First, the good news. Confidence at the beginning of May was about where you’d expect after the team went 20-8 through the end of April. Here’s the breakdown
- 0% - 1 (not confident in the slightest)
- 0% - 2
- 0% - 3
- 0% - 4
- 0% - 5
- 7% - 6
- 30% - 7
- 36% - 8
- 27% - 9 (very, very, VERY confident)
There were a total of 222 votes, and nobody - not one person - came in at less than a six. We’ve never been able to say that before: even during the previous high, at the beginning of September 2017, we still had four out of 196 who voted five or below. However, confidence at the very top end was a little lower compared to that point. The percentage of “9” votes was 27.0%, down from 29.6%, and the 8’s were similar: 35.6% compared to 37.2%.
Below, you can see the breakdown of voting for the past year. Time progresses from the top down, beginning with the May 2017 poll.
Unsurprisingly, this resulted in a big kick, average confidence increasing by exactly one point, to 7.82. There have been four bigger increases in the history of this poll, but it’s a lot easier for confidence, say, to climb from 1.47 to 2.79, as they did in September 2016, after the firing of Dave Stewart. It does still leave confidence fractionally below the all-time peak, from September 2017. And when I say “fractionally”: that month saw a 7.84, while at the start of May, confidence was two-hundredths of a point lower, at 7.82. Here’s the chart with all the poll averages.
Okay, end-of-May, but it’s an off-day so might as well make use of it! However, it’s not exactly sticking my neck out to say, I doubt we’ll be seeing a new confidence level set this month. April showers were followed by May glowers, and the D-backs offense imploded in spectacular fashion. The question is now whether confidence will fall. The question is how much, in what is likely to be the confidence poll equivalent of Black Monday [Kids! Ask your parents!]. For the record, the previous largest drop, month to month, was just over three points, in the month after Opening Day 2016. We’ll see where we end up here. As usual, explain your decision in the comments!
How confident are you about the Diamondbacks?
This poll is closed
1 (not confident in the slightest)
9 (very, very, VERY confident)