2014 Diamondbacks Expectations: Bronson Arroyo

Rick Scuteri-USA TODAY Sports

As we go through spring, we'll have a series of pieces looking at each of the players most likely to be on the 25-man roster for the home opener. It's mostly an open forum, to discuss expectations, hopes, fears and their potential contribution to the 2014 season. In alphabetical order, we start with the newest Diamondback, Bronson Arroyo.

The past five years

Year W L ERA G IP H R ER HR BB SO ERA+ WHIP bWAR
2009 15 13 3.84 33 220.1 214 101 94 31 65 127 110 1.266 2.6
2010 17 10 3.88 33 215.2 188 95 93 29 59 121 105 1.145 2.2
2011 9 12 5.07 32 199.0 227 119 112 46 45 108 78 1.367 -1.0
2012 12 10 3.74 32 202.0 209 86 84 26 35 129 110 1.208 3.6
2013 14 12 3.79 32 202.0 199 88 85 32 34 124 101 1.153 2.5
5-yr Ave 13 11 3.79 32 208.0 207
98 94 33
48
122 100 1.227 2.0

2014 projections

System W L ERA G IP H R ER HR BB SO K/9
WHIP bWAR
Steamer 11 12 4.36 33 192.0
208 100 93 24 41 115 5.39 1.30 1.7
Oliver 12 10 3.98 32 204.0 219
98 90 30
38
112 4.95
1.26 1.6
ZIPS

4.34 26
166.0 173 86
80
27
31
100 5.42
1.23 1.5
PECOTA

4.16
28
176.0 177

26 41 99
5.06
1.23 0.7

The portrait of Bronson Arroyo

Arroyo will turn 37 later this month, and looks set to become the fourth oldest regular starter in Diamondbacks franchise history, trailing only knuckleballer Steve Sparks (38 in 2004), Orlando Hernandez (40 in 2006) and Randy Johnson (who was 44 in his last season with the club, 2008). But so far, age does not seem to have slowed Arroyo down at all: as has been noted widely, no pitcher has started more games than Arroyo over the past decade. Someone needs to check his locker for an elderly picture of the man. The question is, can he maintain this trend while with Arizona over the next two years?

"I’ve never been a hard thrower. Not having to pitch at max effort helps a lot. I think not having to go out there and feel like I have to empty the tank every night I pitch to get people out. I grew up very strange where my father had me in the weight room as a 5-year-old kid taking supplements and treating my body as we do as professional athletes. I’ve been doing that for the last 30 years. I felt like he built a good foundation for me to understand that this game is year-round, and not something you pick up for two or three months and then take two or three months off and jump right back into it."
-- Bronson Arroyo

Another thing that probably helps is he's economical with his pitch counts. Despite averaging 6.12 innings per game last year, and throwing a total of 202 innings, only three times did he require 100 or more pitches, and his average pitch count of 90 was the lowest in the National League by anyone with more than twenty starts. If last year is repeated, looks like Arizona is going to be seeing some quick half-innings in the upcoming campaign: for Arroyo was tied with new team-mate Brandon McCarthy, for the most efficient qualifying starter in all of baseball, at 3.48 pitches per plate appearance.

It'll be interesting to see what Arroyo's veteran presence does to the rest of our pitchers, because he has about six and a half years on the next oldest (McCarthy) and twelve and a half on the youngest (Patrick Corbin). He doesn't seem averse to mentoring them, but his comments yesterday seemed to suggest it could end up being a two-way street. "Maybe they need nothing from me. It all depends on what you see over time. You get to know some of these guys and see how they work and maybe they pick something up from me and maybe I pick something up from them. I think there’s always something to pick up along the way to either lengthen your career or make you better where you are."

The upside for Arroyo would be that the move to a more pitcher-friendly home field than Tiny American Ball Park, will convert some of those home-runs into fly-balls that drop harmlessly (after some brief moments of fan panic) into Gerardo Parra's glove. He'll continue to roll out there, every fifth day, and more often than not, give his team a chance to win - he was 8th in the NL last season for quality starts, with 22 out of 32 appearances. The downside? All those injuries he hasn't had over the past decade, catch up on him in a hurry, as the baseball gods cash in all those health IOUs they've given him.

This article is part of our 2014 Diamondbacks expectations series - check out the other entries.

Trending Discussions

X
Log In Sign Up

forgot?
Log In Sign Up

Please choose a new SB Nation username and password

As part of the new SB Nation launch, prior users will need to choose a permanent username, along with a new password.

Your username will be used to login to SB Nation going forward.

I already have a Vox Media account!

Verify Vox Media account

Please login to your Vox Media account. This account will be linked to your previously existing Eater account.

Please choose a new SB Nation username and password

As part of the new SB Nation launch, prior MT authors will need to choose a new username and password.

Your username will be used to login to SB Nation going forward.

Forgot password?

We'll email you a reset link.

If you signed up using a 3rd party account like Facebook or Twitter, please login with it instead.

Forgot password?

Try another email?

Almost done,

By becoming a registered user, you are also agreeing to our Terms and confirming that you have read our Privacy Policy.

Join AZ Snake Pit

You must be a member of AZ Snake Pit to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at AZ Snake Pit. You should read them.

Join AZ Snake Pit

You must be a member of AZ Snake Pit to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at AZ Snake Pit. You should read them.

Spinner.vc97ec6e

Authenticating

Great!

Choose an available username to complete sign up.

In order to provide our users with a better overall experience, we ask for more information from Facebook when using it to login so that we can learn more about our audience and provide you with the best possible experience. We do not store specific user data and the sharing of it is not required to login with Facebook.

tracking_pixel_9351_tracker