June was certainly a better month for the Diamondbacks than May, as they went 15-13, outscoring the opposition 136-134. That compares to the disappointing 11-17 record in May - even though they had a better run differential, at +19. Go figure. Still, it’s the wins and losses that matter, and that’s typically what drives the confidence figure more than anything else. At least we had a decent turnout for this poll, with close to twice the number of voters as the previous month. Here are the results.
- 11% - 1 (not confident in the slightest)
- 8% - 2
- 15% - 3
- 17% - 4
- 22% - 5
- 16% - 6
- 7% - 7
- 2% - 8
- 2% - 9 (very, very, VERY confident)
Still no great consensus here, but the most popular choice inches up, being 22% at a 5, compared to last month’s favorite, the 21% who chose four. Generally, there was an upwards shift, with 1 through 4 all seeing a drop in popularity, while 5-9 all increased, to varying, albeit small degrees. 5 was the biggest gainer, picking up six percentage points, with the rest above it gaining between one and four percent. As a result, the overall average increased by almost three-quarters of a point, going up from 3.60 to 4.33. Interestingly, this maintains the trend whereby 2019 has mirrored the direction (up or down) of change in confidence last season, every month so far. The overall level has, of course, been lower.
Below, you can see the breakdown for the past 12 months’ results, followed by the line graph showing the averages. You’ll see what I mean in the second chart, how the green line (2019) is mirroring the changes in the yellow one (2018).
July was... what it was, I guess. The team ended up with a losing record, albeit only just (11-12) - again, just like in June, despite outscoring the opposition handily (119-97). However, this was a month of importance, with the team playing a number of their rivals in the NL wild-card hunt. Their only decent result there was a sweep of the slumping Colorado Rockies. Those struggles, along with the underwhelming results against the bottom-feeding Orioles and Marlins, significantly cooled playoff talk. But there was a sudden flurry of activity at the trade deadline, including the departure of Zack Greinke, and those moves are likely to play a significant role in the results here.
So, how does that all affect your confidence? As usual, it’s entirely up to you how to interpret the question, e.g. short- or long-term, on or off the field, etc. Explanations for your selection in the comments are welcome.
How confident are you about the Diamondbacks?
This poll is closed
1 (not confident in the slightest)
9 (very, very, VERY confident)