SnakeLines, Week 19: TOOTBLAN!

The daily TOOTBLAN has become almost as much a part of the season as the daily double-play. Will the D-backs be any more reliable on the base-paths this week?

Week 18 review

Rk Player Date Opp Rslt App,Dec IP H R ER BB SO HR
1
Randall Delgado 2013-08-02 BOS W 7-6 GS-6 ,W 6.0 6 6 4 1 7 2
2 Patrick Corbin 2013-08-03 BOS L 2-5 GS-7 ,L 6.0 8 3 3 2 6 1
3 Brandon McCarthy 2013-08-04 BOS L 0-4 GS-5 ,L 4.1 5 2 2 3 5 0
4 Wade Miley 2013-08-06 TBR W 6-1 GS-7 ,W 7.0 5 1 1 2 5 1
5 Randall Delgado 2013-08-07 TBR W 9-8 GS-5 ,ND 5.0 8
4
4
1 3 1

So close, and yet... After wins for Delgado and Miley, the line came into the fifth game sitting at the push, with two W's for our starters this week. The unders had already lost, but a second Delgado victory would tip the line over, and make winners of the two brave souls who predicted that. With half the wagers having gone for 'push', the house was obviously hoping for a Randall W. Things looked bleak as the Rays scored three in the first, but the offense fought back and Delgado left after the bare minimum five innings to qualify, in line for the win with a 7-4 advantage. However, enter the D-backs bullpen, and a four-run seventh blew the lead, tagging the starter with a no-decision.

That completed the week with the actual tally set at two, exactly as the line projected. In Vegas, that would mean everyone would get their money back, but the generous house here pays out double, for those who saw it coming and wagered on the "push". Quite a short roster this week, probably because of the relatively brief window between posting and first-pitch last Friday. No excuses this time, with almost a day and a half before this week's round gets under way.

  • Winners (5): blank_38, Gildo, GuruB, preston.salisbury, xmet
  • Sinners (5): Angry_Saguaro, azcougs, AzRattler, piratedan7, walleye01

Standings

  • 12 points
    blank_38
  • 9 points
    AJV19
    Gildo
    grimmy01
  • 8 points
  • 7 points
    GuruB
    JoelPre
    SenSurround
    TolkienBard
  • 6 points
    AzRattler
    piratedan7
    walleye01
    xmet
  • 5 points
    Angry_Saguaro
    rd33
  • 4 points
    azshadowwalker
    Craig from Az
    frienetic
    Marc Fournier
  • 3 points
    azcougs
    AzDbackfanInDc
    BigLeagueAZ
    FlannelFlapjacks
    imstillhungry95
    preston.salisbury
  • 2 points
    bozzy35
    BrokeNBattleX
    eel
    Maizefed
    Songbird
    TimInTucson
  • 1 point
    AZfan85308
    babakolo
    backtocali
    benhat
    BobRob12
    catbat
    LiamNeeson
    Muu
    navyazfan
    porty99
    Shawnwck
    Xipooo
  • 0 points
    azsportsfan31
    BattleMoses
    Daniel Corbin Jr.
    Diamondhacks
    hotclaws
    leemellon
    littleRoom
    PatrickPetersonAZ
    since_98
    Stumpy657
    Surksquatch

Week 19 line

This one is going to be a little bit different, because there is no easily-measured metric for this. As you're probably aware, TOOTBLAN stands for Thrown-Out on the Basepaths Like A Nincompoop, and is a generic catch-all for blunders on the bags. It has been a subject of some concern this season, with the desired improvement on a disappointing 2012 performance in this area, not coming through. Instead, our stolen-base rate, already below average at 65% last season, has dropped further, to 58%. And even beyond that, only the Brewers have had more runners thrown out at home.

We'll be writing more about that tonight, actually, as I'm working on an article analyzing our performance on the bags. But for the purpose of this report, TOOTBLANs are loosely defined as any voluntary advance by a runner, which results in an out. This will include pickoffs, being caught stealing, doubled off on a line-drive, failed sacrifice fly attempts, getting thrown out going first to third on a single, etc. Over-sliding a base also counts. The house's assessment of what constitutes a TOOTBLAN will be final, but I will listen to appeals in the Gameday Thread. I'll try to remember and maintain a running tally in the previews, but no guarantees....

This will cover six games, the three-game series against the Mets this weekend, followed by the three-game set versus the Orioles from Monday through Wednesday. Not sure there's much significance in the opposition: I suppose we might have more people on base than usual against the Mets, hence slightly more chance to TOOTBLAN, but not sure it'll be significant. You want some numbers? Here are the TOOTBLANS for the Arizona season so far:

  • Caught stealing: 29
  • Pickoffs: 6 (excluding pick-offs caught stealing)
  • Outs on base-paths: 35

Diamondbacks TOOTBLAN: 3½

Usual rules. Over or under in the comments, by first pitch Friday at Chase Field (6:40pm). Get it right, and get a point: I'll update the results and standings next Thursday which is another convenient off-day.

X
Log In Sign Up

forgot?
Log In Sign Up

Forgot password?

We'll email you a reset link.

If you signed up using a 3rd party account like Facebook or Twitter, please login with it instead.

Forgot password?

Try another email?

Almost done,

Join AZ Snake Pit

You must be a member of AZ Snake Pit to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at AZ Snake Pit. You should read them.

Join AZ Snake Pit

You must be a member of AZ Snake Pit to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at AZ Snake Pit. You should read them.

Spinner

Authenticating

Great!

Choose an available username to complete sign up.

In order to provide our users with a better overall experience, we ask for more information from Facebook when using it to login so that we can learn more about our audience and provide you with the best possible experience. We do not store specific user data and the sharing of it is not required to login with Facebook.

tracking_pixel_9351_tracker