Over at Baseball Prospectus, tthe PECOTA projections and standings and depth charts have been released, and you can check out the projected standings for free over at the website, but the standings for the National League West are as follows:
(It should be noted, for fun, that the league as a whole is 8 games over .500 with the standings projections,)
|Los Angeles Dodgers||97||65||709||564|
|San Francisco Giants||84||78||639||613|
|San Diego Padres||83||79||625||606|
So in an overall sense, PECOTA says what has been the general consensus prediction about the 2015 Diamondbacks: Scoring runs will not be a problem, but preventing them with the pitching staff will be.
Some highlights from the individual Diamondback projections
- The Catching position will be a dark carnival of the soul offensively with Tuffy Gosewisch getting the majority of reps at Catcher, according to PECOTA. Jordan Pacheco and Peter O'Brien are listed as 2 and 3, respectively, and have better offensive numbers in a smaller sample size
- Paul Goldschmidt is projected to be far and away the best offensive player for Arizona, but you probably already guessed that.
- Jake Lamb is listed as getting the most playing time at Third Base. Yasmany Tomas is listed second on the depth chart for the hot corner. Interestingly, Brandon Drury is listed as getting a few plate appearances this season.
- The outfield is listed as Mark Trumbo in Left, A.J. Pollock in Center, and Tomas in Right. You could probably stretch Pollock's running distance in Center from Los Angeles to New York should that be the configuration .
- On the pitching side, PECOTA expects Josh Collmenter to be the most productive starter. It also forsees a big bounce-back year from Addison Reed.
Overall, with a few weird quirks that may not happen, PECOTA seems to fall in line with general consensus as to the expected D-backs performance this season.
On the other hand, games aren't won on computers, you freakin' nerds. When has the guy who made PECOTA ever been right about anything?