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Here are the numbers, broken down by division - starting, naturally, with the most important one!
National League West
-
San Francisco Giants - 90
- Los Angeles Dodgers - 87
- Arizona Diamondbacks - 84½
- San Diego Padres - 74
- Colorado Rockies - 68½
National League Central
- Chicago Cubs - 89
- St. Louis Cardinals - 87½
-
Pittsburgh Pirates - 87
-
Milwaukee Brewers - 71½
- Cincinnati Reds - 71
National League East
- New York Mets - 88
- Washington Nationals - 87
- Miami Marlins - 80½
- Philadelphia Phillies - 66½
- Atlanta Braves - 65
American League West
-
Texas Rangers 86
-
Houston Astros 85½
- Seattle Mariners 83
- Anaheim Angels 82½
- Oakland A's 75½
American League Central
- Kansas City Royals - 87
- Detroit Tigers - 85
- Cleveland Indians - 84
- Chicago White Sox - 80½
- Minnesota Twins - 77½
American League East
-
Toronto Blue Jays - 87
-
Boston Red Sox - 85½
-
New York Yankees - 85
-
Baltimore Orioles - 80½
- Tampa Bay Rays - 78
Can't say this seems particularly unfair to the Diamondbacks, though I suspect the presence of the Giants at the top of the list is more likely a testament to Reno's relative closeness to the Bay Area, and thus a likely higher than normal number of San Francisco fans wagering. In case you're interested, here are their 2015 lines, from about the same point last season. Those ended up being not too far off for the top of the division, with the Dodgers at 91 (actual: 92), the Giants 85 (84) and the Diamondbacks over-performing the expectation of 72½ games by 6½. So, taking that into account: 91 wins for us it is!
But what do you reckon? Is 84½ optimistic, pessimistic or about right? And what do the Arizona Diamondbacks need to do to close the 5½ game gap on the Giants?