When we last asked, the team was coming off a severely disappointing May. Despite what should have been an easier schedule, the Diamondbacks went 11-17, basically crashing out of contention in the NL West. Safe to say that played into the results for June, where the decline we saw in May continued.
- 30% - 1 (not confident in the slightest)
- 20% - 2
- 27% - 3
- 10% - 4
- 7% - 5
- 4% - 6
- 1% - 7
- 1% - 8
- 1% - 9 (very, very, VERY confident)
Ah, how the mighty are fallen. At the start of April, just two months earlier, three-quarters of respondents voted seven or better. Now, more than three-quarters of this sample voted three or below. Less than a handful of individuals remain in the 7+ category: I'll leave it up to you as to whether these people represent the "tirelessly optimistic" or "hopelessly delusional" element of Diamondbacks' fandom. Either way, it wasn't enough to stop the Confidence Index from sliding a further 1.36 points - though that is less than half the drop suffered from April to May. On the other hand, there is an "Absolute Zero" here of 1.00...
Here are how the overall scores have racked up since we started in January.
This is likely no more of a surprise than the drop at the start of May. Even if the overall record wasn't very different from that at the same point in 2015, there were very different expectations, and the (perfectly understandable) sense of disappointment plays into things. A 75-win team looks radically different, in terms of fan confidence, depending on whether you are coming at it from having the worst record in the majors, or from expecting the team to compete for a playoff spot. Below, you'll find the chart showing the percentage breakdown for each score from 0-9, and can see how things have changed as the season has gone on.
It'll be interesting to see what happens this month. On the one hand, June was actually the team's most successful one of the season so far. They had a 13-9 record for the month on June 24, but then lost the final five games played - the last in extra innings - to end up just below of .500. July has seen the team go 2-3, as we head into the final of the Padres series, so it could go either way. Will the descent continue, with Zack Greinke on the DL, or has confidence reached as low as it's going to go? As usual, vote below and provide any explanations that you feel might be needed in the comments.