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Preview #91: 7/8 vs. Padres

Can a taxed San Diego bullpen lead to another rout, or will the offense have a hangover?

MLB: San Diego Padres at Arizona Diamondbacks Joe Camporeale-USA TODAY Sports

Today’s Lineups

SAN DIEGO PADRES ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS
SAN DIEGO PADRES ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS
Travis Jankowski - RF Jon Jay - LF
Carlos Asuaje - 2B Nick Ahmed - SS
Wil Myers - LF Paul Goldschmidt - 1B
Eric Hosmer - 1B A.J. Pollock - CF
Cory Spangenberg - 3B Steven Souza Jr. - RF
Freddy Galvis - SS Ketel Marte - 2B
Manuel Margot - CF Jake Lamb - 3B
Austin Hedges - C Jeff Mathis - C
Clayton Richard - P Zack Greinke - P

Quite the outing the team had last night! So what are our odds of seeing a beat down like that again this season? In their 20 year history, the Arizona Diamondbacks have scored 15 runs or more as a team only 21 times. They have never done so more than 3 times in a season, and that came in 1999 when they won a franchise high 100 games. The D’backs have also accomplished it twice in one season in 2000, 2001, 2011, 2014, and 2017. None of those 15 run onslaughts have come within the same week of each other. As you can probably imagine, they’ve also never lost a game in which they’ve scored 15 runs or more. The lowest attended game that meets the arbitrary criteria of at least 15 runs scored by the Diamondbacks came on June 2nd, 1999 in Montreal against the Expos with only 5,395 reported to be in the stands. A sellout crowd of 49,076 at Chase Field watched Kirk Gibson’s 2011 squad do it to the San Francisco Giants on September 24th.

Today’s starter for the San Diego Padres is Clayton Richard, and he has never allowed more than 10 earned runs in a single game. However, we shouldn’t be surprised by that because a starting pitcher is typically run from a game early once he approaches a total that high. He dropped the 10 spot against the Colorado Rockies last season. Richard has surrendered 6 earned or more 21 times in his career, with Arizona doing that to him only once which came in 2017. In 18 games against the Diamondbacks, he owns a 4.14 ERA with a record of 10-6. He’s been considerably worse at Chase Field against the snakes pre-humidor, pitching to the tune of a 6.12 ERA in 9 games started and allowing 11 home runs in 50 innings. Although after last night I’d venture to say the humidor took a vacation this weekend with Jim as well!

Zack Greinke takes the bump for Arizona coming off of a strong start against the St. Louis Cardinals to end a four game losing streak. Since May 5th over a span of 12 starts, he has a 2.81 ERA with a W-L record of 6-3. As his velocity continues to diminish, he increasingly relies on his pinpoint command to limit the hard contact against him. The superior defense behind him has also done him plenty of favors this season as well. Look for him to continue his strong performance as we approach the All-Star break.