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Arizona Diamondbacks: August Confidence poll

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The trade deadline has now passed. Have the moves made by Arizona - and its rivals - affect our confidence?

Arizona Diamondbacks v Los Angeles Dodgers Photo by Harry How/Getty Images

All-Star break results

If it doesn’t seem that long since the last poll... That’s because it isn’t. We last checked in with you folks over the All-Star break, but there’s still been a fair amount of water under the bridge since then. Before we get to any of that, however, here are the results from the poll we took at the unofficial mid-way point of the season.

  • 2% - 1 (not confident in the slightest)
  • 1% - 2
  • 3% - 3
  • 2% - 4
  • 5% - 5
  • 16% - 6
  • 40% - 7
  • 22% - 8
  • 10% - 9 (very, very, VERY confident)

Despite a slight drop at the very top of the chart, with “9” declining a couple of points from 12% in the June poll, confidence remained solid. That’s despite the wobbly start to July, which saw the team go into the break with consecutive series losses, having dropped five games out of six. There was an increase at both “7” and “8”, and the percentage voting below “6” dropped from 17% at the beginning of June, to 13% at the All-Star break.

Below, you can see the breakdown of voting for the past year. In response to a suggestion, I’ve changed the format from a line graph to a bar chart, which should make things a bit clearer than the angular spaghetti-like mess which the line graph resembled! Time progresses from the top down, beginning with the August 2016 poll.

Where we stand

We are still on the way up, but the increase appears to be reaching a glass ceiling of some point, around about 7.0. Confidence at the break reached 6.82, which is up 0.12 on the June figure. It’s the sixth consecutive month that the figure has gone up - but it is also the smallest improvement from poll to poll. We’re still a quarter point below the all-time high, on Opening Day 2016.

This month’s poll

It may only be three weeks since last time, but there is scope for some significant change. We’ve seen the team struggle, with July being their worst month in terms of W-L record so far. But we’ve also had the team pick up slugging outfielder J.D. Martinez and boost the bullpen with the return of David Hernandez. On the other hand (is that three hands?), Chris Owings has joined Nick Ahmed on the DL for the foreseeable future, and the team is about to embark on what could be a defining part of the 2017 schedule. Hard to say how all these factors will combine into a single number, or if they’ll all cancel each other out, more or less.

Hence, below is the poll. As usual, vote and give us an explanation for any change in your confidence in the comments.

Poll

How confident are you about the Diamondbacks?

This poll is closed

  • 6%
    1 (not confident in the slightest)
    (7 votes)
  • 0%
    2
    (1 vote)
  • 1%
    3
    (2 votes)
  • 6%
    4
    (7 votes)
  • 17%
    5
    (19 votes)
  • 21%
    6
    (23 votes)
  • 28%
    7
    (31 votes)
  • 12%
    8
    (13 votes)
  • 3%
    9 (very, very, VERY confident)
    (4 votes)
107 votes total Vote Now