Diamondbacks Select RHP Trevor Bauer with #3 Pick in MLB Draft
After the jump, a quick look at the newest member of the D-backs, with more to come later. UPDATED: Now that the Supplemental Round is over and Chafin's report is written up, I've found time to get back to this report and put up a more official (read: less repetitive) report on the #3 overall pick in today's Day One of the 2011 MLB Rule 4 Draft.
UCLA Junior RHP Trevor Bauer 15 Ks (vs. Oregon State) (via rkyosh007)
Trevor Bauer, RHP
School: UCLA
Ht/Wt: 6'2"/185
Birthday: 1/17/1990
Age: 20 years old
Keith Law's Top-100 Rank: 6
BA's Top-200 Rank: 5
Bauer was, the way I saw it, the most-talked about college player in this draft. It's not too hard to see why, to, with his combination of dominant numbers in the PAC-10, incredible workload at UCLA, and unusual combination of an intense fitness routine and unorthodox mechanics. Bauer set a PAC-10 record for strikeouts in a single season, breaking the record previously set by Mark Prior. How are these for some season stats: 136.2 IP, 1.25 ERA, 73 H, 203:36 K:BB, and 6 HR allowed. Scouts and draft pundits have pegged Bauer and second overall pick Danny Hultzen as the two players most likely to breeze through the minor leagues, and Bauer is expected to have a chance to compete for a big-league rotation spot with the D-backs as early as Opening Day 2012.
The stuff that Bauer works with is nothing short of phenomenal. He worked consistently in the mid-90s during college, but I could see him toning it down a mile per hour or two in pro ball for the sake of preserving his arm. His go-to pitch is what BA calls a plus to plus-plus curveball that is a devastating major-league-caliber out-pitch, also working with an above-average change-up, occasional slider or splitter, and a "reverse slider," a breaking ball that breaks to his arm side, which has also generated some plus ratings from scouts. So the final tally is an above-average-to-plus fastball, plus-plus curveball, plus screwball-thing, and above-average change-up. How's that for a repertoire? With upside of a top-end #2 starter, what's not to like about someone who can reach the big-leagues this quickly?
Well, the answer is that Bauer has been worked to death at UCLA. He's thrown nine straight complete games to finish the season, and has a regular regiment of long-toss and strength exercises that he goes through even on days he pitches. With all that work over the course of one season, it's hard to not be worried a bit about Bauer falling apart. His mechanics are unorthodox, with an old-school step-back progressing into a high kick and rapid core movement, generating a ton of torque from his abs, and finally an enormous stride with a smooth but long, very high, and very fast arm action, finishing well behind his plant leg. Additionally, if anybody has good reason for sporting unorthodox mechanics, it's Bauer, as he's a real student of pitching who has put in hours of research studying things "like biomechanics, effective velocity, and pitch tunneling" (link). I'm willing to defer to a guy who has put in that much work at figuring out the best way to utilize his body and pitch without injuring himself. If he can keep himself together, he'll be a big-league stud, plain and simple.
Video of Bauer pitching (this video shows multiple angles of Bauer's delivery):
For those interested, Bauer immediately jumps into the #2 spot on my D-backs system prospects list once he signs, just barely beaten out by Jarrod Parker, who I remain very bullish on. Yet even I will admit that the debate between Bauer and Parker for top dog in the system is a very close one, and compelling arguments can be made for either arm.
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I had just this one ready
Figured it would be Bauer. : )
http://hasthelargehadroncolliderdestroyedtheworldyet.com/
by Dan Strittmatter on Jun 6, 2011 8:01 PM EDT up reply actions
I'm happy with the pick
And as a “24” fan, having someone named Bauer on the team is freaking awesome.
Lifelong Arizona Cardinals/Phoenix Suns/Chicago Bears fan [I have always lived in Arizona, dad is from Chicago].
by JoeCB1991 on Jun 6, 2011 7:30 PM EDT via mobile reply actions
No one crosses Trevor Bauer and lives
Wagner Mateo will be the future of baseball!!!
by Bryan J. Boltik on Jun 6, 2011 7:40 PM EDT up reply actions
Trevor Bauer
Was involved in a bench-clearing brawl once. ONCE…
Daron "...the D. Baxter fan-club"
Mark: "A non-profit organization."
by Jim McLennan on Jun 6, 2011 7:41 PM EDT up reply actions 2 recs
Someone hit a home run off of Trevor Bauer once
It was the last hit he ever had.
Wagner Mateo will be the future of baseball!!!
by Bryan J. Boltik on Jun 6, 2011 7:42 PM EDT up reply actions
he stopped and then started a players heart in an at-bat once
it stopped when he watched strike three, and then started again when the catcher caught the ball.
I see you driving
'round town with the girl I love
And I'm like, Haiku.
his delivery is kind of old school
step back, swing the leg, but the throwing motion is kind of violent yet simple if that makes sense…
I see you driving
'round town with the girl I love
And I'm like, Haiku.
Makes perfect sense.
http://hasthelargehadroncolliderdestroyedtheworldyet.com/
by Dan Strittmatter on Jun 6, 2011 8:14 PM EDT up reply actions
John Sickels
The 6-2, 185 pound Bauer isn’t huge physically but is a great athlete with an outstanding arm, using a low-to-mid-90s fastball, a nasty curveball, and a strong changeup. He put up better numbers than teammate Gerrit Cole, and draws Tim Lincecum comparisons due to his mechanics and long-toss training regime. Like Cole, he has number one starter upside. He went 13-2, 1.25 ERA with a 203/36 K/BB in 137 innings.
Bauer has exceptional makeup and is a student of pitching. Although some are concerned about his heavy workload, he’s shown no ill effects in college, and his ability to repeat his mechanics so well should help him stay healthy. He shouldn’t need much major-league time and could be in the majors very quickly, perhaps as soon as September.
Daron "...the D. Baxter fan-club"
Mark: "A non-profit organization."
If he does well in Double A (which is where he's likely to go at some point this year)
we could see him in September.
"If you give a Russian schoolboy a chart of heavenly bodies, he will make corrections." Dostoevsky
I kind of hope not, to be honest...
http://hasthelargehadroncolliderdestroyedtheworldyet.com/
by Dan Strittmatter on Jun 6, 2011 9:33 PM EDT up reply actions
I'm with you
I say shut him down for the year.
by CaptainCanuck on Jun 6, 2011 9:34 PM EDT up reply actions
Not a good idea
he needs to work, not sip pina coladas in Saint Thomas.
"If you give a Russian schoolboy a chart of heavenly bodies, he will make corrections." Dostoevsky
by NASCARbernet on Jun 6, 2011 11:20 PM EDT up reply actions
I'd be okay
If they put him on Mobile’s roster and had him throwing bullpens and the occasional relief inning or short start. But we definitely shouldn’t keep riding him for regular work…
http://hasthelargehadroncolliderdestroyedtheworldyet.com/
by Dan Strittmatter on Jun 6, 2011 11:24 PM EDT up reply actions
My prediction
He will sign in August and will pitch in the Fall League. We will not see him in the minors this season.
this is funny, 'cause i can't believe they passed on rendon
♫ i've entered a snake of pits with knives in the back of me ♫ can't call you or on you no more when they're attacking me ♫
I can.
Bauer is a hell of a pitcher. I know, TINSTAAPP and all that, but he’s impressive. Our rotation has the potential to be amazing pretty soon.
DFA Melvin Mora and Aaron Heilman. I beg you, Towers.
i know he's hella pitcher
i do not know tinstaap, however.
both guys had questions, but at the end of the day, they passed on the consensus #1.
hopefully, bauer is some combo of timmeh and 36-38 y.o. ryan express. that would be sweet.
♫ i've entered a snake of pits with knives in the back of me ♫ can't call you or on you no more when they're attacking me ♫
Probably
But you really can’t complain that they didn’t…
http://hasthelargehadroncolliderdestroyedtheworldyet.com/
by Dan Strittmatter on Jun 6, 2011 10:44 PM EDT up reply actions
One more thing
the mlb network guys mentioned Matt Purke, and i honestly forgot about him, I like him, if hes available, do you guys think we might draft the lefty?
No
Absurd bonus demands, fell apart during the year, didn’t get velocity back.
http://hasthelargehadroncolliderdestroyedtheworldyet.com/
by Dan Strittmatter on Jun 6, 2011 10:45 PM EDT up reply actions
Read a little bit about Purke and his arm issues
He has been having velocity problems all season. Went to see Dr Andrews and has shoulder bursitis. That is why he fell off the table.
Bauer's Warm Up
Good video of it: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HWKO1kIwaTM
I wonder
if he had been working with Mike Marshall?
"If you give a Russian schoolboy a chart of heavenly bodies, he will make corrections." Dostoevsky
by NASCARbernet on Jun 6, 2011 11:21 PM EDT up reply actions
Hopefully there's a clause in his contract
where he has to stop doing that.
I do hope they sign him quick
Maybe give him one start towards the end of the year if he does well. Sale didn’t do poorly last year
Sale as a reliever.
Comparing Sale to Bauer is dumb. Two completely different pitchers. Bauer is not a relief specialist life the Sox have done with Sale.
Well
Bauer is pretty exciting. One never knows with the MLB draft. But, anyone getting compared to Lincecum is tantalizing. I hope he lives up. Would love to see someone we drafted in the rotation. And maybe soon they are saying? Wow. I really hope he turns out as good as advertised..
Bauer's stuff
the strikeout at 3:00. is that the famous “reverse slider”? i can’t figure out what pitch it is. at first i thought it was just his fastball, but (and i can’t really tell) it seems to be dying at the plate right before the batter swings. splitter? i think it shows up again at 3:55. whatever it is….it’s killing lefties.
Bauer’s curveball is just plain nasty. it looks like he gets tons of strikeouts on that. he commands it soooooo freaking well. can locate it on the corners for a called strikeout. can bury it for a swinging strikeout. just a freaking beastly pitch.
and the called strikeout at 3:35. is that his slider? that just looks disgusting. starts off looking like it’s going to be way off the plate. then comes back and nicks the corner of the plate. how do you swing at that pitch? all you can do is hope he misses or the ump doesn’t call it a strike.
on the other hand, i don’t think his fastball is really as good as the description. he can reach the mid-90s, but he usually sits around 93 mph i think (nothing wrong with that though). it’s an above average fastball, especially with his command, but i don’t think it’s plus. hitters are able to foul it off.
At 2:56
that looked like a modified screwball, yeah quite possibly the ‘reverse slider.’ It’s much harder than an ordinary screwball, so I have to think he’s throwing it changing the ball’s position in his hand, and releasing it in a way that changes the ball’s spin and axis. It doesn’t put quite as much torque on the arm, but if it isn’t thrown exactly right, it’s a hanging duck out there.
"If you give a Russian schoolboy a chart of heavenly bodies, he will make corrections." Dostoevsky
by NASCARbernet on Jun 7, 2011 11:06 AM EDT up reply actions
i still think you slightly misunderstand what type of pitcher Bauer is
he doesn’t throw 96. that’s basically the highest he will ever hit. he usually sits between 92-94 mph
the way he gets batters to strikeout is through what he calls “tunneling”. it’s the concept that human beings are only able to recognize a pitch for the first 20 feet after it leaves the hand. afterwards, batters don’t know what’s coming. this is why Bauer is so effective. he throws 5 different pitches, can command most of them at will, and they all look the same to the batter’s eye for the first 20 feet
he’s not really a power pitcher in the traditional sense of the term. he just goes out and makes sure all of his pitches look identical for the first 20 feet, and then the pitch goes wild afterwards……
by blue bulldog on Jun 7, 2011 11:49 AM EDT up reply actions
It would be interesting
to see what psychological research has to say about perception and recognition of movement in an ecological field. I’m skeptical that hitters can only recognize a pitch for the first 1/3 of distance between the rubber and the plate. I say this because human visual perception has adapted to recognize immediate environmental dangers viz a viz attacking wild animals and nasty swordsmen.
I say we commission a study!
"If you give a Russian schoolboy a chart of heavenly bodies, he will make corrections." Dostoevsky
by NASCARbernet on Jun 7, 2011 12:02 PM EDT up reply actions
True,
but we’re talking 60 ft at 70-99MPH… (107MPH if we’re talking Chapman)
HEY, FRENCHY! STAR TREK OR STAR WARS?
LOL
Chapman is usually high-90s and touched 105 one time.
Brett Anderson is the Truth. Brett Anderson is divine presence. Brett Anderson is eternal life. Brett Anderson is within you. Brett Anderson is here. Brett Anderson is Now.
by Frederick0220 on Jun 8, 2011 12:10 AM EDT up reply actions
Yeah, in the big leagues
The urban legend is 107. It’s for hyperbole’s sake…
http://hasthelargehadroncolliderdestroyedtheworldyet.com/
by Dan Strittmatter on Jun 8, 2011 2:04 AM EDT up reply actions
"With upside of a top-end #2 starter..."
If Bauer doesn’t have ace upside, then no one does.
John Klima said it best; “Most complete college starting pitcher I’ve seen in 10 years. Fearless, unorthodox, strong, electric stuff, and room to develop. Thinks he’s got 97-100 in his mechanics and who am I to tell him no. A durable and competitive workhorse, who wants the ball, and has the makeup to be a staff anchor for years to come. A premium pick for me. Guy you bet your career on.”
http://baseballbeginnings.com/2011/03/15/trevor-bauer-report
Brett Anderson is the Truth. Brett Anderson is divine presence. Brett Anderson is eternal life. Brett Anderson is within you. Brett Anderson is here. Brett Anderson is Now.
There's this unfounded belief among baseball fans that you can't have ace upside unless you touch 97/98.
The majority of aces, in fact, don’t get it up to the high-90s.
Brett Anderson is the Truth. Brett Anderson is divine presence. Brett Anderson is eternal life. Brett Anderson is within you. Brett Anderson is here. Brett Anderson is Now.
by Frederick0220 on Jun 8, 2011 12:11 AM EDT up reply actions
Yes, this is true
But it’s harder to project guys to be that good when they don’t. I really hope Bauer becomes an ace, but that’d be exceeding expectations based on the raw velocity measures of his stuff.
http://hasthelargehadroncolliderdestroyedtheworldyet.com/
by Dan Strittmatter on Jun 8, 2011 2:06 AM EDT up reply actions
I don't really like projecting anyone to be an ace.
But if we’re talking upside/ceiling, #1 starter is where it’s at for Bauer.
Bauer has the same velo as Kershaw, Beckett, Lester, Lincecum, and he throws harder than Hamels, Halladay, Lee, Hanson, Hellickson, Tim Hudson, Weaver, Haren, and Cahill.
Then you add in Bauer’s plus bender (plus-plus potential), potential plus changeup, and potential plus slidepiece, and it becomes clear that this fellow’s upside is limitless. Sorry, I get very persnickety with these kind of things.
Brett Anderson is the Truth. Brett Anderson is divine presence. Brett Anderson is eternal life. Brett Anderson is within you. Brett Anderson is here. Brett Anderson is Now.
by Frederick0220 on Jun 8, 2011 1:12 PM EDT up reply actions
Fair enough
But I just don’t want to get carried away with this type of thing. I mean, every HS guy ever drafted has an upper-rotation ceiling if they project out and gain a bunch of velo and polish their off-speed properly and perfect their command and don’t get hurt and…. you get the idea. :-P
You’re probably right, but I don’t think that I’m necessarily wrong. If that makes sense.
http://hasthelargehadroncolliderdestroyedtheworldyet.com/
by Dan Strittmatter on Jun 8, 2011 1:33 PM EDT up reply actions
I feel ya.
Brett Anderson is the Truth. Brett Anderson is divine presence. Brett Anderson is eternal life. Brett Anderson is within you. Brett Anderson is here. Brett Anderson is Now.
by Frederick0220 on Jun 9, 2011 12:45 PM EDT up reply actions

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