 8-7 in these blowouts, despite being outscored by 12 runs in them. When the D-backs get blown out, they tend to get really blown-out, like Friday’s loss by fifteen runs. Most such defeats - five of the seven - have been by eight or more. In contrast, half their blowout wins have been by the bare minimum of five runs, and they have just one victory by an 8+ run margin.

In contrast, the team are 1-6 in one-run games. That came in a 5-4 win against the Reds in Cincinnati. If you subscribe to the theory that one-run results are basically a coin flip, Arizona’s record in other games is 17-16. But their Pythagorean record, based on runs scored and allowed, is below .500 at 18-22, being skewed by the blowout losses. I think the reality is somewhere between those two, but the picture is infinitely muddied by all the injuries. It’s hard to tell if the D-backs are living up to expectations, when they haven’t been able to put out their optimal line-up once this year. Two-thirds of that line-up are currently on the IL: Ketel Marte, Kole Calhoun, Christian Walker, Carson Kelly, Asdrubal Cabrera and Zac Gallen.

Torey Lovullo notes

  • Torey was asked a lot of questions about the recent elbow injuries, with the beat writers trying to put them into context against one another.
  • J.B.B. Bukauskas’ injury was described as a right elbow flexor strain in the team’s release. Torey said he didn’t bring it up yesterday as they were still gathering information and he did not want to give incomplete or incorrect info. Asked if this was also a UCL injury, Torey finally acknowledged that’s a concern as well. He declined to compare it in severity to Zac Gallen’s injury. The player and team are still “gathering info” before deciding next steps. J.B.B first felt it during his last outing (or this is the first that the team had heard about it).
  • Chris Devenski going straight to 60 day IL clearly indicates an injury that is more severe. Asked if surgery was likely, Torey responded “He is weighing all his options.”
  • Ketel Marte is on his way to Reno right now and will play a rehab game tomorrow and then be evaluated.

Torey Lovullo Audio [or link]