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Preview, #131: 8/25 @ Brewers

Sub-mediocrity looms again...

MLB: Arizona Diamondbacks at Colorado Rockies Isaiah J. Downing-USA TODAY Sports

Today's Lineups

Ketel Marte - CF Lorenzo Cain - CF
Tim Locastro - RF Keston Hiura - 2B
Eduardo Escobar - 2B Christian Yelich - RF
Christian Walker - 1B Ryan Braun - LF
Jake Lamb - 3B Yasmani Grandal - 1B
Josh Rojas - LF Mike Moustakas - 3B
Nick Ahmed - SS Manny Pina - C
Alex Avila - C Orlando Arcia - SS
Robbie Ray - LHP Zach Davies - RHP

The D-backs again find themselves sitting at the lower edge of their long-running dance around the .500 mark. The team is currently at two games below .500, needing a win this afternoon to become the all-time most mediocre franchise in baseball history. Well, providing you measure it by length of streak within two games of .500, anyway. As mentioned in the recap yesterday, the D-backs have been there for 56 consecutive games, which ties the record. The streak has teetered on the edge of being broken multiple times, since they entered the two-game zone after losing to the Rockies on June 18. Here are the previous times, and the results.

  • Jun 19, 38-36: L 3-6 vs. COL
  • Jun 23, 38-40: W 3-2 vs. SFG
  • Jul 5, 43-45: W 8-0 vs. COL
  • Jul 13, 47-45: L 2-4 @ STL
  • Jul 18, 49-47: L 1-5 vs. MIL
  • Jul 20, 50-48: L 3-8 vs. MIL
  • Aug 3, 54-56: W 18-7 vs. WSN
  • Aug 10, 59-57: L 0-4 @ LAD
  • Aug 14, 61-59: L 6-7 @ COL
  • Aug 18, 61-63L W 6-1 vs. SFG

That’s ten consecutive games in which the result went the necessary way. If you assume a 50/50 shot in each, you have odds of more than a thousand to one against (1,023-1, to be precise). Can the D-backs make it 11 (and odds of 2,047-1)? A lot will have to do with what Robbie Ray manages, on his return to the rotation after a brief IL stint due to back spasms. If he’s 100% fit, and throwing like he’s capable, then we’ll be in with a chance. On the other hand, the offense has hit a feeble .103/.188/.138 over the first two games, for an OPS of just .325. If that continues, then what Ray does becomes almost irrelevant. I think it’s time for a breakout, and suspect Arizona might win a blow-out and continue that mediocrity,