/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_image/image/13531465/snakelines.0.jpg)
Week 7 review
Date | Opp | Pitcher | Score | Inn | RoB | Out | Pit(cnt) | Play Description |
05-17 | @MIA | Kevin Slowey | a 0-5 | t3 | 12- | 2 | 2 (0-1) | Single to SS (Ground Ball); Ross Scores; Montero to 2B |
05-17 | @MIA | Ryan Webb | a 1-9 | t9 | --3 | 2 | 4 (1-2) | Groundout: 3B-1B (Weak 3B) |
05-18 | @MIA | Tom Koehler | a 0-1 | t2 | -2- | 1 | 2 (1-0) | Fielder's Choice SS; Ross out at 3B/SS-3B; Prado to 1B |
05-20 | @COL | Jon Garland | t 0-0 | t2 | --3 | 0 | 2 (1-0) | Groundout: 3B-1B (Weak 3B) |
05-21 | @COL | Jhoulys Chacin | d 4-2 | t7 | -23 | 1 | 3 (1-1) | Single to CF (Ground Ball thru SS-2B); Ross Scores; Kubel Scores |
05-21 | @COL | Matt Belisle | t 4-4 | t8 | 1-3 | 2 | 1 (0-0) | Flyball: RF |
Things started brightly, Prado getting an infield hit in his very first chance last Friday, knocking in Cody Ross. However, he came up empty the rest of the series, and despite three opportunities, that was it until the second game of the series at Coors, where he had a two-run single. He had another chance later on in the same contest, but came up empty and although Prado came up three times with runners on base in the week's finale yesterday. all of them were only with a runner on first [he did advance them each time, with a trio of groundouts]. That left Martin's final tally for the week at two hits in six at-bats, on the casino line.
Nor many of you went for that. only three of the 19 competitors in this round, with the majority deciding Prado was "due" for a big week. This seems like an example (along with the standard fan optimism) of what's knows as the Gambler's Fallacy: "the belief that if deviations from expected behavior are observed in repeated independent trials of some random process, future deviations in the opposite direction are then more likely." In other words, because Prado had sucked so hard with runners in scoring position the first 40 games, that he'd be likely to perform better than average there this week. Nope. His previous numbers have absolutely no impact there.
I trust we all learned a valuable lesson from this. And so, with only those who went for "push" able to cash in their slips on the week, we get:
- Winners (3): frienetic, Gildo, rd33
- Sinners (16): AJV19, azcougs, blank_38, BrokeNBattleX, Craig from Az, Diamondhacks, grimmy01, GuruB, Marc Fournier, Muu, piratedan7, SenSurround, SongBird, TolkeinBard, walleye01, Xipooo
Which makes updating the standings a quick and easy process again, with only that trio picking up two points apiece for nailing it on the nose. Before we get to those, pardon me if I take a few minutes to imagine rolling around the bed in all the theoretical SnakePit dollars I won... Right, thank you for that. Onwards!
- 5 points
blank_38 - 4 points
AJV19
frienetic
Gildo
grimmy01
SenSurround - 3 points
AzRattler
Craig from Az
Marc Fournier
piratedan7
- 2 points
azshadowwalker
eel
GuruB
Maizefed
rd33
TolkienBard - 1 point
AZfan85308
backtocali
BobRob12
BrokeNBattleX
JoelPre
navyazfan
Shawnwck
Songbird
walleye01
- 0 points
azcougs
AzDbackfanInDc
azsportsfan31
BattleMoses
BigLeagueAZ
Daniel Corbin Jr.
Diamondhacks
hotclaws
imstillhungry95
leemellon
LiamNeeson
littleRoom
Muu
since_98
Surksquatch
Xipooo
Week 8 line
It's back to Chase Field, for at least the start of this week. There's three games against the Padres, and then the Memorial Day double-header on Monday against the Rangers. We have Tuesday off, then it's to Texas we must go, for the return pair of interleague games. That's seven in total for this round, five of them at home and two on the road - the DH will be in effect for those, and it could play into the final tally, because the number you need to predict this week is, how many strikeouts our pitching staff will get. It's going to be interesting: Brandon McCarthy and Wade Miley will each get two starts. Here are some other numbers to help figure out where you stand.
- Strikeouts per game: 7.7
- Strikeouts per nine innings: 7.6 [includes extras, road losses where we pitch 8 innings]
- Strikeouts per home game: 8.0
- Strikeouts per road game: 7.4
- Strikeouts last seven games: 53
- Strikeouts last five home games: 43
- Strikeouts last two road games: 14
- Strikeouts last series vs. San Diego: 26
- Strikeouts by San Diego per game: 8.0
- Strikeouts by Texas last four games: 19 [we've not faced them this year]
- Strikeouts by Texas per game: 6.1
Strikeouts by Arizona pitchers the upcoming week: 49½
Straight over-under this week, with no push - unless Angel Hernandez is involved, in which case awarding half a strikeout seems entirely possible! Place your bets before first pitch tomorrow night, as usual simply by posting in the comments.