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Paul Goldschmidt named NL MVP favorite

Sports book Bovada have named Paul Goldschmidt the 5-1 favorite to win the National League MVP award. Patrick Corbin is second favorite for the NL Cy Young award, behind... Well, I'm sure you can guess!

By Lasvegaslover (Own work) [CC-BY-3.0], via Wikimedia Commons

He may not be getting the deserved love on the All-Star ballot (Brandon Belt? Seriously? Is Delusion the state capital of California?) but this is one place where he is. It's a dramatic change from last month, when Goldschmidt wasn't even ranked, on a list that went all the way down to 33-1 long-shots like Wilin Rosario. At that point, Justin Upton was (probably understandably) the favorite, at odds of 9/2; he has since dropped back to 10-1. Here's the full list of those at 15/1 or better, with the number in brackets where their odds were last month. In case you're wondering, Gerardo Parra isn't ranked - but given he's not even on the All-Star Game ballot, what did you expect?

  1. Paul Goldschmidt (ARI) 5/1 (N/A)
  2. Carlos Gonzalez (COL) 6/1 (12/1)
    Troy Tulowitzki (COL) 6/1 (15/2)
  3. Joey Votto (CIN) 7/1 (10/1)
  4. Bryce Harper (WSH) 10/1 (11/2)
  5. Jean Segura (MIL) 10/1 (N/A)
    Justin Upton (ATL) 10/1 (9/2)
  6. Adrian Gonzalez (LAD) 12/1 (12/1)
    Andrew McCutchen (PIT) 12/1 (20/1)
  7. Buster Posey (SF) 14/1 (10/1)
  8. Ryan Braun (MIL) 15/1 (10/1)

Patrick Corbin has made an almost as dramatic leap up the Cy Young odds, improving from 15/1 all the way up to 5/1, which puts him level with Adam Wainwright and just behind the obvious leader, Clayton Kershaw, which is where I would probably be putting my money, I have to admit. Here are the top candidates, again with where their odds have moved since last time in parentheses.

  1. Clayton Kershaw (LAD) 4/1 (3/1)
  2. Patrick Corbin (ARI) 5/1 (15/1)
    Adam Wainwright (STL) 5/1 (10/1)
  3. Jordan Zimmermann (WAS) 7/1 (5/1)
  4. Shelby Miller (STL) 15/2 (N/A)
  5. Lance Lynn (STL) 9/1 (10/1)
  6. Cliff Lee (PHI) 10/1 (N/A)
  7. Matt Harvey (NYM) 12/1 (11/2)
    Mike Minor (ATL) 12/1 (N/A)
  8. Madison Bumgarner (SF) 15/1 (5/1)

Looking at the team-based wagers, the sports book still see the Giants as favorites to take the National League West, at little worse than even odds. Insert rant about the Diamondbacks being overlooked here. Admittedly, they're probably not as overlooked as the Rockies, who are given distinctly long odds, despite being an abysmal half a game behind the Giants at the time of writing.

  1. San Francisco Giants 6/5
  2. Arizona Diamondbacks 3/2
  3. Colorado Rockies 13/2
  4. Los Angeles Dodgers 8/1
  5. San Diego Padres 15/1

Going deeper into the post-season, the Braves and Cardinals are co-favorites, at 4/1, to win the National League pennant - after last night, I would hesitate to bet against St. Louis. The Giants are back at 6/1, with the D-backs sitting at 9/1 odds, which sounds like it might be worth a flutter, if you think we're going to win the division (once you reach the playoffs, pretty much anything can happen). The Tigers are 3/1 favorites to win the American League pennant, and that's also reflected in them having the best World Series odds, of 13/2. You can still get 20/1 against the Diamondbacks, easily the longest of any of the first-place teams: the Red Sox are next, at 15/1.