FanPost

Effect of the Trade Maneuvers on 2011 and 2012 Rosters

Dan Haren? Check. Edwin Jackson? Check. Chris Snyder? Check. Chad Qualls??! Check again.

Ironically, three of the players we assumed would be dealt the quickest (LaRoche, KJ, Heilman) were never traded before the deadline.

So what does this mean for the Dbacks in the next couple of years?

2011 Roster

Position Players

C Miguel Montero ($3.5 million)

1B Brandon Allen ($0.5 million)

2B Kelly Johnson ($4 million)

SS Stephen Drew ($5 million)

3B Mark Reynolds ($5 million)

LF ???

CF Chris Young ($5 million)

RF Justin Upton ($4.5 million)

 

Bench

Gerardo Parra ($0.5 million)

Rusty Ryal ($0.5 million)

John Hester ($0.5 million)

Tony Abreu ($0.5 million)

Ryan Roberts ($0.5 million)

 

Starting Pitchers

Joe Saunders ($5.5 million)

Daniel Hudson ($0.5 million)

Ian Kennedy ($0.5 million)

Barry Enright ($0.5 million)

???

 

Relief Pitchers

DJ Carrasco ($2.5 million)

Sam Demel (0.5 million)

Esmerling Vasquez ($0.5 million)

Juan Gutierrez (0.5 million)

???

???

???

 

Assuming $1.5 million arbitration raises for everyone, our total salary excluding players listed as ??? amounts to $41 million dollars for next year. Just a guess, but we are probably going to spend some money on a closer. No sense in spending on a LF since Krauss will be coming up in 2012 probably, so we'll probably look for an in-house stop gap. As much as I would like to see Cliff Lee pitch for the Dbacks, there's simply no way we can afford to give him over $20 million a year for the next eight years. Maybe we'll spend on a carl pavano, jake westbrook type? Rumors suggest our salary is probably going to be around $60 million at most next year, but we'll probably spend less, because truthfully, there just aren't a multitude of exciting free agents out there in 2011. So unless Daniel Hudson pitches like a Cy Young candidate, we'll be hard pressed to compete.

 

2012 Roster

Position Players

C Miguel Montero ($5 million)

1B Brandon Allen/Paul Goldschmidt ($0.5 million)

2B Tony Abreu ($2 million)

SS Stephen Drew ($$6.5 million)

3B Mark Reynolds ($8 million)

LF Marc Krauss ($0.5 million)

CF Chris Young ($7 million)

RF Justin Upton ($7 million)


Bench

Gerardo Parra ($0.5 million)

Rusty Ryal ($0.5 million)

John Hester ($0.5 million)

Ryan Roberts ($0.5 million)

??? ($0.5 million)


Starting Pitchers

Jarrod Parker ($0.5 million)

Daniel Hudson ($0.5 million)

Ian Kennedy ($0.5 million)

Barry Enright ($0.5 million)

Pat Corbin, Charles Brewer, Wade Miley, Chase Anderson, etc. ($0.5 million)


Relief Pitchers

FA from 2011 ($8 million)

Bryan Woodall ($0.5 million)

DJ Carrasco ($4 million)

Sam Demel (0.5 million)

Esmerling Vasquez ($0.5 million)

Juan Gutierrez (0.5 million)

???

While it's true that 2013 is probably what the FO considers to be when our competitive window begins, 2012 still shows some promise (though I'm the first to admit the promise is tenuous at best). Not including the ??? players, our salary sits at $55 million. If we were to decide to increase our salary to a level of $70 million, that gives us $15 million dollars to spend to upgrade positions that come up. Except, we don't really have to spend that money early on in free agency, because the only roster spots that are unfilled is one bench spot and one relief pitcher. Granted, Abreu is probably a league average 2B, so maybe we will want to upgrade there. If Hudson or Enright pitch terribly next year, maybe we will want to spend on a SP (Buerhle, Wandy, Pineiro, CJ Wilson, etc. will all be on the market, plenty of solid #3 options) as the market in 2012 seems to have a lot more talent available than in 2011. Perhaps we'll even be smart enough not to overspend on a closer in 2011 (Soriano is the only premier closer available then) and we'll look to spend that money we saved on a closer and another reliever in 2012 (with the likes of Papelbon, Bell, Broxton, Capps, Fuentes, available). And our bullpen should benefit from having Bryan Woodall come up then. It's true that a lot of things have to go our way for the Dbacks to make the playoffs in 2012, but at least there's some hope. It also just makes me sad, because with a $68 million salary and Dan Haren in the rotation, I think this is a playoff contending team. We'll have to see if the $13 million dollars we saved (and hopefully use on pieces that can be helpful) from trading Haren, and Corbin in 2013 can make up the difference in WAR.

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