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Preview #64: 6/10 @ Rockies

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The D-backs can complete their first road sweep of the year with a win at Coors this afternoon.

MLB: Arizona Diamondbacks at San Francisco Giants Kelley L Cox-USA TODAY Sports

Today's Lineups

ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS COLORADO ROCKIES
Jon Jay - RF DJ LeMahieu - 2B
Nick Ahmed - SS Charlie Blackmon - CF
Paul Goldschmidt - 1B Nolan Arenado - 3B
John Ryan Murphy - C Trevor Story - SS
Ketel Marte - 2B Gerardo Parra - LF
Chris Owings - LF Ian Desmond - 1B
Jarrod Dyson - CF Noel Cuevas - RF
Deven Marrero - 3B Chris Iannetta - C
Zack Godley - RHP Kyle Freeland - LHP

For a team in first place and who didn’t lose a single series until game #39, sweeps this year have been surprisingly rare for the D-backs. They got one in the second series of the year, beating the Dodgers in three straight at Chase Field, but then had to wait almost two months for another to come along, when we rolled over the Marlins during the recent home-stand. Even the opportunity for a road sweep has been kinda rare: there have been just three such chances (Apr 13-15 @ LAD, Apr 27-29 @ WSN, May 8-9 @ LAD), and one of those was in a two-game series, which hardly counts. We’re 0-3 there, and have been outscored 16-6 in those contests, so room for improvement.

You think Zack Greinke has an issue pitching away from Chase? Zack Godley’s home/road split is hardly any smaller, with a road ERA north of seven, that’s 4.15 runs higher than his ERA in Phoenix (compared to 4.27 for Greinke). Here are the details:
Home: 30.2 IP, 28 H, 10 R, 10 ER, 4 HR, 8 BB, 29 SO, 2.93 ERA
Road: 34.1 IP, 41 H, 32 E, 27 ER, 6 HR, 25 BB, 33 SO, 7.08 ERA
Some of that may be BABIP-related (41 points higher on the road), but that K:BB ratio is what really stands out, helping opponents reach an even .400 on-base percentage for Godley outside of Chase, with his WHIP an awkward 1.92.

As we’ve already seen this series, walks will kill you at Coors, because they have a greater than usual tendency to end up crossing home-plate. I looked at the 58 starts pitchers have made in Denver this year. When they issued two or fewer walks, their teams went 24-16. When it was more than that? 5-13. So two bases on balls would be a good mark for Godley to aim at this afternoon in Coors. The bad news? He has averaged 2.75 walks per start this year, and it’s over three since the start of May - even though Godley has been going only around 5.1 innings in that time. As mentioned in the recap last night, I get the feeling the offense might need to score another dozen today to complete the sweep!