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Around SBN: 2012 Africa Cup Of Nations Final

10 Reasons to be Fearful for Diamondbacks Fans

And so the Diamondbacks lose their fourth straight series, falling to 4-8 on the year. While not completely inescapable - as noted previously, we had the same record after the first dozen games in 2001 - there is certainly a great deal of room for improvement. Most obviously, from an offense which is scoring only 3.3 runs/game. In particular, our batters are struggling against left-handed pitching. 1-for-20 today against Randy Johnson, reduces the Diamondbacks' overall average against left-handers to just .146 (19-for-130). The team is 0-5 in games where the opposition started a southpaw, and has scored a total of five runs in those contests.

That's far from the only problem afflicting Arizona thus far. Our ace is out of action, with no scheduled return date. The bullpen has an ERA of 6.27, and our starters have a record of 2-8. The team has stolen only three bases - and been caught stealing the same number.  The D-backs are hitting .211 (15-for-71) with runners in scoring position and have already endured a trio of shut-outs in a dozen games: last year, our third shut-out didn't occur until game #91. But after the jump, let's go through the current roster [and the DL-listed Brandon Webb], see what we can glean from the opening two weeks, and list the ten players I'm most concerned with.

Star-divide

Incomplete. Not seen enough to come to any real conclusion.

Bobby Korecky - two innings pitched
Chad Qualls - four innings pitched
Ryan Roberts - seven plate-appearances
Doug Slaten - three innings pitched

Not worried about at all. They've either played really well through the first dozen games; or while they have flaws, these have been outweighed by the positive aspects of their game.

Doug Davis - 2.57 ERA, 21 IP, 19 H, 6 BB, 15 K
Dan Haren - 1.89 ERA, 19 IP, 12 H, 3 BB, 17 K
Felipe Lopez - team-leading .347 BA, albeit also team-leading three errors
Augie Ojeda - 6-for-14
Juan Gutierrez - 3.68 ERA, 7.1 IP, 2 BB, 11 K
Tony Peña - 1.50 ERA, 6 IP, 5 H, 1 BB

Somewhat troubling. These players have had their ups and downs, performing good one day, then poorly the next. Overall, however, they are within the bounds of normal variation, though have room for improvement in some or all aspects of their play.

Yusmeiro Petit - one decent start, then lit-up when pitching on short rest
Mark Reynolds - 12 K's in 37 AB, only three walks. Does have two homers
Max Scherzer - too many walks, must be more economical (18.7 pitches per IP)
Scott Schoeneweis - be ok, if Melvin stops using him against RHB
Chad Tracy - OBP creeping down, barely above .300...
Chris Young - leads the team in strikeouts, K:BB of 13:2.

Frankly, disturbing. Here are the ones for whom bells of some kind are going off. These range from the tinkly, Christmas kind, through the alarm-clock variety, up to the full-on, three-alarm fire variety. Small sample-size naturally applies [and will continue to do so through the rest of April], but these are storylines which it'll be worth keeping an eye on as we go forward.

10. Stephen Drew. Played just a couple of innings in this series, due to a hamstring problem; was hitting only .222 up until that point. Does have more walks than strikeouts, however.

9. Miguel Montero. One single and one walk in 13 PA's to date, resulting in an OPS+ of -38. Not quite the offensive force we anticipated off the bench.

8. Jon Garland. Was fine in his first start, but the second was truly wretched, with seven hits and five walks in less than four innings: that's already eight free-passes handed out in 10.2 frames.

7. Conor Jackson. His three-run homer was nice to see - get that monkey off his back. But this is definitely not the man we expected to see batting at the Uecker Line, with a K:BB ratio of 7:2.

6. Chris Snyder. While he leads the team in walks (seven: Drew is next, on four), that won't last if he keeps hitting below .100. The rest of his game seems fine [three base-thieves thrown out], but we don't need any more automatic outs.

5. Tony Clark. Call up Whitesell (two HR, 6 RBI in the Reno home opener) and use TC's 'veteran presence' off-roster. Hitless in six games and 12 ABs: Opening Day was an aberration, on the scale of Easley's three-homer game against Atlanta.

4. Justin Upton. Though showing signs of life after a wretched start, still has gone only 5-for-30, with two walks and 11 K's. Has also made his first error in right-field, so that hasn't changed. If this is the future of the franchise, we're in trouble.

3. Jon Rauch. Sucks as badly as expected. 5 IP, eight hits, four BB, six earned runs and opponents batting .333. He'd rank lower, except most appearances have been with us down by one - thanks, Bob! - and he's allowed a run every such game.

2. Eric Byrnes. If performance really determined playing time, we'd not be seeing Eric at all, with his .457 OPS. He's 3-for-26 with one extra-base hit, and hasn't even attempted a stolen-base.

1. Brandon Webb. Our ace's injury is the worst thing possible, and it doesn't seem he'll be back soon - he only threw on flat ground today. This time last year, Webb had three wins - those missing victories would sure make our 2009 record look a lot better.

The question is, what (if anything) needs to be done about these issues in the short-term. [Wimb has a wwell-written Fanpost on the topic of what action can, or should, be taken in the longer view]. Though as noted, any or (please and thank you) all of these may sort themselves out in due course. I'll probably revisit the list in a couple of weeks and see how the order has changed. But how would you handle things at the moment?

Poll
What's the team's biggest problem?
Webb's injury
32 votes
Can't hit left-handed pitching
57 votes
Poor base-running
1 votes
Unreliable bullpen
48 votes
Bad clutch hitting
150 votes

288 votes | Poll has closed

Comment 66 comments  |  0 recs  | 

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Good article

I’m not panicking right now, or drinking heavily, because as many say “baseball is a marathon” Mariners are in 1st in AL West, TB Rays are in last in AL East. Royals are on top of their division, Padres are doing splendid…. something’s not right, and I’m hoping it will get sorted out soon.
Oh, and Dodgers are on an 8 game win streak, effing spectacular.

"Score some damn runs, or the baby pandas die"

by sergey606 on Apr 20, 2009 1:43 AM EDT reply actions  

Royals will win the AL Central this year

behind their strong pitching and ok lineup

Go DBacks!

by JustAJ on Apr 20, 2009 3:04 PM EDT up reply actions  

I will give you the SP

Meche is not bad, and Zachy, as baseball tonight said, nastier than a german porno. I’m kidding, they did say that he has a muddy change up, a dirty fast ball, and filthy breaking balls

"Score some damn runs, or the baby pandas die"

by sergey606 on Apr 20, 2009 6:01 PM EDT up reply actions  

I voted for

E. All of the above

Insert witty and/or humorous signature here.

by DbacksSkins on Apr 20, 2009 2:03 AM EDT reply actions  

personally

yes E would be a great answer. I don’t know the statistic, and too lazy to look it up, however, the games that I watched, they stranded so many runners in scoring position, so i had to vote for clutch hitting

"Score some damn runs, or the baby pandas die"

by sergey606 on Apr 20, 2009 2:59 AM EDT up reply actions  

Not to be "that guy"

But there are five choices in the poll, so wouldn’t E be “Bad Clutch Hitting”?

by Brendan Scolari on Apr 20, 2009 3:10 AM EDT up reply actions  

Look, man

“Questionable literacy skills among Diamondbacks fans” isn’t on the list, is it?

No, I mean, really, is it? ‘Cause we should probably vote for that one, I’d think, so if someone who can read would point out which one it is, that’d be great.

"He can't re-educate them in camps! He'd have to educate them first."

by kishi on Apr 20, 2009 3:19 AM EDT up reply actions  

Lol

Well, I can’t help you there. I didn’t mean to be rude, but it did seem incorrect. We Dodger fans strive for perfection. That’s why we’re going 159-3 this year…..

by Brendan Scolari on Apr 20, 2009 6:34 AM EDT up reply actions  

It was a joke.

Dude, you are SOOOO that guy.

Don’t you remember how, on the SAT, almost every question had an option “E. All of the above”?

Insert witty and/or humorous signature here.

by DbacksSkins on Apr 20, 2009 3:19 AM EDT up reply actions  

My bad

I figured that’s what you were going for, but I couldn’t help myself. ;-)

by Brendan Scolari on Apr 20, 2009 6:30 AM EDT up reply actions  

my buddy had a test

Where the answers were A through C actual answers
D-None of the Above
E-All of the Above

Naturally, he picked E…. lets see who gets this one

"Score some damn runs, or the baby pandas die"

by sergey606 on Apr 20, 2009 11:14 AM EDT up reply actions  

I know not

These “SAT” of which you speak. Is it a game-show?

"Win, or die" -- Marquise de Merteuil

by Jim McLennan on Apr 20, 2009 11:48 AM EDT up reply actions  

College entrance test

Official title I think is Scholastic Aptitude Test. It is one of the measures universities use for admittance purposes.

"If you'd need to know, you'd know. but they decided that you don't need to know,so you don't. So stop thinking about what you don't know because you don't need to know what you think you need to know about!"

by unnamedDBacksfan on Apr 20, 2009 11:58 AM EDT up reply actions  

I think

he was being sarcastic…

Insert witty and/or humorous signature here.

by DbacksSkins on Apr 20, 2009 12:01 PM EDT up reply actions  

could be

took all of 10 seconds to write what i did though, so no loss on my part.

"If you'd need to know, you'd know. but they decided that you don't need to know,so you don't. So stop thinking about what you don't know because you don't need to know what you think you need to know about!"

by unnamedDBacksfan on Apr 20, 2009 12:03 PM EDT up reply actions  

Loss of

10 seconds…

Insert witty and/or humorous signature here.

by DbacksSkins on Apr 20, 2009 12:04 PM EDT up reply actions  

Yeah. British...

Hence a) the sarcasm, and b) not really knowing about SATs. I’ve heard of them, but “E) None of the above” did fly over my head as a specific reference, so I appreciate the clarification.

Let’s be honest, all I know about the American educational system was learned from the stories brought home by our kids, and Buffy the Vampire Slayer. I think the latter painted the slightly-less appalling picture.

"Win, or die" -- Marquise de Merteuil

by Jim McLennan on Apr 20, 2009 12:12 PM EDT up reply actions  

ok

I think you might you “that guy” now. we’ll see

"Score some damn runs, or the baby pandas die"

by sergey606 on Apr 20, 2009 6:02 PM EDT up reply actions  

?what

on earth are you talking about?

"If you'd need to know, you'd know. but they decided that you don't need to know,so you don't. So stop thinking about what you don't know because you don't need to know what you think you need to know about!"

by unnamedDBacksfan on Apr 21, 2009 2:28 PM EDT up reply actions  

you

you’re that guy.
either way, i’ll give you credit on picking it up

"Score some damn runs, or the baby pandas die"

by sergey606 on Apr 20, 2009 4:28 AM EDT up reply actions  

+1

Was looking for the E. All of the above.

by Pyromnc on Apr 20, 2009 9:45 AM EDT up reply actions  

Frustrated

Simply, that’s all there is to say up to this point. Like I said before, these guys have a lot of potential (I know that some of you don’t like that word but it really is the truth) and I firmly believe that they’ll tap into it relatively soon. It’s been saddening and, at times, excruciating to watch but we all know that they are capable of pulling it off.

And number five on the Frankly, disturbing list is absolutely bizare. I 100% completely agree with every word in that sentence. Look at these numbers for Whitesell:

2008: AAA
127 Games
26 HRs
110 RBIs
.328 BA
.425 OBP
.993 OPS
270 TB

2009: AAA
10 Games
2 HRs
10 RBIs
.364 BA
.500 OBP
1.106 OPS
20 TB

These stats are salivating. Bring Joshua back!

Wear your own fur.

by Marc Fournier on Apr 20, 2009 2:26 AM EDT reply actions  

Josh is awesome.

No doubt that he’d be a better option than Tony Clark.

by Brendan Scolari on Apr 20, 2009 3:11 AM EDT up reply actions  

Heh....

because he’s your buddy?

Insert witty and/or humorous signature here.

by DbacksSkins on Apr 20, 2009 3:20 AM EDT up reply actions  

Yeah

and because I think he’s better. Don’t you? ;-)

by Brendan Scolari on Apr 20, 2009 6:29 AM EDT up reply actions  

Of course.

It’s just funny to see a Dodgers fan going to bat for a Dbacks prospect so often.

Insert witty and/or humorous signature here.

by DbacksSkins on Apr 20, 2009 11:08 AM EDT up reply actions  

I would too though

the faster we get him into our messed up system, the faster we destroy all hope in him and we trade him away for peanuts that much sooner.

"If you'd need to know, you'd know. but they decided that you don't need to know,so you don't. So stop thinking about what you don't know because you don't need to know what you think you need to know about!"

by unnamedDBacksfan on Apr 20, 2009 11:11 AM EDT up reply actions  

I would too though IF I was a fan of another team

is what I meant to say

"If you'd need to know, you'd know. but they decided that you don't need to know,so you don't. So stop thinking about what you don't know because you don't need to know what you think you need to know about!"

by unnamedDBacksfan on Apr 20, 2009 1:26 PM EDT up reply actions  

Not sure

another young player with “potential” is what we need. Right now we are a young team full of “potential” and we need all the veteran leadership we can get. On a side note when ever I put one word in quotes I think of Dr. Evil saying it, don’t know why but whatever.

by Pyromnc on Apr 20, 2009 9:48 AM EDT up reply actions  

I'm not sure

if this team is what Whitesell needs either. It looks like the place where young hitters with “potential” go to die. It’d be great if we could resolve that before we sacrifice another prospect.

But I’m not sure how to fix it without blowing up the coaching staff.

"We...probed them all the way through. They're completely meat." — Terry Bisson

by Scrbl on Apr 20, 2009 9:57 AM EDT up reply actions  

Either

this team somehow fixes itself with what we have or we do like you say blow up the staff.
I am betting it’s going to be blow up the staff but it is to early to really start doing this. The one thing I am worried about is if we get rid of BoMel we likely will lose Brian Pryce with him. Pryce has been very good for the pitching staff and it would suck to lose one of the coaches actually doing his job. I guess you have to make sacrifices sometimes to get better but it would still suck losing him.

by Pyromnc on Apr 20, 2009 10:02 AM EDT up reply actions  

Pryce is doing his job?

Why hasn’t he fixed Rauch? Did he fix Owings last year?

by AF DBacks Fanatic on Apr 20, 2009 5:05 PM EDT up reply actions  

Why not just blow up the coaching staff?

3 years of saying “potential” = no coaching
If they can’t coach, why are the labeled as such and getting paid?

by AF DBacks Fanatic on Apr 20, 2009 5:04 PM EDT up reply actions  

I'm not really sure

“veteran leadership” has done anything for us since the 2007 season. This team is just pressing too hard right now…. maybe they need a sense of humor, like with Bob Brenly and Mark Grace in 2001 or O-Dawg in 2007.

Regardless, Tony Clark is pretty much completely worthless at this point, and I think cutting the dead weight (I’d propose he replace Schu as hitting coach, but I dunno if a guy who can’t hit can coach it?) and promoting someone with upside in Whitesell is definitely the forward-glancing option.

Insert witty and/or humorous signature here.

by DbacksSkins on Apr 20, 2009 11:12 AM EDT up reply actions  

"Those who

can’t do, teach. Those who can’t teach, teach Gym".

"it’s a great time to be a Tiger" - leghumpingjihadkiller

by Snakebitten on Apr 20, 2009 3:41 PM EDT up reply actions  

Arizona's onbase percentage is the worst in all of baseball this year

OBP for Diamondbacks with > 30 Plate Appearances:

.385 Lopez
.306 Tracy
.300 Reynolds
.300 Snyder
.293 Drew
.271 Young
.242 Upton
.238 Jackson
.226 Byrnes

Those are horribly UGLY numbers! Arizona’s team OBP of .292 places this team dead last in major league baseball. That’s right, 30th out of 30 teams.

This is why the Arizona offense doesn’t score runs. They’re swinging for the fences and getting nothing. Try getting on base for a change.

by TAP on Apr 20, 2009 3:26 AM EDT reply actions  

Good stats

Terrifying, but informative. I’m trying not to jump under a bus yet but I’m getting very nervous about this offense, in general.

Zug be with you.
And also with you.

by NewJackCity on Apr 20, 2009 8:24 AM EDT up reply actions  

Thanks for the information.

Now instead of hiking down the Grand Canyon this week I think I’ll just go jump off the side….joke….lol.

by Pyromnc on Apr 20, 2009 9:49 AM EDT up reply actions  

thats is horrible, it makes me sick

by jaydubsped on Apr 20, 2009 10:19 AM EDT up reply actions  

well.

it depends on your alcohol level at the time. plus the flight down would be neat, except you won’t remember it when it’s over.

"Score some damn runs, or the baby pandas die"

by sergey606 on Apr 20, 2009 11:17 AM EDT up reply actions  

Not helping

Is that our BABIP is also still dead-last in the majors: .247 is 49 points less than the league average. Tack fifty points on to our BA and OBP numbers, and we’d be at .265/.335, above and basically at average.

Not sure why our BABIP is so wretched. Our Line Drive percentage is a little below NL mean (17% to 19%) and our infield fly percentage fractionally above (15% vs 13%) – yes, even with Eric Byrnes – but doesn’t seem like enough to make such a massive difference on the BABIP.

Otherwise, this seems to suggest this is just a streak of wretched bad luck, magnified by the fact it’s at the start of the year, and we should stop hitting the ball at people eventually.

"Win, or die" -- Marquise de Merteuil

by Jim McLennan on Apr 20, 2009 11:57 AM EDT up reply actions  

What about FB-GB ratio?

It really DOES seem like we’re constantly skying the ball because we’re always swinging for the fences.

Insert witty and/or humorous signature here.

by DbacksSkins on Apr 20, 2009 12:06 PM EDT up reply actions  

In general ratio

GB-FB, we’re somewhat below average: 0.69 to 0.76, 13th in the league. But when you look at the ratio of OUTS: GO-AO, we’re tied for last, 0.89 to 1.05. So we’re hitting a few less ground-balls, but seems like a higher-percentage of the fly-balls are being turned into outs. Upton and Snyder are the worst offenders, with GB-FB ratios of just 0.29 and 0.27 respectively. In case you’re wondering, Eric is at 0.60.

We also need to improve that K:BB ratio. At the moment, it’s 2.59, which trails only Pittsburgh and SF – not a happy place to be.

"Win, or die" -- Marquise de Merteuil

by Jim McLennan on Apr 20, 2009 12:20 PM EDT up reply actions  

More

The team’s batting average & SLG on line drives are the lowest in the league by far. The D-backs are a full 100 points lower than average on batting average (.627 vs. .729), and 150 points lower on SLG (.863 vs. 1.031).

I agree on the bad luck. At least I hope that’s the issue. While it could just be that the line drives are randomly going right at people, could it also be that opposing teams know exactly where are hitters usually hit? If so, I’d like to see more attempts to just put the ball in play to any field if it means potentially shifting them out of their alignment.

by ASUJon on Apr 20, 2009 1:12 PM EDT up reply actions  

I assume

by “batting average”, you meant “on base plus slugging”?

Insert witty and/or humorous signature here.

by DbacksSkins on Apr 20, 2009 2:52 PM EDT up reply actions  

No

Batting averages on line drives are actually that high.

http://www.baseball-reference.com/leagues/split.cgi?lg=NL&year=2009&t=b (under “hit trajectory”)

by ASUJon on Apr 20, 2009 2:56 PM EDT up reply actions  

Oooooh....

Yeah, I completely missed the “on line drives” part when I first read that. My bad.

Insert witty and/or humorous signature here.

by DbacksSkins on Apr 20, 2009 6:02 PM EDT up reply actions  

Well

Obviously you guys won’t win 1/3 of your games all year. I think your offense will be below average, but better than some teams and certainly not horrific.

by Brendan Scolari on Apr 20, 2009 2:47 PM EDT up reply actions  

Schu came on board 7/07

We won the division that year because of our pitching (solid starters & bullpen). Even with a shaky bullpen in 2008, we could have had 95+ wins if our batters did a better job.

I’m sure Schu is a great guy and I don’t want to be a hater. But the team has struggled offensively for almost 2 years under Schu’s watch. I give it 2 weeks — if performance at the plate doesn’t improve significantly, I suspect there will be a change. And methinks BoMel has until the All-Star break to turn it around, but maybe not if Schoenweiss keeps coming in to face rightys, and Rauch is given the ball with a 1-run lead.

Speaking of our tallest member, I think Rauch is going to end up on the 15-day DL and get sent to Reno for a few weeks of “rehab.”

by venomfan on Apr 20, 2009 2:01 PM EDT reply actions  

Which may be the first time

Anyone has ever gone to Reno to rehab. :-)

"Win, or die" -- Marquise de Merteuil

by Jim McLennan on Apr 20, 2009 3:21 PM EDT up reply actions  

Yeah....

doesn’t seem like a particularly conducive environment…

Insert witty and/or humorous signature here.

by DbacksSkins on Apr 20, 2009 6:03 PM EDT up reply actions  

forget Reno

they should let Rauch rehab in Tucson, I hear the Toros are back in town. he’d be a stud in the GBL. nah, he’d still suck.

by jonny-yuma on Apr 20, 2009 7:32 PM EDT up reply actions  

Do you think

anyone would volunteer to be his host family, though?

Insert witty and/or humorous signature here.

by DbacksSkins on Apr 21, 2009 3:28 AM EDT up reply actions  

At least

Chase field will host the All Star game

by Shifty1 on Apr 20, 2009 5:58 PM EDT reply actions  

Welcome

to the Snakepit!!

Insert witty and/or humorous signature here.

by DbacksSkins on Apr 20, 2009 6:03 PM EDT up reply actions  

Hey....

we tolerate you, don’t we??

Insert witty and/or humorous signature here.

by DbacksSkins on Apr 21, 2009 3:28 AM EDT up reply actions  

please just tell me

it won’t get as bad as ‘04, with caretaker manager taking over halfway through the season and uninspired team not showing much interest in doing anything at all…other than RJ’s 4000th K, that was a painful year.

by jonny-yuma on Apr 20, 2009 7:03 PM EDT reply actions  

*Nothing* could be as bad as 04

You know how dreadfully we have played so far? We are still on pace to win 11 more games than we did in 2004. That’s how bad the team was then. Bad on a once-in-a-generation level.

"Win, or die" -- Marquise de Merteuil

by Jim McLennan on Apr 21, 2009 1:25 AM EDT up reply actions  

*ahem*

RJ’s 4000th K, AND the 17th perfect game in baseball history…..

Insert witty and/or humorous signature here.

by DbacksSkins on Apr 21, 2009 3:30 AM EDT up reply actions  

my bad

how could i forget that – prolly cause i was only at the 4000th K game…good call, skins

by jonny-yuma on Apr 21, 2009 2:38 PM EDT up reply actions  

Hey, I've got an idea....

let’s get healthy against the Rockies!

Insert witty and/or humorous signature here.

by DbacksSkins on Apr 21, 2009 3:29 AM EDT reply actions  

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