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Arizona Diamondbacks July confidence poll

a.k.a. The Great Crash of June 2021...

Bray Head, Ireland, 1867 Photo by: Universal History Archive/Universal Images Group via Getty Images

June results

If you tuned in last time, you’ll recall that the May poll showed the biggest increase in the history of these polls, more than doubling to reach 5.43 at the beginning of May. This was as the Diamondbacks surpassed expectations, fending off a slew of injuries to reach a high-water mark of 15-13. Well done! And, then... May happened. It was the worst month in franchise history [well, to that point...], as the team went 5-24. The rotation fell apart, the hitters couldn’t get a clutch hit, and the bullpen was certainly something beginning with “bull”. Probably unsurprisingly, the results from the poll at the beginning of June reflected this terrible, horrible, no good, very bad month.

  • 61% - 1 (not confident in the slightest)
  • 16% - 2
  • 13% - 3
  • 4% - 4
  • 2% - 5
  • 2% - 6
  • 0% - 7
  • 0% - 8
  • 1% - 9 (very, very, VERY confident)

You will not be surprised to hear that, after a record increase last month, this poll is the biggest drop in the history of these polls. The only previous time there was a decrease of more than three full points was from April to May 2016, when it went from 7.07 to 4.05 in a month. Here, it was 5.43 to 1.76, a drop of 3.57. Oddly, June does seem to be the month where dreams go to die. Previous big declines were in 2018 (2.64) and 2019 (2.69). There has been just one increase in the six June polls, a mere +0.13 in 2017.

Below, you can see the breakdown for the past 12 polls’ results, followed by the line graph showing the trends over this and previous seasons.

July poll

Echoing previous sentiments... And, then, June happened. You thought May was bad? “Hold my beer,” said June, as the Diamondbacks won just three games the entire month, posting a 3-24 record. It’s the worst full month in the majors since the 2012 Astros also went 3-24 in July that year. So, we’re looking good to be 2026 World Series champions... On the plus side, I don’t expect a further record drop, because this scale doesn’t go below “1”. But I don’t rule out the possibility of an all-time low score.

The poll is below, feel free to explain your choice in the comments, especially if it has changed from the June poll.


How confident are you about the Diamondbacks?

This poll is closed

  • 76%
    1 (not confident in the slightest)
    (60 votes)
  • 10%
    (8 votes)
  • 5%
    (4 votes)
  • 3%
    (3 votes)
  • 0%
    (0 votes)
  • 1%
    (1 vote)
  • 0%
    (0 votes)
  • 0%
    (0 votes)
  • 2%
    9 (very, very, VERY confident)
    (2 votes)
78 votes total Vote Now