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Arizona Diamondbacks January confidence poll

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New year, new Diamondbacks?

New Year 2020 In Gaza Photo by Majdi Fathi/NurPhoto via Getty Images

November results

Yeah, November. Because I forgot to post a poll at the start of December. But I guess, given that was just before the winter meetings, there probably wasn’t much point. The sole roster move of significance in November was the signing of Stephen Vogt, which I suspect would not exactly have moved the needle much. Sorry, Stephen. And if you’re going to forget a poll, doing so at the beginning or end of the year does the least damage to our collection of graphs!

  • 0% - 1 (not confident in the slightest)
  • 2% - 2
  • 5% - 3
  • 7% - 4
  • 13% - 5
  • 15% - 6
  • 35% - 7
  • 17% - 8
  • 6% - 9 (very, very, VERY confident)

Not much change through the month of October, though I feel I must point out that “3” received exactly seven votes for the third consecutive month. We were also zero-free for the first time sinze the beginning of September 2018. All told though, there was a slight drifting down: the 7-9 range all dropped. though by no more than 4.5%. But it doesn’t appear that there were many wholesale changes, and I suspect those who changed their votes were mostly by one or two slots.

The overall average dropped by three-tenths of a point, and on November 1, sat at 6.38. Interestingly, over the past three months it has been following, albeit at slightly lower levels, the 2017 numbers. In September, this year was 0.61 lower; in October, the gap was 0.65; and it’s now closed to 0.51. Generally, there does tend to be a slow drop-off from the end of the season through the end of the year, before numbers recover as we head towards spring training. Below, you can see the breakdown for the past 12 months’ results, followed by the line graph showing the averages.

January poll

Since we last checked in with you, there have been a number of changes. The team released a bunch of free agents whose names you might know, including Matt Koch, Robbie Scott and Braden Shipley. Vogt was signed, as was reliever Junior Guerra and outfield Kole Calhoun. But the big move was, obviously, the signing of Madison Bumgarner to a long-term contract with the D-backs. However, there are still things to be done, and there is money left to do them. The question of who will man center-field remains to be decided, as do the fate of Robbie Ray, and whether or not we need another bullpen arm.

Below is the poll. As usual, let us know your confidence rating and the reasoning behind it, in the comments, especially if it has changed over the last month.

Poll

How confident are you about the Diamondbacks?

This poll is closed.

  • 2%
    1 (not confident in the slightest)
    (6 votes)
  • 0%
    2
    (1 vote)
  • 1%
    3
    (4 votes)
  • 2%
    4
    (8 votes)
  • 5%
    5
    (17 votes)
  • 19%
    6
    (56 votes)
  • 37%
    7
    (109 votes)
  • 20%
    8
    (59 votes)
  • 10%
    9 (very, very, VERY confident)
    (30 votes)
290 votes total Vote Now