Diamondbacks Select LHP Andrew Chafin with #43 Pick in MLB Draft
UPDATED: Alright, time to get a legitimate write-up in here about our Supplemental Round selection, left-hander Andrew Chafin from Kent State University. After the break we'll have basic bio info for Chafin, my impressions of the young man selected 43rd overall, and where I think he already slots in the team's prospect hierarchy.
Andrew Chafin, LHP
School: Kent State University
Ht/Wt: 6'2"/210
Birthday: June 17, 1990
Age: 20 years old
Keith Law's Top-100 Rank: #47
BA's Top-200 Rank: #38
The first detail you'll probably hear about Chafin from the draft pundits of the world is the fact that he missed the entire 2010 college baseball season recovering from Tommy John ligament replacement surgery. However, the surgery has not derailed Chafin's stuff, as he has reached up to 95 mph on radar guns during workouts, and will sit in the low-to-mid-90's as a starter. He can command the fastball to both sides of the plate, even since the surgery, which can limit fastball command for quite a while. His primary off-speed offering, his slider, earns some 70 grades (two separate links) according to BA on the 20-80 scouting scale (though it's worth noting that BA is considerably higher on Chafin than Law, as noted above). That's two above-average-to-plus pitches from the left-side, so there's considerable upside here for a college Supplemental Round pick.
On the downside, I've heard mixed reports on Chafin's off-speed offerings. The change-up appears to definitely be a work-in-progress, though BA again feels like it's showing signs of being an average pitch. Additionally, in spite of reports that the slider is comfortably plus, I've read that his ability to command it can be a little spotty since the surgery (this is from Law, the more bearish of the sources on Chafin). Regardless, though, both of the offerings could continue to dramatically improve the further separated he gets from his surgery. If that happens, Chafin's body, above-average-to-plus velocity from the left side, and typically-clean delivery give him potential as a mid-rotation starter - I see workhorse a #3 starter as the ceiling for Chafin. If the off-speed offerings don't progress as hoped and starting isn't an option, he'll be a nice relief option due to his left-handed velocity and potentially wipe-out slider.
Chafin will likely join the Visalia rotation once he signs with the D-backs, and could get in a little more work this year. On the other hand, though, he might be shut down this year after missing all of last year with the surgery and working as a reliever during his Freshman season. I'm sure the D-backs have a plan for Chafin, so we'll just have to wait and see what happens. For what it's worth, I think Chafin's combination of a mid-rotation ceiling and two currently above-average-or-better pitches puts him at the top of the team's second tier of pitching prospects, so I would currently put him at #9 in the system, just behind Chris Owings and just ahead of Patrick Corbin. So, yes, that means that I think we added three top-10 prospects (in a loaded system) in one day of the draft. It's a good day to be a D-backs fan.
Unfortunately, the YouTube gods had no throwing motion footage available for Chafin. Rare to see them come up short, but we'll have to do without video of the newerestest D-backs prospect.
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I'm almost expecting a Bumgarner comparison
Considering the comparison of picks 1 amd 2
Reading some of the reports on this kid
He could be decent. I always like southpaws and I think he could be decent…
Wagner Mateo will be the future of baseball!!!
by Bryan J. Boltik on Jun 6, 2011 11:20 PM EDT reply actions
Sometimes the lower round guys
are better motivated, and surprise people.
"If you give a Russian schoolboy a chart of heavenly bodies, he will make corrections." Dostoevsky
Just finished up the report on Chafin
I like what we have with this guy – definitely an arm to look out for in a system filled with good arms.
http://hasthelargehadroncolliderdestroyedtheworldyet.com/
by Dan Strittmatter on Jun 7, 2011 12:01 AM EDT reply actions
Interesting
Hard to determine what his stuff is going to look like eventually with that Tommy John surgery being so close in the past. Goodness knows pitches can be developed in the minor league system. I guess we’ll wait and see. But, he seems like he has some potential.
Not a terrible pick for the DBacks.
In the comp round, I’m shocked the Rays didn’t take Bell since they had a bajillion picks.
Days until Aug. 18: 135
four dead in ohio
tin soldiers and nixon comin’
we’re finally on our own
this summer i hear the drummin’
♫ i've entered a snake of pits with knives in the back of me ♫ can't call you or on you no more when they're attacking me ♫
Thanks alot, Nats.
Blowing another 4 run lead only this time you DON’T come back to win in extras. Assholes.
"What is it we're so afraid of? The bank closes, we get sick, my wife died on a plane? Pfft. What of these things happen? None of them. We worry anyway. Why?" -Ricky Roma, Glengarry Glen Ross
Just remember,
they didn’t hit anyone on purpose.
Days until Aug. 18: 135
by Reynolds rapper on Jun 7, 2011 8:21 AM EDT up reply actions
The Nationals
are worthless.
"If you give a Russian schoolboy a chart of heavenly bodies, he will make corrections." Dostoevsky
by NASCARbernet on Jun 7, 2011 11:12 AM EDT up reply actions
i feel like i can't even hate on Kevin Goldstein anymore
he loved our picks, including Chafin (one of his favorite non-1st rounders).
thought we had the best draft on day 1 in terms of both absolute talent, and value at our draft positions
Not "one of his favorite none-1st rounders"
His absolute favorite non-first-rounder from day one. Nice to get one vote of “hell yes!” from the scouting industry. KLaw said that Chafin was “disgusting” in his last outing before the draft. In the good way. :-)
http://hasthelargehadroncolliderdestroyedtheworldyet.com/
by Dan Strittmatter on Jun 7, 2011 11:57 AM EDT up reply actions
Think
the Nats had a better draft, and maybe the Red Sox, given what they were given.
HEY, FRENCHY! STAR TREK OR STAR WARS?
I'm loving this whole upside play all of a sudden.
Daniel Norris wants $4 million. That means he’ll probably sign for $3 million. PULL THE TRIGGER.
Or Austin Hedges. I’d do that also.
We have a budget, sadly : (
I’d still love Susac.
http://hasthelargehadroncolliderdestroyedtheworldyet.com/
by Dan Strittmatter on Jun 7, 2011 11:53 AM EDT up reply actions
note...
this is where the ranting for signing Blum AND Bloomquist AND Mora comes in….
by blue bulldog on Jun 7, 2011 12:07 PM EDT up reply actions
Was literally typing this exact thing…
AND Heilman AND Gallaraga…
"Baseball fans are junkies, and their heroin is the statistic." Robert S. Wieder
This, on the other hand,
Is a more reasonable complaint. At least the Heilman one. Galarraga made a little sense to keep at first.
http://hasthelargehadroncolliderdestroyedtheworldyet.com/
by Dan Strittmatter on Jun 7, 2011 2:20 PM EDT up reply actions
They were going to sign someone...
You want Gillespie & Abreu? I don’t. I’d take the vets, mediocre as they’ve been.
http://hasthelargehadroncolliderdestroyedtheworldyet.com/
by Dan Strittmatter on Jun 7, 2011 2:20 PM EDT up reply actions
Given the price difference
I would prefer Gillespie/Allen/Cowgill and Abreu…
"Baseball fans are junkies, and their heroin is the statistic." Robert S. Wieder
Mora was solid last year
And it worked out bad… really bad. It happens, but it’s nice that the bad signing was a $2MM mistake rather than a $127MM mistake (sorry Washington).
The difference between Bloomquist and one of those guys is $600k, and the difference between Blum and one of those guys is less than a million dollars per year. If it weren’t these guys, we’d have to add other guys to the 40-man ($400k per year).
http://hasthelargehadroncolliderdestroyedtheworldyet.com/
by Dan Strittmatter on Jun 8, 2011 2:09 AM EDT up reply actions
i think you really have to visit Melvin Mora's player page
to get an idea of how much he’s hurt our offense
like…it’s pretty absurd that our wRC+ is below 100, when we have six ostensive starters who range between wRC+ of 100 and 120, and the other two are both 90+
besides, the complaint isn’t even about vets versus AAA folks. it’s that we signed three of them when we really only needed one, or at most two.
by blue bulldog on Jun 7, 2011 11:18 PM EDT up reply actions
There is a video
on this guy that I’ve seen. If you go to Omaha Swag Episode 1 on Youtube in the middle of the video they have him throwing a NASTY 2-seamer.

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