/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_image/image/48567625/usa-today-8843981.0.jpg)
The Diamondbacks are probably making most of their final depth signing before Spring Training, by adding another reliever who had previous success in the majors but has fallen hard lately. There is nothing wrong with trying to add competition to the bullpen with three open spots in the bullpen. Brad Ziegler, Daniel Hudson, Andrew Chafin, and Silvino Bracho are basically locks for the bullpen and one of those spots is likely going to a LOOGY. Competition is often a very good thing because when you have a lot of qualified candidates, it brings out the best in all of them. By signing Sam LeCure to a minor league deal, the Dbacks are rolling the dice on a potential bounce-back year from him.
LeCure is a converted starter who wound up being a key piece of the Cincinnati Reds Bullpen in 2011-2014. Here's how he performed over the years:
Year | Age | ERA- | FIP- | xFIP- | SIERA |
2011 | 27 | 96 | 96 | 88 | 2.99 |
2012 | 28 | 78 | 72 | 87 | 3.40 |
2013 | 29 | 70 | 76 | 88 | 3.05 |
2014 | 30 | 102 | 111 | 112 | 3.83 |
2015 | 31 | 79 | 99 | 100 | 3.65 |
*Stats compiled on Fangraphs
When looking at the numbers, there is a decline in performance from 2013 to 2014 where he went from a solid late-inning reliever to basically a middle reliever. In 2015, his performance improved to basically league average and the low ERA is due to luck with BABIP and strand rate. At the same time, he produced a career high 58.3% ground ball rate which is 12% above his career average rate. He's used to pitching in the band box environment known as Great American Ballpark so he knows that mistakes get hit hard.
When breaking down the splits, he's how he performed against right-handed batters:
Year | TBF | GB% | HH% | K% | BB% | BABIP | AVG | OBP | SLG | wOBA |
2011 | 191 | 47.8 | 25.6 | 22.0 | 4.2 | .250 | .212 | .266 | .369 | .274 |
2012 | 125 | 40.5 | 28.1 | 25.6 | 8.8 | .300 | .228 | .301 | .339 | .282 |
2013 | 146 | 45.3 | 35.1 | 22.6 | 10.3 | .323 | .262 | .345 | .411 | .337 |
2014 | 139 | 49.5 | 34.6 | 17.3 | 7.9 | .386 | .328 | .384 | .468 | .374 |
2015 | 52 | 56.4 | 33.3 | 13.5 | 11.5 | .270 | .261 | .346 | .511 | .363 |
*Stats Compiled From Fangraphs
This is how he performed against left-handed hitters:
Year | TBF | GB% | HH% | K% | BB% | BABIP | AVG | OBP | SLG | wOBA |
2011 | 116 | 44.7 | 40.3 | 26.7 | 11.2 | .209 | .185 | .278 | .382 | .294 |
2012 | 112 | 55.9 | 32.9 | 25.9 | 10.7 | .275 | .202 | .300 | .313 | .282 |
2013 | 105 | 39.7 | 23.8 | 31.4 | 8.6 | .254 | .167 | .238 | .208 | .209 |
2014 | 112 | 35.7 | 29.2 | 21.4 | 11.6 | .246 | .208 | .324 | .376 | .315 |
2015 | 31 | 61.9 | 22.7 | 25.8 | 3.2 | .182 | .133 | .167 | .207 | .165 |
*Stats Compiled From Fangraphs
Based on the platoon splits, he has really odd platoon numbers for a right-handed reliever. Over his career on hitters he's been tough on left-handed hitters, which suggests he has a very good change-up in his repertoire. His best three years in terms of wOBA against LHB, his change-up graded out as positive on Fangraphs. Over the last three years, he has really struggled against right handed batters, with hard hit rates well above 30% and not coincidentally his slider has graded out as a huge negative over that time period. In the years he was good against RHB, his slider graded out as positive. So what we have here is a pitcher with a good change-up but a declining slider, which means to regain effectiveness against right-handed batters, the approach on the mound needs to change in order to yield more effective results. This has the potential to be a sneaky good signing, one with very little downside.