Hope springs eternal when spring training begins. That’s one of the mantras of baseball, with every team having a 0-0 record. Did that apply for the Diamondbacks, after a winter probably best described as “troubled”? Certainly, there was plenty of room for improvement in optimism, with confidence having been at a low for the calendar month in four consecutive polls. But there had been a small improvement from January to February: would that continue on into March? Here are the tallies from the poll at the beginning of the momth.
- 14% - 1 (not confident in the slightest)
- 9% - 2
- 18% - 3
- 19% - 4
- 11% - 5
- 15% - 6
- 9% - 7
- 2% - 8
- 5% - 9 (very, very, VERY confident)
That is indeed a little better than last month, in particular a further drop in those at the bottom of the list. Each of 1, 2, and 3 are all down in percentage terms from last month. In particular, 1’s have dropped by more than a third, going from 21.8% to 13.6%. At the other end, the percentage who voted 7 or better - an endangered species over the winter - reached 15.2%, the best figure since the beginning of September, and almost triple the 5.3% recorded in February’s poll. If you’re doing the math, you’ll have figured out that the middle remained kinda stable. Though I imagine it’s more like 3’s turning into 4’s, and 6’s to 7’s, rather than 1’s suddenly undergoing an epiphany and going to 9’s...
Below, you can see the breakdown of voting for the past year. Time progresses from the top down, beginning with the April 2018 poll.
The average improved by three-quarters of a point overall, and now sits at 4.20. That was the best figure since November - though it still extended the run of lowest figure for the month of March in the four years I’ve been running this. The previous low was 4.98 in March of 2017, and at this point last year, it was 6.81. Here’s the chart with all the poll averages, and you can see how 2019 has consistently been at an all-time low as far as confidence goes.
Technically, this should have come out on Monday, being the first of April. It’s probably for the best in terms of confidence that I forgot, given that would have put it right after the worst four games ever to start a season, in terms of D-backs pitching. A little more perspective has likely been gained after a 3-4 road-trip which likely falls relatively close to what was expected. However, since we last asked you, the team lost Stephen Souza for the season, Socrates Brito is now a
Padre Blue Jay [check back tomorrow for further updates!] and Jake Lamb’s status is uncertain. So, where do you stand now there are actual games in the books?
Here’s the poll: as usual, explanations are welcome in the comments...
How confident are you about the Diamondbacks?
This poll is closed
1 (not confident in the slightest)
9 (very, very, VERY confident)