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Series Preview #35: Arizona Diamondbacks at Los Angeles Dodgers‏

(Ed.'s note: Zavada's Moustache is still being held for ransom by pirates or something like that, so jinnah guest wrote the preview this week.)

I know what you’re all thinking - a series preview for the Dodgers? Didn’t we just play them? Yep, we did, a mere two weeks ago at home, where we took two of the three games from them. So I propose we do to them what we unfortunately couldn’t do against the Padres, and go for the sweep. You never know, the Dodgers front office might actually like a bunch of Diamondback fans walking around the stadium with their brooms, considering they can hardly afford to pay their players, much less their custodians.

Star-divide

What the Stats Say (according to Fangraphs):

Arizona
(57-48)
Los Angeles
(47-57)
Edge
Hitting (wRC+): 96 89
Arizona
Pitching (FIP):
4.02 3.60
Los Angeles
Fielding (UZR):
40.8 2.9 Arizona

 

As previously stated, the last time we met the Dodgers, we took the last two games of the series from them. Since then the Dbacks have gone 6-4 and our offense has been smokin’, outscoring their opponents 48-36. The Dodgers also have a winning record but have only outscored their opponents by 1, which must just be torture for them.

… Oh wait, this isn’t the Giants we’re talking about. I digress.

The interesting back story, naturally, is the "everything must go including the concession stands" sale that the Dodgers are supposedly having. The Diamondbacks are rumored to be interested in Jamey Carroll, who has not had an RBI since June 12th and is .205/.295/.256 in that time. Well, why not, except in the same amount of time (with each starting in 20 games), Willie Bloomquist has hit .326/.376/.407 with 5 RBI. If we’re getting a rental for 2 months, I don’t very much see the point.

Of course, who cares about such petty things when we have The Justin Upton to talk about? He’s gone yard five times since the last Dodger series, each one travelling an average of approximately seven miles. Or 425 feet. Take your pick, really. We’ve also seen the major league debut of Collin Cowgill ("hitless" in eight at bats with a fielder’s choice and a steal) and Micah Owings’ first start since May 26th, where he threw five shutout innings against the Rockies.

Starting Lineups:

Arizona Diamondbacks

Ryan Roberts, 3B
Kelly Johnson, 2B
Justin Upton, RF
Willie Bloomquist, SS
Chris Young, CF
Miguel Montero, C
Brandon Allen, 1B
Gerardo Parra, LF

Los Angeles Dodgers

Tony Gwynn Jr., LF
Rafael Furcal, SS
Andre Either, RF
Matt Kemp, CF
James Loney, 1B
Juan Uribe, 3B
Dioner Navarro, C
Jamey Carroll, 2B

I could pretty much copy and paste Zavada’s Moustache’s ten fun facts about the Dodgers here, because it’s all still relevant. He said it best when he said there was no reason to throw Kemp or Ethier anything near the strike zone - they remain the only two batters on the team who have over 2 fWAR.

Some random trivia about the Dodgers:

  1. Kenley Jansen was hospitalized with an irregular heartbeat after getting the save on Tuesday night against the Rockies, but is expected to rejoin the team tomorrow.
  2. Josh Lindblom, a RH reliever on the Chattanooga Lookouts (AA) was spotted saying goodbye to his teammates during the game. It could be he’s getting traded, but there’s also a chance we could be seeing him in the Dodgers’ bullpen this weekend.
  3. Apparently, Clayton Kershaw’s like a boss when it comes to the strike zone. Good thing we’re not facing him this time around.
  4. Juan Uribe has been out for a few days due to an abdominal strain. That must be a real blow to the Dodgers line up, what with his lofty 0.6 fWAR and all.
  5. Did you know that Andre Ethier went to ASU?

Pitching Matchups

Friday: Josh Collmenter (6-5, 2.74) vs. Ted Lilly (6-10, 5.08)

(Not so) Insightful Commentary: Collmenter had a bit of a slump going on in his first few starts, but the kid from Homer, Michigan has picked himself up by his bootstraps. He’s 2-0 with a 1.29 ERA in his last three starts, with a FIP this year of 3.32. Meanwhile, Ted Lilly, shockingly, has continued to struggle in his outings, giving up six runs in five innings in his last start against the Nationals.

 

Saturday: Micah Owings (4-0, 2.36) vs. Chad Billingsley (9-8, 3.92)

(Not so) Insightful Commentary: Boy, Micah Owings sure wants that #5 spot. I’m inclined to hand it to him, considering his last start had him giving up no runs through five … and because I don’t think he can do much worse than Armando Galarraga, who we kept around for far too long. Chad Billingsley also had a stellar last start; after allowing the first four batters he faced to reach base, he retired 21 of the next 22. Let’s hope he used up all his good fortune last Sunday.

 

Sunday: Joe Saunders (7-8, 3.63) vs. Rubby de la Rosa (4-4, 3.49)

(Not so) Insightful Commentary: Well, Joe Saunders. What can we say? I’ll let soco’s article, and the subsequent comments, do most of the talking, but I would like to point out the complete game that Saunders threw on Tuesday against the Padres. Rubby de la Rosa, on the other hand, has only allowed seven runs in his last six starts. This is his first time pitching against the Diamondbacks, so let’s hope that’s a point in our favor.

Final Verdict: I’m basing this, of course, on gut feeling, but facing a rookie we haven’t seen before makes me nervous. So while I certainly hope we get the sweep, I’m going to call this series as two games to one.

Data courtesy of Fangraphs, B-R, ESPN Hit Tracker, and our good friends over at True Blue LA. Go drop in and say hey, but remember to be nice.

 

 


Current Series

3 game series vs Dodgers @ Dodger Stadium

Arizona Diamondbacks
@ Los Angeles Dodgers

Friday, Jul 29, 2011, 10:10 PM EDT
Dodger Stadium

Josh Collmenter vs Ted Lilly

Clear. Winds blowing out to right field at 5-10 m.p.h. Game time temperature around 75.

 

Complete Coverage >

Sat 07/30 10:10 PM EDT
Sun 07/31 4:10 PM EDT

Comment 48 comments  |  0 recs  | 

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Comments

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I would love

to be walking around Dodgers with a broom…

DROOOOOOOOOOOOO!!! WHHYYYYYYYYY!!!!

by imstillhungry95 on Jul 29, 2011 1:07 PM EDT reply actions  

My Prediction

is a sweep. We came close against the Padres, but our undercover agent felt that his cover had almost been blown the first two games, so he had to knock in the winning run. Since we don’t need an undercover agent in this game, we should be able to sweep, with, as jinnah pointed out, the only real trouble spot being Rubby De La Rosa

DROOOOOOOOOOOOO!!! WHHYYYYYYYYY!!!!

by imstillhungry95 on Jul 29, 2011 1:09 PM EDT up reply actions  

The Dodgers

are a better team than the Padres, though.

HEY, FRENCHY! STAR TREK OR STAR WARS?

by DbacksSkins on Jul 29, 2011 1:16 PM EDT up reply actions  

This

It’s really hard to sweep in this league, but a series win should do nicely. That probably won’t be enough to get closer to the Giants, but let’s face it, as long as they keep winning like they are (series win on the road against the best team in baseball), we’re not catching them.

Wild card, anyone?

by paqs on Jul 29, 2011 1:36 PM EDT up reply actions  

Not by much...

DROOOOOOOOOOOOO!!! WHHYYYYYYYYY!!!!

by imstillhungry95 on Jul 29, 2011 3:39 PM EDT up reply actions  

We’ll be fortunate to take the series. They have a clear pitching edge in one game, one is a wash, and one is slightly in our favor.

"Baseball fans are junkies, and their heroin is the statistic." Robert S. Wieder

by njjohn on Jul 29, 2011 4:07 PM EDT up reply actions  

Wait.

Rubby? That’s a real name?

Ugh.

I should have a mfin theme song.

by emilylovesthedbacks on Jul 29, 2011 1:08 PM EDT reply actions  

I'm

pretty sure that’s his really name

DROOOOOOOOOOOOO!!! WHHYYYYYYYYY!!!!

by imstillhungry95 on Jul 29, 2011 1:09 PM EDT up reply actions  

It's

a biblical name, from the book of the prophet Rubby.

There are lots of de la Rosas with odd first names. Jorge is the most normal, but you also have Rubby and Eury.

HEY, FRENCHY! STAR TREK OR STAR WARS?

by DbacksSkins on Jul 29, 2011 1:15 PM EDT up reply actions  

Fun fact!

Of RDLR’s 12 career MLB starts, 3 have come against the Rockies.

HEY, FRENCHY! STAR TREK OR STAR WARS?

by DbacksSkins on Jul 29, 2011 1:16 PM EDT up reply actions  

that is pretty much what I think

every time I see his name.

I don't let facts get in the way of my opinion.

by jinnah on Jul 29, 2011 1:22 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions  

That sounds like the stage name

Of someone working at a shady massage parlor.

Founder of the 'Foundation for the Advancement of Clefoing' a 501C3
"I'm like if it fits in the oven, play ball." - soco
Promised Colin Cowgill fifteen sandwiches on 7/6/2011

by Clefo on Jul 29, 2011 1:28 PM EDT up reply actions   1 recs

+1

He lucked out with his last name. Things could be a lot worse.

"Baseball fans are junkies, and their heroin is the statistic." Robert S. Wieder

by njjohn on Jul 29, 2011 4:06 PM EDT up reply actions  

Rubby...

Just call him Rubby Dub Dubby

Sounds like a rap star name

"I didn't mean to hit the umpire with the dirt, but I did mean to hit that bastard in the stands." -Babe Ruth

by Rockkstarr12 on Jul 29, 2011 5:29 PM EDT up reply actions  

Tonight's game

Those are guesses at starting lineups, right?

The Diamondbacks are very slight favorites (around 52%) in tonight’s game. The big question will be how many HRs will Ted Lilly give up. The guy should’ve been pitching in the HR derby in Arizona a couple of weeks ago.

The Top 10 most likely scores from today’s simulation are…

1. LAN 3-2
2. LAN 4-3
3. LAN 2-1
4. ARI 3-2
5. LAN 5-4
6. ARI 4-3
7. ARI 2-1
8. ARI 4-2
9. ARI 3-1
10. LAN 3-1

Note: Keep in mind due to math and the rules of baseball there is a skewing of home team one run wins.

Here are the TBLA Contest Questions

A. O/U Total Runs Scored: 7.0 (1:1)
B. O/U Lilly minus Collmenter Strikeouts: 1.5 (1:1)
C. O/U Matt Kemp minus Justin Upton Total Bases: 0.5 (1:1)
D. O/U Dodgers total number of hits: 8.5 (1:1)
E. O/U Dodgers number of relief pitchers used: 3.5 (1:1)

F. (Prop bet) More than 8.5 combined runs are scored: (2:1)
G. (Prop bet) Ted Lilly allows two or more HRs: (3:1)
H. (Prop bet) The Dodgers score five or six runs: (5:1)

by Xeifrank on Jul 29, 2011 2:05 PM EDT reply actions  

thanks!

I don't let facts get in the way of my opinion.

by jinnah on Jul 29, 2011 2:30 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions  

The best part about playing against Ted Lilly

Is that I get to repost this pic:

Don't blink; blink and you're dead. Don't turn your back, don't look away, and don't blink. Good luck!

by Stile4aly on Jul 29, 2011 2:29 PM EDT reply actions   1 recs

And, I feel confident, you won't be the last to do so.

I feel particularly confident, since I’m writing the GDT. :-)

Daron "...the D. Baxter fan-club"
Mark: "A non-profit organization."

by Jim McLennan on Jul 29, 2011 2:39 PM EDT up reply actions  

That never gets old

In fact, that is almost as wonderful as the picture of Gonzo jumping up and down the 1st base line after his bloop hit

DROOOOOOOOOOOOO!!! WHHYYYYYYYYY!!!!

by imstillhungry95 on Jul 29, 2011 3:39 PM EDT up reply actions  

Agreed!

"I didn't mean to hit the umpire with the dirt, but I did mean to hit that bastard in the stands." -Babe Ruth

by Rockkstarr12 on Jul 29, 2011 5:30 PM EDT up reply actions  

+1

"Baseball fans are junkies, and their heroin is the statistic." Robert S. Wieder

by njjohn on Jul 29, 2011 4:02 PM EDT up reply actions  

Hee hee!

Never gets old! Come on CY! Do it again!

by SongBird on Jul 29, 2011 7:08 PM EDT up reply actions  

Kershaw

What a break to miss him in the rotation. He’s absolutely sick right now. Guy scares me as much as Lincecum.

"Baseball fans are junkies, and their heroin is the statistic." Robert S. Wieder

by njjohn on Jul 29, 2011 4:03 PM EDT reply actions  

The old person's edition?

What’s with the font, by the way? Never seen that font used here before.

"Baseball fans are junkies, and their heroin is the statistic." Robert S. Wieder

by njjohn on Jul 29, 2011 4:03 PM EDT reply actions  

It's the same font

Just, you know, bigger

Founder of the 'Foundation for the Advancement of Clefoing' a 501C3
"I'm like if it fits in the oven, play ball." - soco
Promised Colin Cowgill fifteen sandwiches on 7/6/2011

by Clefo on Jul 29, 2011 4:19 PM EDT up reply actions  

I'm glad we're taking steps

to be elderly friendly. It befits the Arizona populace.

"Baseball fans are junkies, and their heroin is the statistic." Robert S. Wieder

by njjohn on Jul 29, 2011 4:24 PM EDT up reply actions  

I like it.

I didn’t have to do Crtl + for the font.

Also, get off my lawn. ;-)

It's the stuff that dreams are made of
It's the slow and steady fire

by 4 Corners Fan on Jul 29, 2011 5:42 PM EDT up reply actions  

It's called

Skins Copies And Pastes In Styled Text Mode…. ;)

I stopped reading. Now I just write sarcastic, angry comments.. -- soco
They're not even cooking the ice! -- kishi

by snakecharmer on Jul 29, 2011 4:28 PM EDT up reply actions  

Nice preview, Jinnah!

It's the stuff that dreams are made of
It's the slow and steady fire

by 4 Corners Fan on Jul 29, 2011 5:43 PM EDT reply actions  

I had to do a double-take...

Willie Bloomquist is hitting cleanup?

Willie Bloomquist is hitting cleanup?

"A plethora of pinatas..."

by NASCARbernet on Jul 29, 2011 7:55 PM EDT reply actions  

+1

"Baseball fans are junkies, and their heroin is the statistic." Robert S. Wieder

by njjohn on Jul 29, 2011 11:12 PM EDT up reply actions  

the line up

was copied from a previous preview, because I wrote it yesterday and had no clue who was even playing today.

I don't let facts get in the way of my opinion.

by jinnah on Jul 29, 2011 9:05 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions  

Good to know

I thought maybe Gibby had had a stroke or something.

"A plethora of pinatas..."

by NASCARbernet on Jul 29, 2011 9:13 PM EDT up reply actions  

Well, maybe there'll be something safer and less scary

on Bravo for you to watch over the weekend…

Sorry, couldn’t resist.

;-)

"A plethora of pinatas..."

by NASCARbernet on Jul 29, 2011 8:56 PM EDT up reply actions  

I am a bit worried, too

Of course, I am always a bit worried when the back end of the rotation goes. If we couldn ‘t sweep the Padres, I can’t see it here. Hopefully 2 of 3.

by SongBird on Jul 29, 2011 9:00 PM EDT up reply actions  

On the other hand

I just watched the Giants load the bases with 0 out against Dontrelle Willis and only get 1 run out of it. That cheered me up.

by SongBird on Jul 29, 2011 9:01 PM EDT up reply actions  

Hi, I see that Chloe Hanslip

is going to be performing Korngold’s Violin Concerto this season. It’s such a good line up this year, I’ve ordered two season tickets.

"A plethora of pinatas..."

by NASCARbernet on Jul 29, 2011 9:12 PM EDT up reply actions  

Ah.

Yes. looks exciting. I get 50% off season tickets, too, BTW. My discount is available to anyone who wants it. It is applicable on everything but special events. All normal Classics and I believe on the Pops series as well.

by SongBird on Jul 29, 2011 9:14 PM EDT up reply actions  

BTW

Thanks for supporting the Symphony. They need all the help they can get. Symphony is hoping to finally get out of the red this season.

by SongBird on Jul 29, 2011 9:16 PM EDT up reply actions  

It's my pleasure

I actually enjoy fine arts music. Have you heard the recent recording of Striggio’s Lost Mass? Incredible.

"A plethora of pinatas..."

by NASCARbernet on Jul 29, 2011 9:24 PM EDT up reply actions  

Haven't heard it

Hmmm, I will look that up. Thanks.

by SongBird on Jul 29, 2011 9:42 PM EDT up reply actions  

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