FanPost

Ryeandi’s Offseason Plan for the Arizona Diamondbacks

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Arbitration-eligible (with projected salaries from MLBTR):
Welington Castillo (5.009) – $5.9MM - Tender
Patrick Corbin (4.105) – $4.2MM - Tender
Randall Delgado (4.100) – $1.9MM - Tender
Rubby De La Rosa (4.097) – $3.0MM - Tender
Jean Segura (4.065) – $7.3MM - Tender
Shelby Miller (3.166) – $4.9MM - Tender
Chris Owings (3.027) – $2.1MM - Tender
Chris Herrmann (3.001) – $1.0MM - Tender
Tuffy Gosewisch (2.143) – $600K - Non-Tender

Free agent pick-ups:
Josh Reddick - $14MM(2017), $14MM(2018), $14MM(2019), $14MM(2020), $14MM(2012)/$2MM buy-out

RHP - Relievers - Add 2; No more than $16MM in 2017 commitments
Greg Holland - $4.5MM(2017), $4.5MM(2018), Incentives +$1MM over 40IP (per year), +$1MM over 50IP (per year), +$1MM over 60IP (per year), Player-option (2018)
Koji Uehara - $6.5MM, Incentives +$1MM over 40IP, +$1MM over 50IP, +$1MM over 60IP
Daniel Hudson - $3MM(2017), $3MM(2018), $3MM(2019)
Drew Storen - $6.5MM(2017), $6.5MM(2018), $6.5MM(2019)
Brad Ziegler - $7MM(2017), $7MM(2018), $6MM(2019)/$1MM buy-out
Joe Blanton - $6.5MM(2017), $6.5MM(2018)
Santiago Casilla - $4.5MM(2017), $4.5MM(2018)
Shawn Tolleson - Arb2 - $3.6MM projection

LHP - Reliever - Add 1; No more than $5MM in 2017 commitment/No more than 3 years
Jerry Blevins
Brett Cecil
J.P. Howell
Boone Logan

Trades:
Yasmany Tomas to the ???. Don't care about the return (Free-up $9.5MM)

Manager: Torey Lovullo - I like the hire. Ties to the new FO should help send a consistent message from top to bottom which is something this team could really use.

25-Man:

Rotation:
Zack Greinke
Robbie Ray
Patrick Corbin
Shelby Miller
Archie Bradley

Bullpen:
Godley
Delgado
Chafin
Barrett
Rubby De La Rosa
2 FA RHP (see above)
1 FA LHP (see above)

Catcher:
Castillo
Herrmann

Infield:
Goldschmidt
Segura
Owings
Lamb

Outfield:
Peralta
Pollock
Reddick

Bench:
Ahmed
Gosselin
Haniger

Reno:
Shipley
Koch
Wagner
Banda
Hernandez
Brito
Hazelbaker
Drury
Burgos
Bracho
Hathaway

Summary:
First off, I'll admit to violating the $100MM cap. As the new GM I have convinced KK to allow me to spend $112MM-$115MM with the understanding that payroll will fall considerably south of that number if this team shows itself incapable of winning. I commend him on his understanding. In all honesty I do expect Hazen to be given a payroll of between $110MM-$115MM this season.

I see the key to a potential turn-around resting in 3 key areas; Corner outfield defense, the bullpen, and starting pitching. Even with KK's pretended generosity, the fact of the matter is, we cannot expect to buy our way out of our rotation woes. I truly believe that the current staff, under better leadership and coaching, is due for an epic bounce-back. But, having been wrong countless times in the past, I am not putting the entire fate of the organization in the hands of a turn around. If, come July 2017 this team does not look like a contender, I am prepared to sell EVERY single player on this team provided they set the D-backs up to compete 3 years down the road. Because of this, the rotation stays exactly the same.

Looking at the outfield, replacing Yasmany Tomas with Josh Reddick moves this team forward by keeping the team from leaking runs defensively. The loss in power from switching the outfielders will more than pay for itself in improved defense, higher OBP, and better base-running. Reddick also puts another LHB in the lineup which is always a great option. An outfield of Reddick, Pollock, Peralta, and Haniger (over Brito due to handedness), becomes an immediate strength for the 2017 D-backs.

Turning to the bullpen, unlike the 2017 market for starting pitching, the market for relievers is vast. I see the D-backs needing at least 3 relievers. I've listed the ones I would target above. Holland is an interesting target but there will be a lot of interest. Koji might retire or only play for the Red Sox. If Hudson is taking a discount to come back here, something I believe he would, I take advantage, adding 4 relievers and send Barrett down as the first call-up. When looking for free-agent relievers, despite the substantial D-backs' need, patience should be exercised and deals sought. This shouldn't be an issue with the market. I'd like to indicate that I'm by no means an expert at free-agent contract estimations, but I try and feel I do a fairly good job. The numbers I list above are the "bargain" prices at which I think signing the player makes too much sense to pass on. Caution with RDLR will need to be used and an innings limit imposed so moving him to the bullpen helps limit him while addressing a team weakness.

This plan is not be the tear-down and rebuild many believe is necessary but it leaves a path to that route. Again, if this team is not playing like a serious contender by July, the nuclear option goes into effect and I start selling piece by piece.