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Random Fridayness

Couple of things that probably deserve mention, and don't fit in to the 'Projections' post below. Firstly, the unredacted version of the Grimsley affidavit was published. Does anyone really care, now that the Mitchell Report has been completed? Anyone? Anybody? Bueller? Thought not. I suppose the biggest shock is that Roger Clemens was not mentioned in the affidavit. However, it seems that just about every other member of the 2000 Yankees was named: as well as Grimsley, we've got Jose Canseco, Glenallen Hill, Chuck Knoblaugh and Allen Watson listed there.

When you add in the names mentioned in the Mitchell Report, such as Andy Pettitte, Denny Neagle and David Justice, the Yankee Dynasty suddenly looks more like the Yankees Very Nasty. Curt Schilling has already called for Clemens to be stripped of his awards, saying "the 4 Cy Youngs should go to the rightful winners and the numbers should go away if he cannot refute the accusations." That would particularly please Randy Johnson, who was beaten twice by Clemens, including the infamous - to Arizona fans, at least - 2004 screw-job. It would certainly send a strong message about consequences, and could be done relatively easily, without any of the mess that would result if, say, we tried to repossess the four World Series they won from 1997-2000.

The Schilling piece is a good, if somewhat lengthy read, in that it's one of the rare occasions where an active player has been willing to go on the record regarding these matters. I do have to respect Schilling, to a certain extent, for this - though one does wonder where all this forthrightness was, when he was testifying before Congress? I seem to recall he was a great deal less vocal at that point, denying having ever seen a syringe in his baseball career, and doing little except blast Jose Canseco for his book. Still, even if Schilling undeniably does like the sound of his own voice, he is, at least addressing the issue from the inside. And that is a lot more than many have been prepared to do.

Interesting, if math-heavy, article on the Hardball Times, which looks at the question of Does reliever over-use lead to poor subsequent performance?. That's something likely of very great interest to us, as our likely closer (Peña) appeared in 75 games last season, and Lyon only a couple less, with both posting career highs for innings pitched. It does appear to be the case that high-use (70+ IP) pitchers do get worse the next season - their ERAs increasing by about 0.3 runs - and low-use ones improve. However, this appears to be the result of simple regression towards a mean, which is statistically predictable, rather than because of their overuse.

So, while we can probably expect our three remaining Relievers of the Apocalypse to return to earth somewhat next year, it won't be because of the number of innings they pitched this year. Also worth noting, is that Chad Qualls has posted back-to-back seasons of 79.2, 88.2 and 82.2 innings since 2005. Over those three years, only one pure reliever has pitched more innings (Scot Shields, 256.1), seen more hitters (Shields, 1046) or appeared in more games (Bobby Howry, 241) than Qualls (251 IP and 1030 batters faced in 237 games). He also ranks #11 for pitches thrown, at 3,554 - Shields is top with 4,152. It appears that Josh Byrnes' fondness for 'workhorses' or innings-eating pitchers, is not limited to starters...

If you want more to read, head over to Baseball Digest Daily, whose Bloggers Round Table on the Diamondbacks featured myself and Jeff from Diary of a Die-Hard. Interesting to compare and contrast the answers given: I went for Luis Gonzalez as the player who has most impacted the franchise, while he chose Randy Johnson. I also note the different lengths of our answers: I was clearly with Shakespeare on the whole brevity-source-wit thing, while I think Jeff was getting paid by the word. ;-) Good stuff though, with some further questions in the comments. I recommend you check out the other articles on the site, which looks set to become another stop on my daily meandering through the tubes of the Internet.

Chad Tracy's knee is still giving him grief, with the blood-clot in his leg still apparently present. "I was hoping they'd say it was gone, but it doesn't hurt anymore, so that's a good thing," he says. He still wants to be ready for Opening Day - but two sentences later, he says the start of Spring Training would be "pushing it." Here's more info on clots in the legs: it says, "Surgery that involves a leg joint or hip, dramatically increases the risk." The treatment is anti-coagulants, including Warfarin: yes, basically, rat poison, though the article does say these will not dissolve existing clots. It really looks increasingly more likely that Special K and Conor J will be manning the corner infield positions in Cincinnati, a hundred days from tomorrow.

Finally, a few minor bits and pieces. I just got a sneak-peek at version 2.0 of the SportsBlog Nation sites, and all I can say is "Ooh! Shiny! Pretty!". Goes live in February, I believe (co-admins charmer and skins might get a shot at the beta testing in late January). And no more need to hack about in HTML. ;-) Updated the roster on the left, to reflect the recent moves, and provide a current 'best guess' regarding what we'll have for Opening Day 2008. For the moment, I'm being optimistic and including Chad Tracy - albeit mostly because we don't have any other credible alternatives. And we're off to see the Coyotes play the Canucks tomorrow night: our charitable arm, kidtix.org, received a large block of tickets and we've been busy distributing them to schools, etc. over the past week or two. Should be fun, even if we know almost nothing about ice-hockey. Still, when has that ever stopped us from enjoying ourselves? :-) MVP ballots to follow Sunday, in the last update before Christmas.

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Good stuff
over at the Roundtable, from both you guys. I especially like Jeff's pyscho-saga on the colors; how important it was to him, how it made him feel,etc.

My main frustration with Schilling is that he props himself up as this unusually forthright insider, daring to speak his mind, yet many of his positions appear, at least to me, to be politically expedient. By that, I mean he times his comments to coincide with what the public wants to hear, or already thinks.

A while back, Canseco is the pariah of baseball, and Curt lashes out at him on the Senate panel. Now Jose's legacy is more mixed - and so is Curt's opinion of him. When public venom towards Bonds was at an all time high, Schill accused Bonds of cheating on his wife, taxes,etc.  Now that Clemens is on the hot seat, Curt is quick to rip him a new one. The public's response to Pettitte has been gentler - Curt "believes him" and thinks he's a great guy.

As if it wasnt already clear, his latest rant proves he's not nearly bright enough to be Machiavellian, but he's nevertheless established this pattern of saying kinda safe, self-serving things, and trying to pawn them off as bold and courageous. He tries to use the Mitchell report as a clear dividing line between guilty and non-guilty, by saying "there's no shortage of names" in the report. Everybody with half a brain, including Senator Mitchell, knows there's a huge shortage of names in the report, but it's in Curt's interests to make this false, black n white distinction, between publicly named "cheaters" and upstanding folks "like me".

Perhaps his boldest comments have to do with stripping Clemens of his CYAs, but I'm not sure that's such a good idea, or easy to implement without causing knottier problems. Personally, I've never cared for Clemens, but I think an important implication of the Mitchell Report is that this isnt so much a Roger Clemens problem or a Barry Bonds problem. It's an incredibly widespread, deeply rooted baseball problem. And I think extracting particular players' records from the history, based on the level of "evidence" in the Mitchell Report, may result in a false sense of closure and justice, and too easily let the baseball powers that be off the hook.  

by Diamondhacks on Dec 22, 2007 1:02 AM EST   0 recs

This is a little off topic...
...but I was not able to add a post in the Mitchell report thread. I don't know why?

Below is an article that was linked by YBC at the MLB forum. It addresses some of the weaknesses of the entire investigation and concerns from GMs, players, trainers etc. I highly recommend it.

http://sports.espn.go.com/mlb/news/story?id=3142651

by foulpole on Dec 22, 2007 8:29 PM EST   0 recs

Posts get locked
After a week automatically. This was done to prevent comment spam, which tended to be buried on older entries. It works fine during the season, when we've got two or more posts per day, so anything a week old is likely to be off the front-page, but things are a bit slower in the off-season. Maybe it'll be addressed in SBN v2.0? Till then, here is fine. Looks a potentially interesting read, but it'll have to wait, as we're out the door to the ice-hockey.

Go, D-bac...er, Coyotes! ;-)

by Jim McLennan on Dec 22, 2007 9:09 PM EST to parent up   0 recs

I've gotta admit...
Frankly, from looking at AN these days, I don't understand ANYTHING about SBN 2.0. Then again, presumably it'll be much simpler to "get" once the Snakepit gets upgraded and we've all had some time to mess around with it.
Come on, Sandy Baby, loosen up. You're too tight.

by DbacksSkins on Dec 23, 2007 1:38 AM EST to parent up   0 recs

Oh, that's not SBN 2.0.
That's SBN 1.1. 2.0 will be an entire different kettle of animals, as it were. But, yes, there should be messing around time before the launch in February.

by Jim McLennan on Dec 23, 2007 2:21 AM EST to parent up   0 recs

On the Tracy front...
The clot thing concerns me.  We lost Shawntinice Polk, a star female basketball player here at U of A, a few years ago from a clot.  Hers was in her lung, but it occurred not long after she had knee surgery.  She was only 22 and dropped dead in McKale Center.  I hope they get this thing taken care of soon, because clots are scary things.

As for Schilling...I have nothing good to say about the man other than he did a great job in the 2001 series.  My disdain for him knows no bounds, and this doesn't change anything.  I was so glad when he left so I didn't have to try to justify supporting a team with him on it.  I do think he's talked out of both sides of his mouth on this issue.  I also think the CYA thing is misguided.  Are we going to go back and revisit MVP awards?  Batting titles?  Gold Gloves?  I dislike Clemens every bit as much as I dislike Schilling, but leave it alone and move on, I say.

by azshadowwalker on Dec 26, 2007 12:45 PM EST   0 recs

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