Trumbo Has a Hole in His Bat

Mike Stobe

Get used to seeing pitches low and away, Diamondbacks fans.

When I opened up this window, I was hoping to dig through the numbers and find something positive to say about Mark Trumbo's skill-set beyond the fact that he has tons of home run threat. Instead, I found myself looking at his HitFX data and felt the darkness close around me.

Trumbo1_medium

Information provided by Brooksbaseball.net

As you can see above, Trumbo is pitched in the lower right four squares about 30% of the time. This isn't uncommon for right handers, as it can be a trouble spot as pitches move out of the optimal hit zone. Where we run into trouble is the next is what Trumbo does with that part of the zone.

I used Carlos Quentin as a comp, because Baseball Reference listed him as the closest through age 27 and I'm nothing if not a follower. Quentin sees less in that lower right quadrant, but not significantly (28.51% vs 28.24%). Where the two diverge is what they do with this part of the zone.

Trumbo2_mediumQuentin1_medium

Quentin consistently swings more in that bottom right 4 squares. But maybe that just means he's too aggressive, and that Trumbo is more effective with that difficult zone? Not quite:

Trumbo3_medium Quentin2_medium

Trumbo swings and misses more consistently than Quentin, and even when he gets the bat on the ball it does nothing. Trumbo slugs .091 in the bottom right square, compared to Quentin's marginally better .116.

Right-handed batters have trouble with this part of the zone across the board (even Mike Trout and Miguel Cabrera, two of the best right-handers currently playing, have trouble with that lowest square), so that Trumbo struggles here as well isn't too surprising. The difference for Arizona new acquisition, though, is that he sees this zone higher than his comps or even the top baseline of Cabrera.

The reason why should be obvious: hitters that show they can hit in that range, even if it's just slightly better than the crowd, aren't going to be pitched there as often. That Trumbo really can't handle it in anyway means he's going to to see a full 10% of pitches in the lowest square.

I don't pile on the poor guy; I'm sure's very nice, and I certainly hope he does well now that he's a Diamondback. I just can't promise I won't be really frustrated every time I see a low and away pitch. And I know I'm going to see a ton.

SB Nation Featured Video
X
Log In Sign Up

forgot?
Log In Sign Up

Forgot password?

We'll email you a reset link.

If you signed up using a 3rd party account like Facebook or Twitter, please login with it instead.

Forgot password?

Try another email?

Almost done,

By becoming a registered user, you are also agreeing to our Terms and confirming that you have read our Privacy Policy.

Join AZ Snake Pit

You must be a member of AZ Snake Pit to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at AZ Snake Pit. You should read them.

Join AZ Snake Pit

You must be a member of AZ Snake Pit to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at AZ Snake Pit. You should read them.

Spinner.vc97ec6e

Authenticating

Great!

Choose an available username to complete sign up.

In order to provide our users with a better overall experience, we ask for more information from Facebook when using it to login so that we can learn more about our audience and provide you with the best possible experience. We do not store specific user data and the sharing of it is not required to login with Facebook.

tracking_pixel_9351_tracker