2014 Diamondbacks projections

Dustin Bradford

shoewizard put together a table combining the ZIPS, Oliver and Steamer projections for our offense this year. Here are the numbers it spat out for the 2014 hitters.

Player PA BA OBP SLG OPS HR BB K BB% K% HR%
Primary Starters
Goldschmidt 600 286 380 530 911 30 77 131 12.9% 21.9% 4.9%
Trumbo 600 255 313 486 799 31 45 149 7.6% 24.8% 5.2%
Hill 600 277 338 445 783 17 45 79 7.5% 13.2% 2.9%
Prado 600 286 338 425 763 12 43 53 7.2% 8.8% 2.1%
Parra 600 275 333 412 745 10 45 95 7.5% 15.8% 1.7%
Montero 600 251 338 394 732 16 64 132 10.6% 22.1% 2.6%
Pollock 600 271 323 399 722 9 40 98 6.7% 16.3% 1.5%
Gregorious 600 261 321 392 712 10 44 90 7.3% 15.1% 1.7%
Average 600 270 335 435 771 17 50 103 8.4% 17.2% 2.8%
Primary Subs
Chavez 200 262 322 435 757 7 16 37 8.0% 18.4% 3.4%
Ross 200 263 326 428 754 6 16 37 8.0% 18.6% 3.0%
Owings 200 269 300 393 693 3 8 42 3.8% 21.2% 1.6%
Pennington 200 248 312 349 661 2 16 36 8.2% 18.2% 1.1%
Goeswich 100 222 265 335 600 2 5 19 4.7% 19.3% 1.6%
Average 200 253 305 388 693 4 12 34 6.5% 19.1% 2.1%
Secondary Subs & NRI
Dorn 50 233 297 409 706 2 4 13 7.6% 26.0% 3.7%
Evans 50 241 302 391 693 1 4 12 8.0% 24.5% 2.9%
Tuiasosopo 50 222 310 360 670 1 5 14 10.4% 27.8% 3.0%
Lamb 50 231 299 371 670 1 4 13 8.4% 26.5% 2.5%
Inciarte 50 269 310 358 668 0 3 6 5.1% 12.4% 0.4%
Marte 50 240 285 372 657 1 3 10 5.0% 20.7% 1.8%
Jacobs 50 230 283 368 650 1 3 15 5.8% 29.9% 2.5%
Campana 50 249 302 315 617 0 3 12 6.8% 24.0% 0.2%
Ahmed 50 232 278 327 604 0 3 9 5.5% 17.5% 0.9%
Blanco 50 197 269 313 581 1 4 13 8.2% 25.6% 2.0%
Average 50 234 293 358 652 1 4 12 7.1% 23.5% 2.0%
sheewizard's notes
  1. They are an aggregate of ZIPS, Steamer, and Oliver. All three available on Fangraphs. They are all equally weighted.
  2. Focus on the rate stats, not the counting stats. The counting stats are for reference only.
  3. I am not trying to project playing time. I simply put the PA''s as 600 PA for a starter, 200 PA for a primary Sub, and 50 PA for a secondary Sub, the exception being Tuffy. I did this so you can better contextualize the rate stats for walks, K's, and homers
  4. I highligted the best projection in each grouping in Green and the worst projection in Red in each rate category within each group. This is for quick reference on a players strength and weakness. (So for example Didi has the worst slugging and OPS projection among primary starters, which I think captures Pete's "gut feeling" on Didi.
  5. I was just playing around with different presentation formats, and am not trying to give a team total projection. To do that, I would need to project playing time and that is really just too hard to do.

Originally posted on DBBP.org. Reprinted with permission, and re-formatted. Why, yes: you CAN click on the table columns to sort them, thank you for asking. :)

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