Diamondbacks Farm Round-Up: May 25th
Would have had this one up last night, but I succumbed to seeing the midnight premiere of The Hangover Part II. South Bend's action was postponed yesterday, to be made up in a double-header today. Mobile must have noticed this, because it more than made up for the missing innings by playing a 25-inning double-header (remember: double-header games in the minors are supposed to last seven innings). Mobile swept their double-header, Reno won their game in dominating fashion, and Visalia was out-gunned due to an eighth-inning bullpen collapse (sound fermilier?).
Snakelet of the Day:
Cody Ransom (Triple-A): 2-3, 2B, HR, 2 BB, 1 K, 3 RBI, 2 R
Triple-A: Reno 7, Round Rock 2. Ransom cranked his 12th home run of the year to go with his 11th double, and his season line now stands at .299/.382/.611, for an impressive .993 OPS that actually doesn't appear to be BABIP-inflated (see: Burroughs, Sean). If Burroughs is unable to pick up the pinch-hitting slack at the big-league level, it wouldn't be a surprise to see the team call upon Ransom, who has seen time in the major leagues in each of the last four seasons, to take Burroughs' place. Cole Gillespie was the other main offensive contributor for the Aces with a three-hit game, including a double, a walk, and a stolen base. On the mound, right-hander Matt Torra was exceptional, throwing seven innings and surrendering just two earned runs on seven hits, a homer, and a pair of walks while striking out six.
Double-A (Game 1): Mobile 8, Jackson 0. In the first "half" of the double-header, it was all Mobile from the get-go. Mobile took the lead in the bottom of the first, then cemented it by putting up crooked numbers in the third and fourth innings. Pat Corbin threw 5.2 shutout innings with a 6:3 K:BB ratio, while the BayBears accumulated 12 hits in the first five innings in spite of striking out eight times in that span. Ollie Linton had three hits, A.J. Pollock had a pair of knocks and a stolen base, and Ryan Wheeler had a single and a double. Your Twice-Daily Goldschmidt: Paul provided the initial fireworks for the Mobile offense, crushing a two-out solo homer in the first inning, his 16th shot of the year.
Double-A (Game 2): Mobile 5, Jackson 4 (18 innings). This one got weird, as Mobile mustered just a single run through the first seven innings. Meanwhile, starter Bryan Henry was solid for Mobile, throwing five innings and surrendering just a single run with six strikeouts and two walks, then reliever Bryan Woodall threw two scoreless innings to take things into extra innings. In extras, Ryan Cook threw three fabulous innings of relief, followed by two innings of work from Clay Zavada. The teams matched each other for another ten innings, trading runs in the 12th - Zavada's second inning - before the position players started to take the mound. For Mobile, Jacob Elmore surrendered two earned runs in two innings on a pair of solo home runs, followed by two scoreless innings apiece from Taylor Harbin and Dan Kaczrowski. Jackson didn't have to throw a position player on the mound until the bottom of the 18th inning, but third baseman Chris Savastano would surrender an unearned run in two-third of an inning to walk it off for Mobile. Offensively, Mobile collected 16 hits, including A.J. Pollock's second homer of the year, while four Mobile bats collected doubles. Your Twice-Daily Goldschmidt: In the night-cap, Goldschmidt went 2-7 with a double, a walk, and a pair of strikeouts.
Hi-A: Visalia 12, Stockton 14. Visalia's offense exploded early, plating two in the first inning, seven in the third inning, and another two in the fifth inning to give the Rawhide a commanding 11-3 lead. The offensive thunder came from Chris Owings, who had four hits, two doubles, and a hit-by-pitch, David Nick, who had four hits and one double, and Raoul Torrez, who had a double and a home run to drive in five. On the mound, though, Trevor Harden had a shaky start, throwing 6.2 innings and surrendering seven runs, five earned on seven hits, five walks, and three homers with five strikeouts. The worst of the damage, though, came from relievers Christopher Odegaard and Victor Capellan in the eighth inning, as the pair surrendered seven runs in the frame to blow the lead and put Stockton up two to stay.
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What's really amazing about Goldie's numbers
Is how his BABIP has actually dropped dramatically from the past two seasons. After two years of .390 and .385, his current BABIP is .318. His ridiculous OPS of 1.162 makes me swoon.
Wear your own fur.
yeah
but the fact that both Goldie’s and Krauss’s BABIP have dropped makes me worry. you’ve got wonder if they are both flyball prone, and don’t really hit line drives very often.
by blue bulldog on May 26, 2011 7:22 PM EDT up reply actions
and....i just checked
neither one seems to be having that much of a problem there
by blue bulldog on May 26, 2011 7:24 PM EDT up reply actions
Again, reading things into BABIP
Does not produce solid conclusions.
These guys are going up levels and facing better defenders. It’s going to happen. It’s nice to see these things normalizing so we can get an idea of what these players are.
http://hasthelargehadroncolliderdestroyedtheworldyet.com/
by Dan Strittmatter on May 27, 2011 12:17 AM EDT up reply actions
ugh
i know this is kind of an abnormal theory, considering the whole BABIP=luck thing
but just hear me out for a second (and i’m not really saying this applies to Goldie or Krauss, because the sample sizes are too small anyway right now)
but at one extreme, i bet if I threw to Goldie or Krauss, it makes sense to me that their BABIP would be like .900 or so. this is why i think guys in the minors, who are good and have a chance to stick in the majors, SHOULD have high BABIP. once you get to the majors, the talent-level on defense and pitchers are good enough and close enough that BABIP ends up being a wash and most players (except those elite talents) end up hitting around .300 for BABIP. but this is not true in the minors, where you have some extreme talent discrepancies, and thus can lead to extreme BABIP ranges.
i don’t even know exactly what i would use BABIP as a stat proxy for (surely, not BA) but maybe something like “probability of sticking in the majors.” or perhaps a signal. like….if you have consistently low BABIP in the minors then you have little shot at sticking in the majors. something like that. it’s sort of like K-rates in the minor leagues. does Skaggs striking out 12 per 9 mean he’s going to strike out 12 per 9 in the majors? no. and in fact, he may end up striking out less than someone who currently strikes out 10 per 9 in the majors. but what the strikeout rate represents, is his pure stuff, and probably has a strong correlation with how good he will be at just getting batters out in the majors.
by blue bulldog on May 27, 2011 4:37 AM EDT up reply actions

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