Diamondbacks Offseason Outlook after World Series run

Photo by Norm Hall/Getty Images

Last October, I wrote my first ever snakepit paragraph, about how should we approach offseason. This year, for obvious reason, the season last longer than probably all dbacks fans would expect, would like to start the offseason outlook party, by proposing some of my ideas.

Guaranteed Contracts(36.475M):

  • Ketel Marte - $13,600,000
  • Merrill Kelly - $8,500,000
  • Miguel Castro - $5,000,000 (vesting option depends on physical)
  • Corbin Carroll - $3,625,000
  • Jace Peterson - $3,000,000 (5M salary has 2M covered by the A's)
  • Scott McGough - $2,750,000

Arbitration-Eligible Players(37.31M):

  • Christian Walker - $12,700,000
  • Zac Gallen - $10,900,000
  • Paul Sewald - $7,300,000
  • Kyle Lewis - $1,610,000
  • Kevin Ginkel - $1,400,000
  • Ryan Thompson - $1,300,000
  • Austin Adams - $1,100,000
  • Joe Mantiply - $1,000,000
(projection via MLBTR)

Kyle Lewis and Austin Adams will be non-tender candidate for me. Mantiply has a miserable regular season, but I don't think Andrew Saalfrank and Kyle Nelson is enough for our left-handed bullpen, so I will keep him for rather low cost.

Other Spending(16.5M):

  • Madison Bumgarner - $14,000,000
  • Mark Melancon buyout - $2,000,000
  • Zach Davies buyout - $500,000
declining Melancon's option is a no-brainer.

Free Agents:

Evan Longoria, Lourdes Gurriel Jr., Tommy Pham

brief summary-

Entering offseason, our financial commitment is right at 90M, according to BP, dbacks 2023 opening day payroll was 116M, for a team trending upward, it pretty safe to say we has a least 20+M budget to spend.

After World Series concluded, Ken Kendrick said on Gambo's show that the World Series run created an unplanned economic windfall and will use that to build our roster. He did not give an exactly number, but I hope it will at least be close to our highest opening day payroll, which was 131M in 2018, the year after the wild-card season, thus giving us 40M space.

team needs-

  • SP3 - Gallen&Merrill will headline our rotation, but we still need someone who is able to give us quality innings, this is a hole that Hazen failed to address in two windows (last offseason and trade deadline).
  • Right-handed OF - With LGJ & Pham entering free agent market, our OF rosters are once again left-handed heavy, Kyle Lewis didn't look like a realistic option giving his legs and performance in the Major, so we should a least find one RHB OF to balance our line-up.
  • 3B - We should be able to find out soon whether Longo will keep playing. If Longo didn't retire, I think he will be staying in the valley and spilt time with Rivera and Peterson. If he did retire, we shall a least consider some outside help.
  • bullpen - with Sewald, Ginkel, Thompson, our bullpen is in its best shape in years.
  • backup C - someone with better bat to move Herrera down the depth chart.

My Proposals-

1. sign LF Lourdes Gurriel Jr.

Gurriel provided value in many aspect, found his power back, improved in defense (finished #3 in Fielding Bible), great clubhouse guy, veteran leadership. He isn't eligible for qualified offer, thus making him a tougher sign but I still project him to get something between AAV 10-12M for 4-5years.

(alternative option: trade prospects for OF Lane Thomas, provide power & speed, his great arm can push Corbin to LF, and hope McKay can help improve his jump. McCarthy )

2. sign SP Jordan Montgomery

My top target at TDL, feel like dbacks never get close to acquire him. A steady inning eater and left-handed pitcher, very good fit to balance our rotation. I think his 2nd half performance earn him something close to Robbie Ray's 5Y/115M contract.

(other SP targets for me: Sonny Gray, Shota Imanaga)

3. trade for 3B Nolan Arenado

I don't think Matt Chapman or Jeimer Candelario is really a good fit for us and 3B beside them are weak. Arenado at least provide good defense and some upside in his bat, he's at his lows and Cardinals needs to eat some of his contract to get better prospects back. Arenado has full NTC, so very unlikely this will happen.

4. extend C Gabriel Moreno

His playoff performance looks like legit corner stone, it probably the best chance for us to buy out some of his free agent years.

5. sign LHP Will Smith

hoping for 4 straight World Series Champion!

Final Though

Dbacks is clearly in a position to spend, but this free agent class looks pretty thin on the position player side, as for the pitching, I think I will a least consider some of the frontline type, Zac probably going to hit free agency after two years and Merrill is getting older, so we got to prepare for it. I also don't see many trade fit this early into offseason, but Hazen is really good at addressing team need through trade market, so I will be looking forward to his trick.

The expectation for this winter will be high, I don't need this team to be a big spender, but I would like to see their commitment for the next World Series run!