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Around SBN: The Ten Worst Swings Of The 2011 Season

Justin Upton = Face of the Franchise

Our motivation behind the deal is simple. When we have a core of players we feel we can build around, we want them here as long as they can possibly be here. He fits that model. We view him as a core player, as one of our key pieces, and over the next six years is a player we want to build around.
  -- GM Josh Byrnes

Is it too early for the above headline? Part of me has some concerns about so doing, given what happened to the last player anointed with that tag - ignominiously run out of town on a rail, pursued by a disgruntled Sedona Red mob. But Eric Byrnes was not an All-Star at age 21. In fact, he wasn't even playing professionally, since Eric didn't get drafted by the Athletics until he was aged 22. I think it's safe to say Upton's potential is somewhat more, and he was anointed as such today in Tucson, during the official announcement of his six-year, $51.25 million deal with the Diamondbacks.

After the jump, we'll have more quotes from the conference, and details of the contract.

Star-divide

It's a monster deal, the second-biggest in franchise history. Here's the top five, along with details of whether the players lived up to the contract or not. [The D-backs site, incidentally, has both the wrong amount and number of years for Johnson's contract]

Player Amount Years From/To Output
Randy Johnson $54.2m 4 1999-2002 ERA+ 188, four Cy Youngs, four All-Star games
Justin Upton $51.25m 6 2010-2015 ???
Matt Williams $49m 6 1998-2003 OPS+ 100, one All-Star game
Randy Johnson $48m 3 2003-2005 [2005 with NYY] ERA+ 132, one All-Star game
Dan Haren $44.75 4 2009-2012 ERA+ 146, one All-Star game so far.

Of the four other contracts, there's one which was still a bargain [Randy v1.0], one which is looking fine so far but is still very early [Haren], one which was somewhat overpaid [Randy v2.0] and one which was pretty much a millstone for the final four years [Williams, who averaged 76 games per season over that time, with an OPS+ of 89]. However, the difference is that Williams was 32 when he started the contract, with Johnson 35 and 39 respectively. Dan Haren was only 28, and Upton will be 22, so are both on the right side of the aging curve. Here's Upton's take on the deal:

For me it was, this year they put together a commitment to win. A big part is to win. I could have gone year-to-year; I had the confidence in myself to do it. Obviously the team wanted to do something and they made it good for both sides. Part of it is the security, but the biggest part is they want to win and I want to see where we can go the next six years.

I like the attitude here. It would have been very easy for Upton to play out the string on his remaining years, coast towards free-agency at age 26, then reel in the really big bucks. But it seems that he wants to stick around for longer than that, and I think that's a reflection of the potential we have in our young players. It's possible to imagine the D-backs Opening Day lineup in 2012 being basically the same as what we have this season - Brandon Allen at first instead of Adam LaRoche, maybe Tony Abreu instead of Kelly Johnson, but otherwise, pretty dissimilar. I wonder how much of it is not having Scott Boras as an agent. Not heard a peep about an extension for Stephen Drew. As for what the team gets out of it, Josh Byrnes went into some more detail:

We generally need to go early to deal with free agency and we’ve done that in a number of cases. There might be more risk because if you’re going early you’re going longer. But I think the reward justifies those types of moves... When you can have good players around longer, it’s good for everybody. It’s good for our team, good for our fans, it’s just a better opportunity to plan and to win.

Certainly, it nails the team's colors to the Upton mast in no uncertain fashion. It starts off humbly enough, with J-Up getting $500K this season, in addition to a $1.25m signing bonus; that makes sense, as he'd only be eligible for minimum wage anyway. For his three arbitration years, Upton will get $4.25m, $6.75m and $9.75m respectively. To put that into context, the Dodgers' Andre Ethier recently signed a contract covering his last two arbitration seasons for $15.25m, so the Upton numbers seems close to that. Upton's opening seasons of free-agency (2014-15) are valued at $14.25 and $14.5m - that may seem a bit high, but if we assume even 3% baseball salary inflation, those numbers become $12.7m and $12.5m in 2010 money. Upton seems largely unfazed by the potential pressure:

There’s a lot to live up to. I think I’m ready for that... It’s something the outside world can do to you, to put that kind of pressure on you, but you try not to put that kind of pressure on yourself. It’s different with me. I kind of do put that pressure on myself. I want to be great. If you want to be great then you set your goals higher. That’s what I do to myself. Sometimes I go too far and beat myself up over it, but it’s something that I think I can handle. It’s what I strive for.

It's often easy to forget that Upton is barely able to enjoy a cold beer. Think back to what you were like as a 22-year old [ok, BattleMoses and some of the young 'uns may need to try and think forward to that point!] Can you see yourself expressing anything quite as mature? I know I couldn't. Of course, we've seen him do things that do show his youth, but really, faking a ball toss or mistaking a home-run hit pales beside some of the crap I was pulling at his age. I imagine this is partly why the club felt comfortable committing to someone so young. But he's right: it is a lot to live up to. If I may be forgiven for getting Biblical on you momentarily: "When I was a child, I spake as a child, I understood as a child, I thought as a child: but when I became a man, I put away childish things." Today, Upton became a man.

And that'll do for now. Tomorrow is - finally! - the first game, so expect something up on that shortly before first pitch, rounding up all the non-Upton related news of the past few days.

Poll
My next jersey purchase will be:
Dan Haren
20 votes
Miguel Montero
4 votes
Mark Reynolds
38 votes
Justin Upton
83 votes
Someone else
7 votes

152 votes | Poll has closed

Comment 46 comments  |  0 recs  | 

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as someone who just turned 22 a couple months ago...

trying to imagine what it feels like to hold a $50 million contract in my hands….

by mfan2010 on Mar 3, 2010 10:34 PM EST reply actions  

Pffft

You forgot to mention holding a cold beer legally. Not that I’d know of course.

In other news, I only wish minimum wage was 400k a year. sheesh.

What's your name? Sandwich. What's your first name? TUNA.

by emilylovesthedbacks on Mar 3, 2010 11:14 PM EST reply actions  

Pffft

At 23 and having already been legally able to drink over here for 5 years, you’re not missing out on much….except a hole in your bank balance every Friday night :(

Time for another drink then?

http://www.wimbles.wordpress.com

by Wimb on Mar 4, 2010 4:49 AM EST up reply actions  

Hah.

The hole in my bank balance happens anyway. Especially when my manager decides I don’t need to work. (the week with 7 hours was great.)

What's your name? Sandwich. What's your first name? TUNA.

by emilylovesthedbacks on Mar 4, 2010 11:19 AM EST up reply actions  

Congrats to you two

for moving into a new place, though!

George Sr., regarding a rival prison softball team: "Word has it they're getting Jose Canseco."

--Arrested Development

by DbacksSkins on Mar 4, 2010 12:22 PM EST up reply actions  

Yayyyyy us!

:-)
We’re pretty excited (as you might imagine…). Oh damn. We move on Opening Day. I hope to gd the cable is ready to go when we get there…

What's your name? Sandwich. What's your first name? TUNA.

by emilylovesthedbacks on Mar 4, 2010 12:30 PM EST up reply actions  

You think you got problems

We fly out to Scotland on Opening Day. 8-( It is at least not until the evening. Let’s hope the game doesn’t go extra innings, or I may have to stop the plane on the tarmac somehow…

"We defy augury" -- Hamlet

by Jim McLennan on Mar 4, 2010 12:44 PM EST up reply actions  

Ouch.

Who’s bright idea was that one?

What's your name? Sandwich. What's your first name? TUNA.

by emilylovesthedbacks on Mar 4, 2010 1:11 PM EST up reply actions  

My parents

And their pesky 50th wedding anniversary…

"We defy augury" -- Hamlet

by Jim McLennan on Mar 4, 2010 1:20 PM EST up reply actions  

Well

That just demonstrates a complete lack of planning on the part of your parents.

"I've never heard of a famous Phoenix hot-dog"

by kishi on Mar 4, 2010 1:33 PM EST up reply actions  

Yeah, what's worse is

Their actual 50th is in about two weeks, so plenty of time to get there and back. But, nooooo, they’ll be on holiday then, so the party is the weekend after they come back. So inconsiderate! ;-)

"We defy augury" -- Hamlet

by Jim McLennan on Mar 4, 2010 1:44 PM EST up reply actions  

yeah

i would ttly miss it anyway.

Steam Rollin' Cub's fans like an 18 wheeler with a drunk driver driving. There's no survivin'.

by edbigghead on Mar 4, 2010 1:54 PM EST up reply actions  

We can

watch somewhere if it isn’t.

George Sr., regarding a rival prison softball team: "Word has it they're getting Jose Canseco."

--Arrested Development

by DbacksSkins on Mar 4, 2010 2:19 PM EST up reply actions  

Except that I'll be moving.

Honestly, I’m not sure what I’m more excited for: opening day, or apartment….it’s a toss-up. :-)

What's your name? Sandwich. What's your first name? TUNA.

by emilylovesthedbacks on Mar 5, 2010 11:47 AM EST up reply actions  

Yeah,

but I suspect you’ll have time to pause and watch the game.

Um…. is my car being volunteered, incidentally?

George Sr., regarding a rival prison softball team: "Word has it they're getting Jose Canseco."

--Arrested Development

by DbacksSkins on Mar 5, 2010 7:14 PM EST up reply actions  

Not unless you want to volunteer her...

I honestly didn’t even think of it. If you’ve got the day off, that’d be cool.

What's your name? Sandwich. What's your first name? TUNA.

by emilylovesthedbacks on Mar 5, 2010 10:59 PM EST up reply actions  

Well,

I sorta figured that it was a given that you’d want me to give ya a hand.

I keep trying to reset my password to "penis", but it keeps telling me "too short".

by DbacksSkins on Mar 11, 2010 12:55 AM EST up reply actions  

Yes
For me it was, this year they put together a commitment to win.

This pretty sums up my thoughts too! This is the most excited I’ve been this early in a spring for baseball here in, well, maybe ever!

by eel on Mar 3, 2010 11:26 PM EST reply actions  

Since 2008, for me.

George Sr., regarding a rival prison softball team: "Word has it they're getting Jose Canseco."

--Arrested Development

by DbacksSkins on Mar 3, 2010 11:39 PM EST up reply actions  

That's reasonable

I have a short memory. :D

However, I think 2008 was more “Wow, look how well we did last year with what we had! Surely this year will be better because everyone will be better and more experienced!” And yeah, that was a valid feeling.

I suppose that this year, I feel like our ownership/management have seized the opportunity having our farm-grown talent supplemented with sensible (and perhaps lucky) acquisitions while not being exceedingly spendy. The easy answers would have been to keep Byrnes in left, go with Abreu, Roberts, and/or Ryal at 2nd, etc. Instead, we are undertaking risks at the most opportune time.

Signing Upton is just icing (a lot of it) on an already nice-looking cake for the next few years.

by eel on Mar 4, 2010 1:52 AM EST up reply actions  

No

I might not be buying a Upton jersey next (though who knows what my whims will be tomorrow) but he’s certainly on the shortlist:

1. Soco
2. [Last Name] (lame-o alert: the wife and I want to have a "recommitment ceremony at Chase Field for our 5 year mark, and have last name jerseys with the number 5. Mine will be black, her’s white)
3. Upton
4. ???
5. Profit!

All targets neutralized. Program completed. By your command.

by soco on Mar 3, 2010 11:38 PM EST reply actions  

I don’t know you and my opinion wont mean much to you in the long run, but grats on these first 5 years and to many more. Also, grats to you for finding someone that wants to have a recommitment ceremony at an MLB Park. You sir, have a keeper!

My imagination is greater than your nay-say.

by Jargamus Prime on Mar 4, 2010 11:00 AM EST up reply actions  

Pssshhht.

Don’t give soco and mrssoco THAT much credit. They’re only like 1 1/2 years down, still got 3 1/2 to go.

She is a keeper tho.

George Sr., regarding a rival prison softball team: "Word has it they're getting Jose Canseco."

--Arrested Development

by DbacksSkins on Mar 4, 2010 2:24 PM EST up reply actions  

Hey

it’s almost 2 years thankyouverymuch.

All targets neutralized. Program completed. By your command.

by soco on Mar 4, 2010 4:54 PM EST up reply actions  

1 3/4.

George Sr., regarding a rival prison softball team: "Word has it they're getting Jose Canseco."

--Arrested Development

by DbacksSkins on Mar 5, 2010 7:12 PM EST up reply actions  

Which

is almost 2 years for those of you that can’t round.

All targets neutralized. Program completed. By your command.

by soco on Mar 5, 2010 7:19 PM EST up reply actions  

Depends on the significant figures.

George Sr., regarding a rival prison softball team: "Word has it they're getting Jose Canseco."

--Arrested Development

by DbacksSkins on Mar 5, 2010 7:43 PM EST up reply actions  

.75 is, to my recollection, always rounded up.

"Now we can just call you Kishi Laptop, Esquire."

by kishi on Mar 5, 2010 8:59 PM EST up reply actions  

But

that’s assuming that we’re rounding, though. That’s the point of my comment.

I keep trying to reset my password to "penis", but it keeps telling me "too short".

by DbacksSkins on Mar 11, 2010 12:52 AM EST up reply actions  

But even if you want to go with 1.7390488293948

It’s still almost two. =)

"Now we can just call you Kishi Laptop, Esquire."

by kishi on Mar 11, 2010 1:15 AM EST up reply actions  

Not if

we’re only rounding to the14th significant figure!!

I keep trying to reset my password to "penis", but it keeps telling me "too short".

by DbacksSkins on Mar 11, 2010 1:54 PM EST up reply actions  

Thanks!

All targets neutralized. Program completed. By your command.

by soco on Mar 4, 2010 4:54 PM EST up reply actions  

2 is awesome.

Want.

What's your name? Sandwich. What's your first name? TUNA.

by emilylovesthedbacks on Mar 5, 2010 11:48 AM EST up reply actions  

Also

I think this is the kind of player you want to promote as your “Face Of Franchise.” He’s young, came up in our system, skills out of this planet, and seems like a fairly nice guy. Hopefully he’ll really come into his own the next few years, and more importantly that we’ll be able to sign him again to solidify his place in Diamondbacks lore.

All targets neutralized. Program completed. By your command.

by soco on Mar 3, 2010 11:39 PM EST reply actions  

And hopefully

he STAYS a really nice kid, like he is, rather than developing attitude issues like his brother.

George Sr., regarding a rival prison softball team: "Word has it they're getting Jose Canseco."

--Arrested Development

by DbacksSkins on Mar 3, 2010 11:42 PM EST up reply actions  

THIS
Face Of Franchise." He’s young, came up in our system

When it's all mixed up. Better break it down. In the world of silence. In the world of sound

by unnamedDBacksfan on Mar 4, 2010 1:27 AM EST up reply actions  

Who’s Brandon Abreu? :)

Overall, really excited about this. Am I wrong to want Reynolds to be signed long term also?

by Bcawz on Mar 3, 2010 11:49 PM EST reply actions  

Not at all. ;-)

George Sr., regarding a rival prison softball team: "Word has it they're getting Jose Canseco."

--Arrested Development

by DbacksSkins on Mar 3, 2010 11:53 PM EST up reply actions  

Yes

yes you are.

All targets neutralized. Program completed. By your command.

by soco on Mar 3, 2010 11:53 PM EST up reply actions  

Silence, you.

George Sr., regarding a rival prison softball team: "Word has it they're getting Jose Canseco."

--Arrested Development

by DbacksSkins on Mar 4, 2010 1:00 AM EST up reply actions  

no he's not

Steam Rollin' Cub's fans like an 18 wheeler with a drunk driver driving. There's no survivin'.

by edbigghead on Mar 4, 2010 11:27 AM EST up reply actions  

Photobucket

All targets neutralized. Program completed. By your command.

by soco on Mar 4, 2010 4:55 PM EST up reply actions  

now it's time

to try and lock up Reynolds as well by offering security in echange for his arbitration years. What would that cost, maybe 4yrs @ $25-$30 million? That would also be nice.

Badgers! Badgers! We don't need no stinkin badgers!

by haas on Mar 4, 2010 1:37 AM EST reply actions  

Given that

Mark was the only player to reject the Dbacks’ proposed salary for 2009, I think it’ll prolly cost a bit more than that.

George Sr., regarding a rival prison softball team: "Word has it they're getting Jose Canseco."

--Arrested Development

by DbacksSkins on Mar 4, 2010 2:21 PM EST up reply actions  

Perspective
Think back to what you were like as a 22-year old [ok, BattleMoses and some of the young ‘uns may need to try and think forward to that point!] Can you see yourself expressing anything quite as mature? I know I couldn’t

At 22, I had been married for 2 years and was already a mother. That child is now 2 months from graduating from high school, and has been earning college credit for the past two years. So, no, I’m not terribly impressed by this incredible “maturity” of Justin Upton. We really don’t expect much from people these days, do we?

by azshadowwalker on Mar 10, 2010 2:57 AM EST reply actions  

To be fair,

you were the exception, not the rule.

Then again, at age 22, I had already been engaged, evicted and homeless, imprisoned, etc….

I keep trying to reset my password to "penis", but it keeps telling me "too short".

by DbacksSkins on Mar 11, 2010 12:54 AM EST up reply actions  

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