Unsurprisingly, there wasn’t a great deal of motion in fan confidence in the span from January 1-February 1. Here’s how the numbers from the latter came in, a month ago.
- 8% - 1 (not confident in the slightest)
- 8% - 2
- 19% - 3
- 20% - 4
- 15% - 5
- 17% - 6
- 8% - 7
- 2% - 8
- 4% - 9 (very, very, VERY confident)
No number there was different by even 5% from the value shown the previous month, with much the same broad spectrum of view. The largest change was the return of some "9" votes, which is probably my fault entirely. For I specifically mentioned their absence in the last report, which probably encouraged people to vote for them! But it doesn’t seem to have had very much impact. Here’s the chart which shows how the percentages for each vote have changed over the last 12 months.
The net result was a slight uptick, the overall confidence level increasing to 4.42, from a score of 4.21 at the beginning of January. However, that change was the smallest variation, in either direction, since the February and March 2016 figures came in only 0.10 apart. The Jan-Feb change that year was also very small, which makes sense: unless there are any significant roster moves or injuries, the lack of games means the needle won’t be moving very much. I suspect this poll probably will show something similar, although this year (thanks to the WBC) we do have some actual games at the start of March, to which we can
But if the change was similar to this point in 2016, the overall confidence level is well down - again, not particularly surprising, I suspect. It was 6.73 in February 2016, so we’re a full two points down from then, and more. Here’s how confidence has waxed and waned over the year since.
Below, find the March poll. As usual, comment in the comments - especially if you’ve changed your vote from last month.