|LOS ANGELES DODGERS||ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS|
|Chris Taylor - CF||David Peralta - LF|
|Curtis Granderson - LF||Chris Iannetta - C|
|Justin Turner - 3B||A.J. Pollock - CF|
|Yasmani Grandal - C||Paul Goldschmidt - 1B|
|Yasiel Puig - RF||J.D. Martinez - RF|
|Adrian Gonzalez - 1B||Brandon Drury - 2B|
|Logan Forsythe - 2B||Jake Lamb - 3B|
|Enrique Hernandez - SS||Adam Rosales - SS|
|Rich Hill - LHP||Zack Godley - RHP|
You might not have noticed, but the Colorado Rockies lost yesterday, meaning that the D-backs extended their lead over them for the first wild-card spot, to two full games. This increased the team’s playoff chances, per Fangraphs, to 94.3% last night. That matters, because it surpassed the season’s previous high, of 94.2% on June 27. Oddly, the chance seems to have dipped back down to 93.8% today, which is strange because there had not been any further games played to reduce it. [Though I note Mr. Stanton just hit his 51st home-run...] But a good performance in this series should set the mark even higher.
It’ll be an interesting series, perhaps a preview of a NL Division Series. Though I’m not sure that Zack Godley will be part of the team’s rotation there. Less than four weeks ago, that would have seemed a strange statement. Godley had just blanked the powerful Cubs offense for six innings in Wrigley Field, to reduce his season ERA to 2.86. But since then, he’s winless in four starts, with a 4.37 ERA. He has been BABIP-unlucky (.368), and the strikeouts have still been there (28 in 22.2 innings). But so have the walks (11), and Sean documented a concerning trend with Godley’s velocity. He may be pitching himself into a Randall Delgado-like power reliever role for the playoffs.
It was good to see the bats finally break out, though they left it to the last inning of the Giants series. They scored more runs in that frame, than over the previous 26 combined. But between that, the bullpen only needing to throw 22 pitches, and the off-day yesterday., we should be recharged and ready to go for the next three series. After that, we will have only one set remaining this year, against an opponent who is currently more than two games above .500 - the four games here against the Rockies in mid-September. If we can post a winning record through next Wednesday, we can likely consider the bulk of the heavy lifting done.