Was going over Dbacks stats in the wake of the trade and I think I noticed an interesting trend in current DBacks pitchers. It seems to me that KT greatly values pitchers who pitch better than their FIP and/or xFIP. I'm sure he probably isn't even aware of it but check out the numbers after the jump.
|2011 MLB overall||3.94||3.94||3.93|
The way it's set up, positive numbers are pitchers who exceed their predicted number and negative numbers are guys who fail to live up to their expected numbers.
I threw in all of MLB for 2011 so you can see that FIP and xFIP pretty fairly assess pitcher skill over many pitchers.
Looking at the guys expected to contribute next year, I see a LOT of guys who have pitched much better than their expected numbers and Breslow & Cahill fit right into that dynamic with HUGE ERA/FIP discrepencies.
Do you suppose KT has something for guys who pitch better than their numbers suggest? (either consciously or subconsciously?)
Just an observation, nothing more.