SnakeLines, Week 20: Late Wins

Well, that was a series, wasn't it? I think we would all be happy if the victories this week are perhaps a little less stressful, but after three in a row, do the D-backs have any more late wins in the tank?

Week 19 review

As you may recall, our line last week was based on the number of TOOTBLANs (base-running blunders) accumulated by the Diamondbacks over the series against the Mets and Orioles. Now, stop me if I'm wrong here, but I wasn't able to find a single example of one over the six games. There certainly weren't any caught stealing: we went 5-0 in that department. Similarly, I couldn't find any pickoffs, and the number of OOBs (outs on basepaths) shown by Baseball Reference appears still to be 35, what it was at this point last week.

It would appear, from what I can see, that the nearest we came was Gerardo Parra running into an out at home in the opener of the Baltimore series, only to be awarded the base due to fielder's obstruction [which sounds like something suffered by the Detroit slugger, after a heavy night at the post-game buffet...] It's possible I may have forgotten one, but considering the line was set at 3.5, the odds of having missed four TOOTBLANs seems pretty remote, so this round can only be classified as a thumping victory for those who went "under". Bets were about evenly-split again, which seems the mark of a well-judged line to me. Here are the results and updated standings:

  • Winners (11): Angry_Saguaro, AJV19, AzRattler. catbat, eel, FlannelFlapjacks, frienetic, Gildo, grimmy01, piratedan7, xmet
  • Sinners (10): AzDbackfanInDc, blank_38, GuruB, imstillhungry95, JoelPre, preston.salisbury, rd33, SenSurround, TolkienBard, walleye01

Standings

  • 12 points
    blank_38
  • 11 points
  • 10 points
    AJV19
    Gildo
    grimmy01
  • 9 points
  • 8 points
  • 7 points
    AzRattler
    GuruB
    JoelPre
    piratedan7
    SenSurround
    TolkienBard
    xmet
  • 6 points
    Angry_Saguaro
    walleye01
  • 5 points
    frienetic
    rd33
  • 4 points
    azshadowwalker
    Craig from Az
    FlannelFlapjacks
    Marc Fournier
  • 3 points
    azcougs
    AzDbackfanInDc
    BigLeagueAZ
    eel
    imstillhungry95
    preston.salisbury
  • 2 points
    bozzy35
    BrokeNBattleX
    catbat
    Maizefed
    Songbird
    TimInTucson
  • 1 point
    AZfan85308
    babakolo
    backtocali
    benhat
    BobRob12
    LiamNeeson
    Muu
    navyazfan
    porty99
    Shawnwck
    Xipooo
  • 0 points
    azsportsfan31
    BattleMoses
    Daniel Corbin Jr.
    Diamondhacks
    hotclaws
    leemellon
    littleRoom
    PatrickPetersonAZ
    since_98
    Stumpy657
    Surksquatch

Week 20 line

I was going to make it walk-off wins, and see how many people realized we are now going on the road, and so can't get one of those! But I decided that would be cruel and unusual, so instead, let's go for the away from home equivalent. What we're looking for are games where the Diamondbacks are tied or behind after eight innings, and end up victorious. As examples of this, Tuesday's and Wednesday's games against the Orioles would count, but Monday's would not, as we were 6-5 up after the eighth, and it took Brad Ziegler's first blown save of the season in the top of the ninth, to set up Adam Eaton with the walk-off.

So far, the team has picked up 16 late wins: we are an impressive 12-3 when the scores are tied at the beginning of the ninth, and we have also come back from behind on four occasions [As well as the last two Baltimore games, the others were @ COL (4/21) and @ LAD (6/10)]. However, the latter are relatively rare, and it's more likely that any win will come from a close game where we're level after eight. There are seven games this week, with three in Pittsburgh followed by four in Cincinnati, so will the Diamondbacks be able to draw any further from their well of late-inning heroics?

Diamondbacks late wins: 1½

Usual rules. Pick Over or under in the comments, by first pitch tomorrow against the Pirates (4:05pm, Arizona time. Get it right, and get a point, to be reflected in next week's standings.

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