clock menu more-arrow no yes

Filed under:

Arizona Diamondbacks Game Preview, #151: Tankapalooza update

New, 17 comments

Games until the blessed end of the season: 12

Lars Baron/Getty Images
Archie Bradley
RHP, 7-9, 5.07
Paul Clemens
RHP, 3-5, 4.94
Jean Segura - 2B Travis Jankowski - CF
Chris Owings - SS Jon Jay - RF
Paul Goldschmidt - 1B Wil Myers - 1B
Jake Lamb - 3B Ryan Schimpf - 3B
Yasmany Tomas - RF Alex Dickerson - LF
Brandon Drury - LF Adam Rosales - 2B
Mitch Haniger - CF Derek Norris - C
Tuffy Gosewisch - C Luis Sardinas - SS
Archie Bradley - RHP Paul Clemens - RHP

Just a dozen games left on the 2016 schedule. Five more against these Padres, and seven on the road against teams with playoff aspirations, in Baltimore and Washington. So I'm optimistic the Diamondbacks will likely end up with the #3 pick in the overall draft. They're currently tied there with the Padres and Reds, but San Diego's remaining schedule is easier: while we go on the road against the Orioles and Nationals, they'll be at home, facing the Giants and Dodgers. For the Reds, it may depend on how hard the Cubs - who have already clinched the division try. They have five there, and also must travel to the Brewers (not much of a challenge) and the Cardinals.

Here's how we stand, going into play today.

Rk Tm W L W% Strk R RA pythWL Luck last10 last20 last30
1 MIN 55 95 .367 L 3 4.6 5.5 62-88 -7 3-7 6-14 6-24
2 ATL 59 91 .393 W 3 4.0 4.9 60-90 -1 5-5 11-9 15-15
3 CIN 63 87 .420 L 1 4.4 5.3 62-88 1 5-5 8-12 12-18

SDP 63 87 .420 W 1 4.2 4.8 67-83 -4 5-5 8-12 13-17
ARI 63 87 .420 L 1 4.7 5.7 62-88 1 5-5 9-11 13-17
6 TBR 64 85 .429 L 1 4.2 4.4 72-77 -8 5-5 9-11 14-16
7 LAA 65 85 .433 L 1 4.3 4.6 71-79 -6 3-7 9-11 15-15
8 OAK 66 84 .440 L 1 4.1 4.7 66-84 0 6-4 9-11 14-16
9 PHI 67 83 .447 L 1 3.7 4.7 58-92 9 4-6 7-13 11-19
10 MIL 68 82 .453 W 2 4.2 4.5 70-80 -2 5-5 12-8 16-14

As you can see, the Reds, Padres and D-backs not only have identical records today, they have identical records over the last 10 games, and very similar ones over the last 20 and 30. It seems likely that trio will finish third through fifth, but the order could be anything. The Braves, four games up, and the Twins, four further beyond them, seem almost untouchable. And behind those three, we have the Rays and Angels, nether of whom are as bad as they look. But then there's the Phillies, whose run differential of -154 is the worst in the majors. If it wasn't for them being 27-21 in one-run games, they'd be right in the hunt.

As the above shows, this game could turn out to be problematic in terms of weather.The forecast seems to show it clearing up later, so I'm hopeful we should end up being able to get the game in. Though after last night, I dunno if anyone would notice and/or care if we didn't! We'll keep an eye as things progress.