FanPost

Matchups 7/2

Two young pitchers tonight, so no real history against them. Prado faced Hefner twice and failed to get a hit, striking out once. Thanks to Corbin's start against the Mets last year, there is a bit more data, and it's not good: a .444/.524/.778 slash. With only 21 plate appearances, I'm calling small sample size. Of course, that's the only real hope.

Eric Young, Jr., leads in plate appearances, and has gone 3 for 6, each hit being a double. Andrew Brown is 2 for 5 with a home run. Daniel Murphy is 2 for 2. Heck, John Buck got a hit. On the bright side, David Wright was 0 for 2. I'm not going to bother posting a link because of the small sample size, but all data, as normal, is from baseball-reference.com.

I'm trying to find hope here, but not really finding any. Hefner, despite the bad record, has been pretty solid, and his ERA has dropped in seven straight starts. 10 of 15 starts have been quality starts. Given our total batting incompetence, it seems the only way we win this game is if Corbin pitches a complete game shutout and adds a home run. Which, considering he's gotten a hit and scored a run in each of his last two starts, might just happen. But I'm concerned about fatigue eventually setting in; over April and May when Corbin was otherworldly, he only went over 100 pitches twice (and one of those was his last start of May.) In June, he's gone over 100 pitches in five of six starts, which means he's passed the 100 pitch mark in 6 of 7 starts. Given that he has to eat innings (barring a roster move to get another long reliever up here), I'm concerned what the toll on his arm will be.

In sum, I'm not expecting much out of this game. If MLB.com chooses to show it, I'll definitely tune in. But I have no real expectations. Hopefully the D-backs can exceed them.

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