SnakeLines, Week 18: Starter Wins

Week 17 Review

I guess the moral of this week's bet is that home-runs do not necessarily equate to victories. The line.was set at 4.5 home-runs, for three games against the Padres, two in Tampa and the make-up game against the Rangers, but the last of these wasn't needed, as we had already hit out fifth and six home-runs of the week, the previous day as we blew out the Rays. Chavez and Goldschmidt both had two homer weeks, with Ross and Montero chipping in with one apiece. But the net result of this unexpected power surge was still a 2-4 record. If only we could have shifted one of Chavez's two-run bombs to the game where Patrick Corbin lost 1-0...

The line almost evenly split the wagers, 11 optimistic fans deciding it would go above, and 10 thinking it wouldn't reach that far. Particular mention in the former group to AZDbackfaninDc, for a cunning, and successful, effort to outsmart himself with this bit of logic.

Well, I say Under 100 % but I am always wrong

So I personally think Under but I am going with Over to try to get something correct.

Parra Parra Parra Parra Parra

by AzDbackfanInDc on Jul 25, 2013 | 5:25 PM reply rec flag actions

Er.... I guess, well done? Here are the results, followed by the standings, which see blank_38's lead shrink once again, with AJV19 and grimmy01 now right on his bumper.

• Winners (11): Angry_Saguaro, AJV19, azcougs, AzDbackfanInDc, BrokeNBattleX, catbat, FlannelFlapjacks, Gildo, grimmy01, GuruB, SenSurround, xmet
  
• Sinners (10): AzRattler, blank_38, Craig from Az, PatrickPetersonAZ, piratedan7, preston.salisbury, rd33, TolkienBard, walleye01
  

Standings

• 10 points
  blank_38
• 9 points
  AJV19
  grimmy01
• 8 points
  
• 7 points
  Gildo
  JoelPre
  SenSurround
  TolkienBard
  
• 6 points
  AzRattler
  piratedan7
  walleye01
  
• 5 points
  Angry_Saguaro
  GuruB
  rd33
  
• 4 points
  azshadowwalker
  Craig from Az
  frienetic
  Marc Fournier
  xmet
  
• 3 points
  azcougs
  AzDbackfanInDc
  BigLeagueAZ
  FlannelFlapjacks
  imstillhungry95
  
• 2 points
  bozzy35
  BrokeNBattleX
  eel
  Maizefed
  Songbird
  TimInTucson
  
• 1 point
  AZfan85308
  babakolo
  backtocali
  benhat
  BobRob12
  catbat
  LiamNeeson
  Muu
  navyazfan
  porty99
  preston.salisbury
  Shawnwck
  Xipooo
  
• 0 points
  azsportsfan31
  BattleMoses
  Daniel Corbin Jr.
  Diamondhacks
  hotclaws
  leemellon
  littleRoom
  PatrickPetersonAZ
  since_98
  Stumpy657
  Surksquatch
  

Week 18 line

Bit of an odd week in the schedule, with off-days both Monday and Thursday, as we play three games in Boston against the Red Sox, and then on Tuesday and Wednesday back at Chase against the Rays. Five games will probably mean one start each for the members of our rotation, though the off day could conceivably mean Gibby decides to skip someone (most probably Spruill). The starters after Sunday are "to be announced" according to the official site. Still, that just adds an extra level of intrigue to proceedings, since the five-game schedule makes me lean toward a line based on our rotation.

For a variety of reasons, our starters have struggled to get victories this season, winning just 33 times in 108 starts so far. Only three teams in the league have fewer than that, and those are the trio with close to the worst W% in the National League, in the Marlins, Brewers and Mets. Kinda impressive that Patrick Corbin has 36.4% of our starter wins this season, which is kinda reminiscent of 2004, when Randy Johnson had an amazing 47.1% of our starters' victories, getting 16 of 34. Will that trend hold up? How many W's will our starters pick up over the next five games? Have some stats.

• Starter wins last five games: one
• Starter wins last three road games: one
• Starter wins last two home games: zero
• Average 2013 starter wins per five games: 1.53

Starting pitcher wins: two

Usual rules. Over, under or push (the last if you think we'll get exactly two wins) in the comments, by first pitch today at Fenway Park (4:10pm, so get your skates on). Get it right, and get a point, unless "push" comes up, when you get two points.