Gameday Thread, #158: 9/26 vs. Pirates

Firstly, one batter in the lineup doesn't affect how good the next batter is. It wouldn't matter if you put the pitcher 1st and Eric Byrnes 9th, (or, as you would put it, Byrnes should be somewhere 1-8. You're very big on specifics, by the way.) or stacked the entire lineup with .300 hitters, if nobody gets a hit. That has exactly NOTHING to do with the lineup and EVERYTHING to do with the hitters themselves, and the game at hand. 1 extra base hit doesn't matter where it is if it's the only extra base hit we get. There is NO such thing as a lineup "chain reaction".

Secondly, you haven't even done the research to know whether whatever it is you're babbling about has ever actually been done. You want to take what you claim to be a sample of 5-6 games (That's a great sample size, by the way. In a 162 game season, that's a sample size of 3.0-3.7%)with "your" lineup, and then you explain to us that we should all raise our consciousness to your divine level because you're "sure the average is over 5 runs a game with the lowest being 4", yet you admittedly have no idea what you're talking about. I assume you weren't aware that the Diamondbacks are averaging 4.42 runs per game over the course of the entire season, making your statements completely meaningless and your claims inane, since your original claim that you apparently posted "77 times" was that the Dbacks would score a whopping 4 runs per game with "your" lineup. Even if we were to give you the benefit of the doubt, and let's pretend that the Dbacks have used your ideal lineup 6 times so far this season, and that they scored 5 runs in each of those games, for a total of 30 runs, and subtracted those runs and those games, the Dbacks are STILL averaging 4.40 runs per game. Essentially, your perfect lineup is average, and statistically worthless.

Finally, you have given exactly no evidence whatsoever for any of your stupid theories, and then you go around acting like you're a MENSA member and the rest of us suffer from Down's Syndrome. Nobody ever responds to anything you say because 1. none of it makes any sense 2. we can't understand what the hell you're trying to say, and 3. you really, really have no idea what you're talking about.

But hey, with all these .250 hitters, we should have won 95 games, not (almost) 90, right?

Begone, annoying little troll.

Our position relative to the Phillies? Yes.  Relative to the Padres? Yes ( I think). Relative to the Rockies - no. Any win vs the Rocks knocks a big "two" off the magic number, not one.

That's my underlying driver for even considering bumping Webb, in the event things go sour (like tonight). I certainly take your point about his struggles in Coors and the NLDS implications, and agree Webb has a better chance to win in PIT. But a win in COL will be worth more - and the question becomes. "Will we need that "double credit" win?    

It's very hard to say. Statistically, I'd normally say no. But when I look at some of these pitching matchups, home/away matchups down the stretch, I get uneasy. Grady Little played all kids today and Josh Fogg shut em out.    

My gnawing concern is that if COL and either SD or PHI(who close at home v WASH) keep winning, Webb's projected win tomorrow may not be enough in the end. Bottom line: I'm not as confident as you appear to be, about our chances in Coors right now, sans Brandon.

P.S. This isnt something I feel confident about - there's an awful lot of assumptions here - just kind of thinking out loud, trying to figure it out. Like I say, I'm glad I dont have to make the call :-)