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Around SBN: Watch Out For Cowboys UDFA Tim Benford

Diamondbacks Farm Round-Up: May 12

Well, at least we know where the Diamondbacks' offense has gone: Reno. The Aces reached double-figures in runs for the tenth time this season - in only 35 games. However, that was the only win for the Arizona farm system, who were outscored 19-23 in total.

Snakelet of the Day:
Brandon Allen (Triple-A): 3-for-4, 2 HR, BB, 3 RBI, 3 R

Star-divide

Triple-A: Reno 11, Omaha 3. The offense came through in grand fashion for the Aces, with 1B Brandon Allen leading the way - he clubbed two homers as well as another hit and a walk, drove in three runs and scored three. LF Cole Gillespie also drove in three runs with his two hits and a walk, and the hits and walk were matched by DH Andy Tracy and CF Evan Frey. With eight runs of support through three innings, Zach Kroenke was in good shape, and improved his record to 4-0, allowing three runs in five innings. Daniel Stange, Jordan Norberto and Kam Mickolio combined to no-hit the Storm Chasers the rest of the way.

Double-A: Mobile 1 @ Jacksonville 4. The BayBears were the victims of a pitching clinic tonight, sending only two batters over the minimum to the plate, and being held to only two hits and one walk. They did scratch out a run in the third, but even that was without a hit or walk, on an HBP, error and sacrifice fly. Charlie Brewer made his second start since coming back off the DL with concussion: he lasted 2.1 innings, and was tagged with six hits, a walk and four runs, all earned. Bryan Henry worked 3.2 scoreless frames in relief, and Billy Spottiswood retired all six batters which he faced. 

High-A: Visalia 4, Bakersfield 11. The Rawhide were 2-0 up after two, but Eric Smith was lit up thereafter. His final line was a disappointing ten runs, all earned, on ten hits and two walks in 4.1 innings - Smith struck out five, but also hit a trio of Blaze batters. The Visalia bullpen was only charged with one run in 4.2 frames, though did allow all three runners inherited from Smith to score. On offense, 2B David Nick went 3-for-5 with a walk, two doubles and two RBI, and there were also three hits for 3B Bobby Borchering. LF Adam Eaton and DH Jon Owings got two hits and a walk, and RF Justin Hilt reached four times, on a hit and three walks.

A-ball: South Bend 3 @ West Michigan 5. A wobbly outing from Jeffrey Shields, and not much in the way of offensive support in the clutch, proved a lethal combination, and the Silver Hawks fell to the Whitecaps this afternoon. Shields could only get through four innings, allowing five runs on eight hits and two walks, with three strikeouts - a four-run fourth was the bulk of the damage. South Bend were 1-for-12 with runners in scoring position, compared to West Michigan's 4-for-7. 1B Yazy Arbelo had a pair of doubles, while C Jhoan Pimentel and RF Roberto Rodriguez also got two hits; CF Ender Inciarte drew a couple of walks.

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Wonder how long Branyan keeps Allen in the minors

He really hasn’t been doing much of anything at the plate (.303 wOBA) and has no BABIP regression to rely on in the future (i.e. Miranda’s .256 BABIP). Not being a part of the future of this club, I don’t expect him to have a long leash.

http://hasthelargehadroncolliderdestroyedtheworldyet.com/

by Dan Strittmatter on May 13, 2011 11:06 AM EDT reply actions  

i sorta think Cowgill is a better prospect than Allen

a lot depends on what our FO thinks of Allen’s defense in the outfield or at 1B

by blue bulldog on May 13, 2011 11:16 AM EDT up reply actions  

I disagree (as you well know)

I see Allen as a 2-2.5 WAR regular, but Cowgill as a 1-1.5 WAR platoon COF (absolutely mashes lefties).

http://hasthelargehadroncolliderdestroyedtheworldyet.com/

by Dan Strittmatter on May 13, 2011 11:28 AM EDT up reply actions  

there's no way with Allen's current strikeout rate

that he’d be able to be a 2-2.5 WAR regular at 1B

which means you’d have to put him in LF (not even convinced his strikeout rate would be able to make him a 2-2.5 WAR regular there either) but then you have to worry about defense

by blue bulldog on May 13, 2011 11:36 AM EDT up reply actions  

Mark Reynolds says hi?

I think 2 WAR is reasonable at 1B. He could basically be what Adam LaRoche was in 2010 for us, I think. In LF, I think he could generate 2.5 WAR or so if he can be passable defensively.

http://hasthelargehadroncolliderdestroyedtheworldyet.com/

by Dan Strittmatter on May 13, 2011 11:41 AM EDT up reply actions  

Guys who strikeout at certain rates

tend to strikeout at even higher rates when they arrive at the majors and have holes in their swings. See – Mark Reynolds. Allen is currently STILL striking out at 27% in AAA.

there’s a 1.5 WAR positional adjustment between 1B and 3B. Mark Reynolds wouldn’t have even had 2 WAR in most years if he went to 1B (granted, he didn’t break 2 WAR period in most years)

furthermore, Reynolds definitely had more raw power than Allen does. Allen’s projected upside is 30 HR. secondly, i’m not convinced that Allen will be able to hit for as high a BABIP as Reynolds back when Reynolds was really good. he might be able to match Reynolds patience though.

basically i’m just trying to show why it’d be difficult for Allen to be a 2 WAR 1B. i think that’s his upside, not his expectation.

by blue bulldog on May 13, 2011 10:07 PM EDT up reply actions  

That upside is still there

And still better than what we’ve got. It looks like Goldy is becoming our 1B of the future, but why not try to build up trade value with Allen. If he can be passable, he’s far more valuable than in a trade than someone like Branyan, Miranda, or Nady.

http://hasthelargehadroncolliderdestroyedtheworldyet.com/

by Dan Strittmatter on May 13, 2011 10:12 PM EDT up reply actions  

But

I think we need a first baseman. Right?

Although I want to see Cowgill also.

Can we drop Nady and Branyan, and bring ’em both up?

I got nothin'.

by Bcawz on May 13, 2011 11:38 AM EDT up reply actions  

I hope so

But I’d probably expect that later in the year for Cowgill. No need to rush him afterso little time at Triple-A.

http://hasthelargehadroncolliderdestroyedtheworldyet.com/

by Dan Strittmatter on May 13, 2011 11:43 AM EDT up reply actions  

Then maybe

bring up Willy Mo Pena and try to take advantage of his current hot streak. I know its Reno, and Pena cant play defense; but some thing has to be done with the offense. Pena obviously isnt a long term option, but let him hit while he still can. Just a thought.

I got nothin'.

by Bcawz on May 13, 2011 11:49 AM EDT up reply actions  

Stay tuned...

Got a piece upcoming (in about ten minutes, hopefully!), looking at where the team is, where they might be going, and what they can do about it…

"I'm confused."
"Yeah, well. It's a big club. We should get t-shirts."

by Jim McLennan on May 13, 2011 12:21 PM EDT up reply actions  

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