SnakeBytes, 12/31: The Diamondbacks Year In Review
There's not enough Arizona Diamondbacks news today to justify a "proper" SnakeBytes. About all I've got is that our Double-A affiliate, the Mobile Baybears, owe the city $800,000, not having paid their rent in full since 2006. They've come to an agreement whereby they'll carry out repairs to the stadium, and the city will forgive the rent. Otherwise, a silence has enveloped the D-backs, newswise, like the blanket of snow which has fallen over Phoenix [I think that just used up the remainder of my literary hyperbole quota for 2010]. So, instead, let's take a look at the ten biggest news stories for the team in the year which is coming to a close.
- Out with the new and in with the old. 2010 may have largely been forgettable on the field, but it will go down as perhaps the year of most radical change in franchise history. The firing of Josh Byrnes and AJ Hinch marked an end to the team's position on the front-edge of "new" baseball management, the results having been found clearly wanting. Replacements Kevin Towers and Kirk Gibson brought more traditional experience. Towers spent 14 years as GM in San Diego, while Gibson made his major-league debut in 1979, when the man he replaced as manager was aged just five...
- Esmerling Vasquez balk is the season low. Two months in, and the D-backs were done. We lost the last eight games of May to send us 11.5 back in the division, culminating in a baffled Vasquez balking at Dodger stadium. That summed up the 2010 bullpen, allowing the winning run to trot home from third, in what became known as the "balk off". We'd lose the next two contests, both by the score of 1-0, in extra innings, and only one-third of the way through 2010, Diamondbacks fans were left with little to do, except look forward to 2011.
- The end of "win now." After taking the division in 2007, the team appeared to shift into a mode that now was our time, decimating one of the best farm systems in baseball to bring Dan Haren to Arizona. But it didn't happen, for a variety of reasons. Turns out we probably over-achieved in 2007; then there was also the black hole of left-field; and the injury which cost us Brandon Webb for virtually two full seasons. The trade of Dan Haren to Anaheim for prospects marked a shift into "win later" mode. The question of when 'later' will be, remains to be answered.
- The unlikeliest of highs. With one out in the third inning on June 25, Edwin Jackson had faced 14 batters, walked seven of them, and already thrown 63 pitches. While Arizona were 1-0 up, thanks to an Adam LaRoche homer, it seemed doubtful he'd stick around long enough to qualify for a decision. And as for pitching a complete-game shutout? Fuhgedaboutit! But one of the delights of baseball is that you never can tell. The 149-pitch no-hitter which followed, the second in franchise history, was perhaps the most unlikely ever thrown.
- Arm and the man. "It felt like I was throwing 95... I felt like I had more left in the tank. It was good. Really good." So said Webb on March 17: I was going to collect other over-optimistic quotes from him through 2010, but it just got too depressing. The opinions expressed may have been honest, but the failure of Webb to make real progress during the season, despite the bulletins, left a sour taste in many fans mouths. We watched the team pay him $3.75 million dollars per inning of work since the start of 2009, before leaving as a free-agent for Texas.
- An icon honored. Luis Gonzalez became the face of the Arizona Diamondbacks in 2001,
drivingblooping home the winning run in Game 7 of the World Series, and becoming one of the most beloved figures in state sports, as much for his attitude off the field, as his play on it. While there would be some franchises for which he would not qualify, there was little argument (except on AZ Central, of course) over the decision to retire his number, and the event, in front of a packed house at Chase, was one of the most memorable games I've ever attended. - Baseball and politics don't mix. SB 1070 was the biggest story in AZ this year, and it turned into a PR problem for the Diamondbacks, after it came out that owner Ken Kendrick had helped fund Republicans who supported the bill. Though a campaign to have the 2011 All-Star Game moved did nothing, and the protests at our games around the country were mostly small in number, the whole issue proved embarrassing, even if the only damage was the cancellation of a Hall & Oates concert. I can imagine Kendrick being almost grateful for the BP oil spill, which helped push SB 1070 off the front-pages.
- The Eric Byrnes Show gets canceled. And, by "show," I mean "time in Arizona." It was initially thought he might get to compete for a spot in spring training, but management opted to pull the plug on Byrnes, shortly after the start of the year. Byrnes signed a contract with Seattle, but his time there was spectacularly awful. Eric ended the year playing beer-league softball in Menlo Park, CA - while still cashing near-million dollar, bi-weekly checks from the Diamondbacks. From beloved fan favorite to sporting pariah, it was an epic fall from grace, of near-Shakespearean proportions.
- K's not so special any more. The 2010 Diamondbacks struck out more than any team in the entire 140-season history of major-league baseball. Does it matter? Well, the jury is still out on that topic. But new management have made it clear that they consider it a problem, trading team-leader in whiffs, Mark Reynolds, and letting #2, LaRoche, leave as a free-agent. The team total for 2011 should drop as a result. But that's also 57 home-runs and 185 RBI which have left, and I'm not optimistic that Melvin Mora and Juan Miranda, their replacements, will be able to match those numbers.
- Bear-ly believable: the Cubs try to club the Cactus League. The Chicago Cubs demanded a new stadium from Mesa - replacing the one built all the way back in 1997 or they'd head to Florida. Their initial plan involved surcharging all Cactus League tickets to pay for it, but that went over with the other teams, about as well as you'd expect. The resulting revolt forced a humiliating climbdown, and though the Cubs will be getting their new stadium, the money for that will come from an "enterprise fund, which is generated by Mesa's business activities." Yeah...
But enough of 2010. What I'd like to hear are your predictions for 2011. That way, we can come back to visit these next December, and laugh mercilessly at the ludicrously inaccurate expectations we had. Or, somewhat less likely, be amazed as the Nostradamus-like accuracy of our prophecies. Having gazed into my Sedona Red crystal-ball, this is what I'm seeing for next year:
- The World Champion Giants top the Cactus League for attendance, but are pushed hard by the Diamondbacks in their new spring training complex.
- Justin Upton makes the All-Star team for the game held at Chase, after a blistering first-half where he hits almost .300 and has twenty home-runs.
- Kelly Johnson is dealt at the trade deadline, and Stephen Drew at the winter meetings.
- Arizona benefits from a much more solid bullpen, and finishes the season with 78 wins, good enough for fourth in the NL West; J.J. Putz saves 30 games. Jarrod Parker impresses in a second-half call-up, after an injury sends one of our Opening Day starters to the DL.
- The Phillies' pitching outduels the Giants' arms in the National League Championship Series, and then completes things by beating the Red Sox in the World Series.
- And a volcanic explosion that'll make the Eyjafjallajökull one look like a pop-gun. But that probably won't be in Arizona...
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My 2011 prediction
1. Dbacks look good but not great coming out of Spring Training and gives everybody high expectations
2. They come out really hot in April with Daniel Hudson and Ian Kennedy carrying the pitching staff, while Upton and Drew carry the offense. Mora is a pleasant surprise with a .250 3hr mark. Putz is a little shaky and makes a trip to the DL with Juan Gutierrez taking over as closer. End of month record- 17-10
3. They stumble slightly and Joe Saunders is lost for the year on the DL. Upton going crazy while Hudson leading team in ERA. Putz comes back and is lights out. 31-24
4. June is the peak of the season when Kelly Johnson starts to come out of his early season slump and hits 10 HRs in the month. Zach Duke also comes out after posting a 1-3 5.44 line in April/May to post a 5-0 3.12 line in June. Wade Miley is the pitcher called up for Saunders and is very average- 1-2 4.91. They don’t lose a series for the month behind average pitching but awesome hitting and at the end the record is- 53-29.
5. July shows signs of wear and tear and they end up with a 9 game losing streak at one point. Brandon Allen and Miguel Montero nearly come to blows after one game and are each fined by the team. The pitching staffs ERA is 4.67 and the offense’s average is .266 with Upton leading the way with .344 31 HRs. End of month record- 62- 46
6. August is another roller coaster. They win some more and lose some more with Upton beasting it up and Hudson balling. End of month record- 76-61
7. September is a disaster. They completely blow and fall to 3rd place in the division after consistently being in 1st and 2nd all year. They miss the playoffs (obviously) and go home with a sour taste in their mouth. End of year record- 83-79
Final Stats:
Johnson- .266 18 77
Drew- .302 12 56
Upton- .344 46 124
Young- .312 29 98
Montero- .270 14 88
Nady- .256 10 45
Allen- .231 14 57
Mora- .246 9 33
Pitching:
Hudson- 16-7 3.34
Kennedy- 12-10 4.12
Duke- 9-10 4.53
Enright- 6-6 4.96
Miley- 3-7 5.71
Parker 2-0 3.45
Bullpen:
Putz- 2.88 40 saves
Gutierrez- 3.66
Hernandez- 4.34
Demel- 3.11
Mickolio- 7.45
Hampton- 4.89
Patterson- 4.61
Bench:
Abreu- .231 3 12
Parra- .266 0 15
Gillespie- .298 4 23
Blanco- .201 1 19
Blum- .264 6 34
The Diamondbacks go into the Winter Meetings and the offseason needing a new backup catcher once again after a particulary awful year by Blanco. But they decide that John Hester is ready to be the man after a decent year in AAA. They also need a 2b after Johnson becomes a free agent. They go out and sign Dan Uggla after he struggles mightily in Atlanta and no one wants him. They also sign Jose Lopez to man 3b. They then sign a lefty to replace Hampton- John Grabow, and Joel Zumaya to replace Mickolio who was absolutely awful. They stay relatively quiet and hope to strike again in 2012.
Vince Carter a rental??? I think not.
These numbers are so random
that it’s awesome. Also, isn’t Uggla under contract for a few times? I know he wouldn’t go to Florida because they wouldn’t give him the years he wanted.
I can’t really knock the projections, though. One of those things that no one knows about. You could be incredibly off or spot-on. /shrug
My value over a replacement poster is approximately 10.5 runs.
Yeah Uggla just got extended
For five years, I think.
http://hasthelargehadroncolliderdestroyedtheworldyet.com/
by Dan Strittmatter on Jan 1, 2011 2:47 PM EST up reply actions
whoops forgot about that
aaron hill maybe, we could also hold out with abreu until owings is ready and then shift him to second
Vince Carter a rental??? I think not.
Thought it was something like that
Also, no idea why I said times. Obviously meant under contract for a few years. Whoops.
My value over a replacement poster is approximately 10.5 runs.
Oookaayyyyy
I suppose you derived these fantasy statistics from running countless iterations of PS3?
J-Up is likely little more than a fancy fizzle, a vestige of another management regime that time and again proved itself incompetent to judge talent (although it did get Drew right).
The Great and Mighty....
by NASCARbernet on Jan 1, 2011 11:28 AM EST up reply actions
Aside from that ASG
At 22-years-old?
http://hasthelargehadroncolliderdestroyedtheworldyet.com/
by Dan Strittmatter on Jan 1, 2011 2:48 PM EST up reply actions 1 recs
I went with Drew
I see the masses are still waiting on Upton to be super star he’s supposed to be.
by Alfred E. Neuman on Jan 1, 2011 12:35 AM EST reply actions
Despite going with Upton
I’m shocked more didn’t go with Drew. What kept me back was, sadly, Tulo.
http://hasthelargehadroncolliderdestroyedtheworldyet.com/
by Dan Strittmatter on Jan 1, 2011 2:48 PM EST up reply actions
In 2011...
I expect us to be greatly improved, to be honest. My feelings about next season fluctuate wildly, but even though our offense is nothing but downgraded (got rid of Mark, replaced with Mora), that’s assuming that we don’t see improvements from everyone else. I’m still waiting on Upton to burst out (he got my vote in the poll), so maybe this is the year where he makes even casual Yankees fans take notice (wait, nevermind, I don’t want Yankees fans to be aware of him).
I think the bullpen will be solid, but we’ll have at least two relievers that are like early-season Guti or Qualls last year, ie, make us want to cry when they’re sent in. I dunno, it’s totally a crapshoot, but if I had to pick a record, I’d go ahead and say somewhere in the neighborhood of 84-78? Just above .500, but only slightly. I probably said we’d be below .500 pretty recently, but such is Wailord.
My value over a replacement poster is approximately 10.5 runs.
Happy new year!!!!
2011 is going to be awesome and the D’backs are going to be awesome!
best wishes to you all.
my predictions
1) we end the year with somewhere between 75-78 wins
2) upton goes nuts and hits 320 with 30 home runs
3) drew and kj and cy remain solid (though with lower numbers than last year), with kj getting an extension after a couple of months
4) a number of our prospects have solid to monster years, and we end up with 6 prospects in the top 100 at the end of the year, albeit at the lower end. those top 6 prospects will be skaggs, davidson, goldschmidt, krauss, borchering, owings, in that order.
The J-Up love fest
continues, and still makes very little sense.
The Great and Mighty....
by NASCARbernet on Jan 1, 2011 11:23 AM EST up reply actions
Yes
Because nobody in any sport ever has had a resurgence after a statistically below average year, ever.
(Though .320 with 30 homers does seem VERY optimistic)
Bad doormat! No stock options!
Where's his motivation to improve?
The only time his statistics will improve significantly will be in a contract year, for obvious reasons.
The Great and Mighty....
by NASCARbernet on Jan 1, 2011 11:31 AM EST up reply actions
What's ANY player's motivation to improve?
"I don't wanna sit around watching you 'give it your best.' Either stop sucking or get out of the way."
by Jim McLennan on Jan 1, 2011 11:50 AM EST up reply actions
Obviously some find motivation
and go on to do great things. Others don’t. I wouldn’t hold my breath waiting for him to become the next Ken Griffey Jr, though.
The Great and Mighty....
Competitiveness? Desire to make self and team better?
That’s a trait a lot of athletes have. And despite what Gregg Esterbrook thinks, it DOES take a lot of work along with talent to become a number 1 pick (And the consensus one at that) in any major sport’s draft.
I guess I really don’t understand the Upton hate. I know we expect a lot from him, but he’s still years away from the normal prime of most baseball players. And, statistically speaking, in a vacuum he didn’t have an AWFUL season last year. Had a higher BA, OBP and OPS than Chris Young (though in about twenty less games, to be fair) He struck out a lot, though who the hell didn’t last year?
We’re rebuilding, he’s young and under contract for awhile. I think he’ll continue developing and improving and people on the internetmouth can start complaining about something else about someone on the D’Backs (I suggest: Ian Kennedy’s ears), and that KT was TOTALLY RIGHT for asking the world for him.
Bad doormat! No stock options!
by Clefo on Jan 1, 2011 12:01 PM EST up reply actions 2 recs
Beside the 'Upton hate' comment
you make some good points. There’s no denying he looks like he’s someone who could do some great things, but it’s always going to be ‘just a little more of this, a little more of that, and he’d be great.’
My own thought on the subject is he’s more valuable as the ‘next big thing’ than he is in practical terms. In other words, trade bait for a true number one pitcher.
The Great and Mighty....
Good and interesting points as well
The “Upton Hate” comment wasn’t directed at you specifically, just at this general feeling among some people that Upton is somehow a mix of Terrell Owens, Sean Avery, and Augusto Pinochet.
I agree that if he pans out, that’s a valuable bat for years to come.. If he doesn’t, he’ll probably get decent in return if we decide to move him towards the end of his deal.
Bad doormat! No stock options!
My prediction:
The Dbacks will realize that 2011 is the 10 year anniversary of their World Series win. Therefor, they will make a new tradition where they win the World Series every 10 years. Also:
1)Daniel Hudson will pitch a no-hitter and will become the definition of an ace.
2)Steven Drew will win a Golden Glove award, and will be talked about as one of the best shortstops in the whole MLB.
3)Kelly Johnson will no longer go by his name, “Kelly Johnson”. He will simply be known as “Homerun”.
4)The Dbacks will have one of the best records in the whole MLB, and will dominate the NL West.
5)kirk Gibson will win “Manager of the Year”. He will become the inspire new Chuck Norris jokes. The difference: Instead of Chuck Norris, the jokes will be about Kirk Gibson’s mustache (Or at least his ex-one).
6)The Dbacks will trade Baxter to a new team (Or even a new sport). Their new mascot will be a platypus.
6.1)Instead of a platypus, the Dbacks might instead take an endorsement, and make their new mascot a “Dos Equis” beer bottle. They use the money they get from Dos Equis to have the words “The most interesting team in the world” inscribed in plain sight somewhere on Chase Field grounds.
7)Just like the Cowboys are called “America’s Team”, the Dbacks become known as “America + Canada + Mexico’s Team”.
8)Chris Rock buys a minority share in the Dbacks.
9)The Dbacks sweep their way through the Playoffs, thus reaching the World Series.
10)In an epic showdown for the ages, the Dbacks find themselves in Game 7 of the World Series. It’s the bottom of the 9th. There’s two outs, two strikes, and three balls. The crowd at Chase Field is silent, waiting for a miracle. The Dbacks are down by one, playing the Yankees in a rematch from 2001. Everyone expects the Yankees to win, especially because Mariano Rivera is the reliever pitching (Again, rematch from 2001), and he’s been pretty good all season. Chris Young is on 2nd. At the last second, Kirk Gibson inserts Steven Drew to hit. Everyone is wondering why, because “Homerun” was supposed to be next, and he’s done fantastic all season. Steven Drew steps up. It’s a cutter from Mariano Rivera. Steven Drew steps back, and slams it. It’s goes into deep left. Chris Young scores. Steven Drew slides into home, and scores. The crowd goes wild. The Dbacks have won the World Series! They rush the field. It’s a fantastic day for Arizona.
Just a few small predictions. That’s all.
A few typs
I meant to go back and bold the numbers, and add spaces between the stuff and numbers.
Also, in 5), Kirk should be capitalized, and the second sentence should read “He will inspire a new line of Chuck Norris jokes”.
My bad.
Oh, sure
The black man has to buy a minority share in the team! That’s just racist.
"What's it like in your brain?"
"A great big rollercoaster, packed full of geniuses, all going wheeee!"
Way to point out something and make it racist!
That’s like saying the Smurfs are racist towards the Pandora aliens in Avatar.
I
did and still do argue against Gonzo getting his number retired, but I’m still happy about it.
And I got linked in the Snakebytes!
I got linked in the Snakebytes!
/runs off
/adds to resume
The only way to win is not to play.

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