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Preview #69: 6/15 vs. Mets

The enigma of Zack Godley

Arizona Diamondbacks v Colorado Rockies Photo by Dustin Bradford/Getty Images

Today's Lineups

Michael Conforto - CF Jon Jay - RF
Todd Frazier - 3B Paul Goldschmidt - 1B
Brandon Nimmo - RF Jake Lamb - 3B
Asdrubal Cabrera - 2B David Peralta - LF
Jose Bautista - LF Daniel Descalso - 2B
Dominic Smith - 1B Nick Ahmed - SS
Kevin Plawecki - C Alex Avila - C
Amed Rosario - SS Jarrod Dyson - CF
Seth Lugo - RHP Zack Godley - RHP

Zack Godley’s season has been all over the place. He has given Arizona starts with Game Scores of anywhere between 15 and 78, a 63-point spread. Contrast this with the rest of the regular starters we’ve had. The other ZG - Zack Greinke’s - spread is only 37 points, while Patrick Corbin is at 56 points. You just never know what you’re going to get with Godley this year. He had a pair of brilliant outings to open the season, but it has been a tough haul thereafter, with about the only consistent thing being his inconsistency. He’ll look good for at-bats, or innings at a time, but then loses the ability to locate his pitches for strikes. And when that happens, it seems to happen very quickly.

The last start was, however, perhaps some faint signs of hope. Coors Field is not a place that is usually a forgiving one for pitchers, but he threw 5.2 innings of two-run ball there. Particularly impressive, he struck out eight, a number we hadn’t seen in a Godley outing since April, and walked just two. Given the previous eight outings has seen Zack post a K:BB ratio of 38:25, this was hopeful. On the other hand, it was the Rockies, who remain the worst offense in the majors. The good news is, tonight won’t be much more of a challenge, with the Mets ranked 25th in that department. Godley, like Greinkem has also been a lot better at Chase, where his ERA is below three.

Bottom half of the order doesn’t seem like it will be up to much, with the #6-8 spots occupied by Nick Ahmed (OPS+ 80), Alex Avila (15) and Jarrod Dyson (51). Any production we get out of there is likely to be a bonus more than anything: we’ll need the top half to come through, and Godley to have one of his better outings. We may have difficulty with Seth Lugo, based on his last outing - he blanked the Yankees, the #1 offense in baseball this year, over six innings of two-hit ball, with no walks and eight strikeouts. So I do NOT want to hear any “Why are we letting this scrub shut us out?” comments this evening, m’kay?