With the 2013 Rule IV MLB draft coming up on Thursday, it's time to release our pre-draft Top 60 Prospect List. We've now had 2 months to evaluate this year's prospects, incorporate the new off-season additions, and remove those who are no longer in our system. I've included my rating system for what I think their potential is, which has always inspired plenty of debate.
The biggest change to the list for me is I've moved Archie Bradley into the top spot. This wasn't an easy thing to do since Tyler Skaggs has made great strides from his early season struggles and even made an impressive major league start just a week ago. So it's more due to what Archie Bradley is doing than what Tyler Skaggs is not doing. Bradley just looks like one of those really rare prospects that is head and shoulders above the competition and he has landed on most Top 10 overall prospect lists by many of the top evaluators.
I've also moved Didi Gregorius onto the list at #4, just behind Adam Eaton, though he did get serious consideration for the #3 spot based on what he's done in the first two months of the season. Two more months of that and he'll pass Eaton, though he'll also be coming off the list around the same time as he loses his rookie status. A couple of fast risers have taken big jumps on our list, in particular Jake Lamb and Jake Barrett. Players who have fallen a few spots include Michael Perez, who is really struggling to hit A+ pitching, and Anthony Meo who is having a tough time with his command at the same level.
Other interesting movers include 20-year-old Brandon Drury who is tearing it up in South Bend, and Nick Ahmed, who hasn't been able to hit anything since coming over in the deal for Justin Upton. As always, any player that still maintains their rookie status is eligible for the list. We won't incorporate this year's draft picks into our list until around July when we see who has actually signed and maybe even have a chance to see some of them in action. So with no further ado, here's out Pre-Draft Top 60 Prospects list.
90-100 Outstanding prospect. All-Star potential.
80-89 Very good prospect. Potential feature player with above-average production..
70-79 Solid prospect. Has a fair chance of becoming a contributing ML player.
60-69 Good prospect. Has an outside chance of making it to the majors.
50-59 Average prospect. Chance to get to the majors but will need further development.
40-49 Borderline prospect. Can’t be written off yet but odds are against.
30-39 Below average prospect. Long shot but could be good organizational guy.
|Rank||Prospect||Pos||2013 Level||Age*||JB Rating||Comments|
|1||Archie Bradley||LHP||AA||21||95||Looking special|
|2||Tyler Skaggs||RHP||AAA||22||94||ST problems look solved|
|3||Adam Eaton||OF||Majors||24||91||Injury derailed him|
|4||Didi Gregorius||SS||Majors||23||90||Looks like the real deal|
|5||Matt Davidson||3B||AAA||22||89||Defense is a concern|
|6||David Holmberg||LHP||AA||21||88||Looking good not great|
|7||Chris Owings||SS||AAA||22||86||Hit tool is plus|
|8||Stryker Trahan||C||Rookie||19||85||May end up an OF|
|9||Andrew Chafin||LHP||AA||22||84||Doing well in AA|
|10||A.J. Pollock||OF||Majors||24||79||Nice 4th OF|
|11||Jake Lamb||3B||A+||22||78||Statement year so far|
|12||Michael Perez||C||A+||20||77||Can't hit A+ pitching|
|13||Jake Barrett||RHP||A+||21||77||Bucking for promotion|
|14||Alfredo Marte||OF||AAA||24||76||Future 4th OF?|
|15||Anthony Meo||RHP||AA||23||75||Struggling with command|
|16||Jose Munoz||SS||Rookie||19||72||Has plus tools|
|17||Brandon Drury||3B||Low A||20||71||Coming on strong|
|18||Zeke Spruill||RHP||AAA||23||70||Getting hit lately|
|19||Chase Anderson||RHP||AAA||25||69||PCL victim|
|20||Nick Ahmed||SS||AA||23||68||Can't buy a hit|
|21||Jonathan Griffin||1B||AA||24||66||AA has slowed him|
|22||Keon Broxton||OF||AA||23||65||Hot and cold|
|23||Alex Glenn||OF||A||21||65||Playing solidly|
|24||Matt Gorgen||RHP||AAA||26||65||More good than bad|
|25||Andrew Velasquez||SS/2B||Rookie||18||64||Ready for year two|
|26||Fidel Pena||C/2B||A||21||63||Not flashing yet|
|27||Gerson Montilla||2B||A+||23||62||Playing well|
|28||Cody Wheeler||LHP||A+||23||60||Recently promoted|
|29||Evan Marzilli||OF||A+||22||59||More glove than bat|
|30||Eury De La Rosa||LHP||AAA||23||58||Solid in AAA|
|31||Michael Bolsinger||RHP||AA||25||56||Pitching lights out|
|32||Charles Brewer||RHP||AAA||25||55||AAA ceiling?|
|33||Michael Freeman||SS||AA||25||52||Still holding his own|
|34||Kevin Munson||RHP||AAA||24||51||Making progress|
|35||Ben Eckels||RHP||Rookie||19||51||2nd season on tap|
|36||Seth Simmons||RHP||A+||24||50||Terrific so far in A+|
|37||Felipe Perez||RHP||Rookie||19||50||1st season on deck|
|38||Daniel Watts||LHP||A||23||49||Lots of good outings|
|39||Socrates Brito||OF||A||20||48||Untapped potential|
|40||Andrew Barbosa||LHP||A+||25||47||Injury slowed a good start|
|41||Chuck Taylor||OF||Rookie||19||45||Needs step forward|
|42||Alexander Carreras||LHP||A+||23||43||Not pitching yet|
|43||Pedro Ruiz||2B/SS||A||21||42||Young but shaky glove|
|44||Blake Perry||RHP||A||21||40||Time to start showing|
|45||Jesse Darrah||RHP||A||23||40||Good bounce back year|
|46||Jose Martinez||RHP||Rookie||19||40||Scouts like him|
|47||Kevin Medrano||2B||A||23||39||Just keeps hitting|
|48||R.J. Hively||RHP||A||24||39||Terrific closing so far|
|49||Evan Marshall||RHP||AAA||23||38||Going wrong way|
|50||Breland Almadova||OF||A||22||37||Playing solidly|
|51||Sean Jamieson||SS||A+||24||37||Outplaying others at SS|
|52||Tyler Bortnick||INF||AAA||25||35||Good but at ceiling?|
|53||Brian Billigen||OF||Rookie||23||33||Waiting for season 2|
|54||Chase Stevens||RHP||Rookie||22||32||Showed well in 2012|
|55||Raul Garcia||SS||Rookie||18||31||Is he coming stateside?|
|57||Ty Linton||OF||Rookie||22||30||Last chance coming up|
|58||Ryan Court||3B||A+||25||30||Light bulb is on|
|59||Rudy Flores||1B||A||22||30||Good start to 2013|
*Age as of June 1, 2013