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Arizona Diamondbacks September confidence poll

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Dead cat bounce?

Series of frames of a cat falling. Cinematography enabled Muybridge and Marey to study the locomotion of animals. From ‘Les dernieres merveilles de la science’ (The Latest Marvels of Science), Paris, c1895. Physiology... Photo by Universal History Archive/Getty Images

August results

For the first time since the beginning of May, things did not get worse for fan confidence. Admittedly, there was basically a hard cap on how bad things could get, since we came into this poll at a 1.59. But there was still room for the team to challenge the all-time low of 1.47, set back during the dark days of the Dave Stewart regime, in August 2016. But it looks like a combination of the team’s better play in July, signing our first-round pick, etc. provided just enough optimism to sidestep a new record. Here’s the figures from the beginning of August this time:

  • 57% - 1 (not confident in the slightest)
  • 21% - 2
  • 8% - 3
  • 11% - 4
  • 2% - 5
  • 0% - 6
  • 0% - 7
  • 2% - 8
  • 0% - 9 (very, very, VERY confident)

While we still see 96% sitting at four or below - the same as last month - the percentage in the very bottom “1” category did drop significantly, from 77% at the start of July. About half of those went up to a “2”, but “4” showed the next biggest increase, going from 4% to 11%. All told, the average improved by just over a quarter of a point, increasing from 1.59 to 1.87. While still only the fifth month in poll history to return a value below 2.0, it’s the highest result since May, so perhaps the worst is over?

Below, you can see the breakdown for the past 12 polls’ results, followed by the line graph showing the trends over this and previous seasons.

September poll

August wasn’t quite as good a month for the D-backs as July - though was still a great deal better than May and June. Going into last night’s finale for the month, the team sat at an 11-17 record, compared to 11-12 in July. Though, oddly, their run differential for August was better, at -28, compared to -37 for July. Ketel Marte had been the best player, hitting .310 with five home-runs, while Tyler Gilbert probably deserves Pitcher of the Month honors, though I can’t quite recall why. On the other hand, Jordan Lawlar’s pro debut was brief, before he joined Corbin Carroll on the season-ending injury list. So, what does this all mean in terms of confidence? You tell me. No, really...

The poll is below, feel free to explain your choice in the comments, especially if it has changed from the August poll.

Poll

How confident are you about the Diamondbacks?

This poll is closed

  • 37%
    1 (not confident in the slightest)
    (26 votes)
  • 24%
    2
    (17 votes)
  • 11%
    3
    (8 votes)
  • 11%
    4
    (8 votes)
  • 5%
    5
    (4 votes)
  • 2%
    6
    (2 votes)
  • 2%
    7
    (2 votes)
  • 0%
    8
    (0 votes)
  • 4%
    9 (very, very, VERY confident)
    (3 votes)
70 votes total Vote Now