Diamondbacks Report Card: Joe Paterson
Name: Joe Paterson
Nicknames: "Joe-paw"
Age on Opening Day: 24
Salary: $414,000
2011 Stats: 62 games, 34 IP, 2.91 ERA, 0-3, 28:15 K:BB
2010 Stats: N/A
In 2010, the D-backs bullpen had the worst ERA among all 30 teams. Not only were they grossly awful with a 5.74 ERA, but they were more than a full run behind the next worst team - the Cubs - at 4.72. Then Kevin Towers became the new GM and the great reliever project of 2011 began. Mark Reynolds was traded for relievers, J.J. Putz was signed and Saul Rivera, Carlos Rosa and Blaine Boyer were told never to come back. Eventually, the Diamondbacks would select Joe Paterson in the Rule 5 draft as the silly Giants decided to leave their 2009 Eastern League All-Star unprotected. Joe-paw would quickly become one of the leading reasons why the 2011 bullpen improved to a 3.71 ERA.
34 innings pitched later and it seems as if the Diamondbacks may have solidified their LOOGY void for the foreseeable future with a nice, young pitcher. One who is the sole cause for Prince Fielder moving to the American League.
After recording the final out to win the 2007 NCAA College World Series, Paterson was drafted in the 10th round by the San Francisco Giants. He reportedly never viewed himself as LOOGY but as he progressed through the minors and eventually into the majors he found himself pitching to splits more often than not. Over parts of four seasons in the Giants' farm system, he tallied a 2.64 ERA, relieving in 175 games, and managed a decent 232:80 K:BB.
The D-backs grabbed him in the 2010 Rule 5 draft and most critics highly approved of the acquisition as long as he would be confined to the LOOGY role.
Diamondbacks : Joe Paterson, LHP, from Giants: 24 year old southpaw, posted 3.48 ERA with 49/24 K/BB in 54 innings for Triple-A Fresno. Doesn't throw hard but has a good breaking ball, classic LOOGY type.
- John Sickels, "Rule 5 Draft Analysis"
I love this pick for the Diamondbacks, more so than any other reliever they've picked up recently through free agency or trade. I've mentioned Paterson in a few articles both at FanGraphs.com and here at BaseballAnalysts.com suggesting that he'd be a perfect LOOGY in the Majors. His ceiling isn't huge, obviously, as a future Ron Mahay or Brian Shouse, but most teams are in need of a good left-handed reliever...
- Marc Hulet, "Reviewing the 2010 Rule 5 Draft"
He wasted no time in living up to the mini hype, appearing in 19 games, pitching 10 innings with a 10:3 K:BB, holding opponents to a .143 BA and .402 OPS, and allowing only 3 of the 20 inherited runners to score. It wasn't until May 21 that Paterson had given up a run. Then of course, there's this...
There's no denying how valuable Joe Paterson was to the team this past year. He'll never throw many innings thanks to his poor velocity on all four of his pitches, but he's a perfect LOOGY for any team and there shouldn't be any reason for him not to succeed in that role. I was excited when he was selected in the Rule 5 draft but I wasn't expecting the level of quality he provided.
Grade: A
Other Snakepitter's grades:
Jim: A
History has told us not to expect much from Rule 5 draft picks. They are, in many ways, the ultimate low-risk, high-reward for a team. $50K gets you a player, and if he doesn’t work out, you might get half that back. Usually, they don’t. Less than a handful of last year’s Rule 5 players stayed with who selected them, and Paterson was the sole one to genuinely justify his spot on the 25-man roster by performance. While ERA is a bit wobbly for bullpen arms, only two other left-handed Arizona relievers with 15+ IP have had a sub-three ERA (Greg Swindell in 1999 and Doug Slaten in 2007). Really, a phenomenal return for $50K.
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Comments
A
Room for improvement. Next year I expect him to not give up a single run
isitspringtrainingyet.com
A
He wasn’t Jordan Norberto, and that’s good enough for me.
Ian, Daniel, Josh, and two Trevors: It's not a Christian rock group.
by Zavada's Moustache on Feb 6, 2012 6:26 PM EST reply actions
A-
Anchored the left handed specialist role. Very impressive to me.
sententia Platonis semper in ore illius fuit, florere civitates si aut philosophi imperarent aut imperantes philosopharentur
A
HEY SAN FRANCISCO!
I DRINK YOUR MILKSHAKE!
"Clearly the Brewers didn't realize that going into Beast Mode raised their testosterone levels."
by tcyoung
B
It’s a good thing Gibson / Nagy stuck Paterson in as many low leverage spots as possible, cuz that’s the only time he wasnt terrible. In fact, he excelled in low leverage, which is worth something. Not quite enough to bump his WPA into positive territory, but the kid exceeded expectations and did a nice overall job.
Overrated southpaw shares initials with Johnny Podres and Jackson Pollock.
Reporters asked the Phillies' skipper how his pitcher had managed to injure himself in his sleep. "I don’t know," Manuel said. "I didn’t sleep with him."
Good point
I shouldve said he was terrible outside of low leverage, on balance or overall. Yes, he delivered in some individual high pressure circumstances….and that is a vivid example.
Reporters asked the Phillies' skipper how his pitcher had managed to injure himself in his sleep. "I don’t know," Manuel said. "I didn’t sleep with him."
Couple of thoughts
a) This covers a total of 51 non low-leverage PAs, basically a useless sample size.
b) Paterson had a BABIP of .400 there.
I think “terrible” is a stretch, unless you believe in “clutch pitching” (which I feel exists as much as the unicorn-like “clutch hitting”).
"There's one rule by which I generally run my life:
What would Mothra do?"
by Jim McLennan on Feb 7, 2012 10:40 AM EST up reply actions
I'm assessing past (actual) performance,
not future results. Maybe his leverage split doesnt project forward, but so what? The fact is Joe pitched much better than league (.196 ops vs better) when his situational appearances werent terribly decisive, and much worse than league (.159 ops vs worse) when they were. That eroded the team’s ability to win games, at least to some degree, that isnt immediately obvious.
I would (hope to) think that sort of input, advancing the possibility his contextual results werent quite as valuable as the 2.91 ERA at first appears, would be met with more relevance than “basically it’s a useless sample size”. Heck, his entire season (34 ip) is ‘basically useless’ in terms of projectability.
I like the kid. He did fine, considering expectations. But he also contributed negative Win Probability on the season. I gave that a B.
Reporters asked the Phillies' skipper how his pitcher had managed to injure himself in his sleep. "I don’t know," Manuel said. "I didn’t sleep with him."
one of KT's
best moves last year, scooping up Joe-Paw in the Rule 5.
I want my baseball season!!!
Tired of waiting.
Insanity: Doing the same thing over and over and expecting a different result.
by sonic barracuda on Feb 6, 2012 11:47 PM EST reply actions
Two more months man!
two more months….
"Clearly the Brewers didn't realize that going into Beast Mode raised their testosterone levels."
by tcyoung
Two months?
Forget that! Two weeks until pitchers and catchers report!
isitspringtrainingyet.com
by imstillhungry95 on Feb 7, 2012 10:18 AM EST up reply actions
This.
For me, spring training begins when pitchers and catchers report.
sententia Platonis semper in ore illius fuit, florere civitates si aut philosophi imperarent aut imperantes philosopharentur
by NASCARbernet on Feb 7, 2012 12:57 PM EST up reply actions
Same here!
News starts happening then!
isitspringtrainingyet.com
by imstillhungry95 on Feb 7, 2012 3:20 PM EST up reply actions
B.
A lefty specialist isn’t a terribly valuable commodity, but he performed well in his limited role.
The bird is struggling out of the egg. The egg is the world. Whoever wants to be born, must first destroy a world.
by Stupendous Man on Feb 7, 2012 12:47 AM EST via mobile reply actions

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