FanPost

Is Drew about to get hot ?

They keep saying on the broadcast how Drew has been hitting the ball hard, but been very unlucky. In Drew's case, that's probably true.

Prior to tonights game his BABIP was just .273, and based on his line drive rate, it should be a good deal higher. The thing is, out of Drew's 44 Balls in play check out the difference in classification between BB-Ref and FG

BR-GB=12, LD=13, FB=19
FG-GB=12, LD=18, FB=14

Thats a huge classification difference in such a small sample size. I wonder whats up with that ? Either way though it's a lot of line drives....over 30% by bb-ref, over 40% by FG. He's probably "missing" about 3, maybe 4 hits. His batting average should probably be somewhere between .267-.283, as opposed to his current .217 on 13 for 60 hitting. He does have 4 doubles already....but he has also shown a lot of just warning track power. Drew has always hit a lot of warning track fly balls anyway, but I think as he gets a little stronger, a couple will start getting over the wall soon.

I look for Drew to break out very soon and go on a hitting tear. He usually has one insanely hot month, filled with a ton of extra base hits. Such as

Aug 2010 .310/.381/.628 with 8 DB, 2 TP, 8 HR, 25 runs and 19 RBI.
Or July 2009, .323/.398/.573, 8 DB, 5 TR, 2 HR.......
or September 2008. .337/.387/.653. 10 DB, 2 TR, 6 HR.

His hottest month last year was April, but it didn't quite have the oomph of the previously monthly XBH riots. .321/.389/.531 7 DB, 2 TP, 2 HR.

Anyway, my guess is he has one of those months in him and this year it will be August. The question is who will he have it for ? Who knows, maybe they fail to move him and a Drew hot streak helps fuel a miracle resurgence for this team. Ya never know.


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