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The Official "So What Do We Do Now" fanpost...

Ok, so reading around the 'pit it's becoming a little bit depressing and accusations of who and what's wrong are flying around left right and centre.

So lets all just slug it out in this fanpost shall we? 

Rules are simple, if you have an argument or a gripe, back it up and don't just say "x sucks" 

So I'll start it all rolling. For me the problem is simple. 2007.

2007 saw a bunch of young hitters with lots of potential somehow make it to the playoffs. A combination of fantastic pitching, clutch hitting and winning tight games took us to the NLCS where we lost to the Rockies.

As everyone pointed out at the time out run differential was -20 which suggested we should have lost more then we won. But for some reason the teams management (front office and the bench) seem to want to recapture that fluke by whatever means possible rather then trying to win the old fashioned way.

What strikes me as somewhat amazing is that with the knowledge that our offence was weak in mind we commited to spending payroll and prospects on replacing Livan Hernandez with Dan Haren. Now this is an obvious upgrade on 1 day out of every 5 and Haren has been a great asset to this ballclub (and long may he continue to be)  but that off season the best bat we got was errrr Chris Burke, who even at the time we got him was a 'decent' but not an every day impact player.

The general theory seemed to be that our young players would get better in their 2nd and 3rd seasons and lead us to victory. Sadly after a glorious spring we once again stumbled and fell away in quite pathetic circumstances over the next few months. Despite some improvements (see Drew, Stephen) by and large our young group of hitters looked out of sorts and incapable of hitting on a regular basis 

The front office then pulled off a good trade in picking up Adam Dunn who at least got on base a fair amount, but sadly it was too little too late and coupled with Hudson hitting the DL, the season couldn't be salvaged.

So then we go into the 2009 offseason and once again our motto is, "well our young players will learn from last season" and here we are 12 games into the year and we're sat in the same place. Our pitching is fairly solid/good and our offence just sucks the big one. I realise that the economic climate means we couldn't have kept Dunn or Hudson (at least until the bottom fell out of the market) so I'm not lamenting the fact that Josh Byrnes didn't do a Brian Cashman. What I am concerned with is that we were never even seriously linked with a consistent and reliable bat to bolster an offence that struggled for two seasons.

What stuns me the most is that over two years removed from a season of poor offence we're still left with the same core players. Snyder, Jackson, Drew, Byrnes, Young, Montero, Clark, Reynolds, Upton are all names that have been on team sheets for the majority of games the last three seasons and none of them have been consistent or dependable. Is it not time to be ruthless and cut or trade some of them away. Perhaps this is the only way to motivate those who survive as right now what do they have to fear? Name me one high profile bat who has been traded/released/sent down due to just not being good enough. 

Whilst the POTENTIAL is clearly there for some players, I can't see the logic in basing two thirds of your lineup on potential. 

I'm not so stupid as to think this team has the payroll flexibility to just go out and get 3 or 4 top players, but i have to imagine that we could do something along the lines of trading Brandon Webb or Dan Haren for a decent position player or two, plus  prospects. 

Or perhaps the time has come to trade Justin Upton while his 'potential' is still high enough to get a decent player in return.

For me, such suggestions seem the only realistic or logical solution for a team who desperately needs offence. 

Has the time come to balance the money we commit to proven starting pitching between proven hitting?

Sacking the manager/hitting coach might create a spark, but what's the point in hoping one spark ignites a bunch of wet leaves? 

Im sorry if this fanpost seems bitter and depressive but that's honestly how I see the situation right now :(

1 recs  |  Comment 36 comments

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There's really two separate issues here

Short-term and long-term, and the fixes for them are different. We don’t want to do anything in haste to repair the issues seen in a dozen games, that will hamper us in the long-term. I’m working on a short-term issues post that’ll go up this evening, though it’s more listing the problems than supplying any direct answers.

Looking at the suggestions here, it seems you are talking more about the long-term than anything, and I would be very cautious on over-reacting to what we’ve seen so far. Not having Webb about is a significant difference-maker: as I will be mentioning, he’d won three games by this point last season, and if you drop them onto our current record, we’d be at 7-5, and things would look a damn sight rosier.

With hindsight, there were a couple of horrendous mis-steps that cost the team dearly. Most obviously, the long-term extension to Eric Byrnes, which then played into the decision to dump MVP candidate Carlos Quentin, and came right on the heels of trading Scott Hairston. This almost forced the team to bring up Justin Upton, at age 20, almost certainly before he was fully ready to play in the majors. The team also should have got a lot better haul for Jose Valverde – most saves in 2007 – than someone to replace him in Chad Qualls, and Chris Burke [though Gutierrez may be the diamond in that deal]. If we couldn’t get a better haul, we should have hung on to him. And I still reckon letting Juan Cruz leave this off-season was idiotic.

How to fix it. Sad to say, the only real chip we have that I can see us using is Brandon Webb, and if we’re out of the race by mid-season, I imagine we’ll be listening to offers for him. The sooner he goes, the more valuable he will be, because the more he’ll have left on his contract, but I do not want a repeat of the Valverde trade. He should get us a good haul, and we should also listen to offers for Doug Davis and Jon Garland at the trade deadline, since neither will (almost certainly be with us next season).

I’d like to see us getting a solid left-handed bat who can play everyday, at one of the corner positions. I dunno why Chad Tracy isn’t getting the chance to settle in and be that guy. I am not convinced, on performances thus far, that Mark Reynolds will ever be a good full-time player in the National League, unless he can improve his defense significantly. His offense has power, no doubt of that, but it comes with a lot of baggage in the form of K’s and errors. We need to get hitters who are better at putting the ball in play and getting on-base: we have currently too many K-friendly batters, so when we do get someone on base, they stay there more often than not.

Clark is toast. Waive him. Byrnes needs to go back to being a fourth outfielder, with the other three playing everyday, unless his performance justifies more than that – which it certainly doesn’t at the moment. But most of the rest of the team, I can see as being useful: Jackson, Snyder, Drew, Young and Upton are a solid core of players, and are affordable for the next few years: we should be looking to fill the gaps around them with equally solid players.

That’s just some brainstorming thoughts off the top of my head, which may or may not make sense in the cold light of morning. :-)

"Win, or die" -- Marquise de Merteuil

by Jim McLennan on Apr 19, 2009 10:40 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

I disagree

on what we could have gotten for Valverde. Teams are smart enough to look beyond “most saves in 2007” and realize that number is team dependent more than anything else. At that point, he had still yet to put up consecutive good seasons as a reliever. Trading one cost-controlled season of Valverde (who there’s no way in hell this team was going to re-sign) for three arbitration years of Qualls and six years of Gutierrez is an absolute steal.

And anyone that wants to bring up Bonifacio should wait until his career OPS+ at least gets in 90 range (currently 72 – 100 on the season and dropping like a rock).

by dahlian on Apr 20, 2009 11:11 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

After tonight

Six years of God-Emperor of Suck Gutierrez seems about 5.99 too many…

"Win, or die" -- Marquise de Merteuil

by Jim McLennan on Apr 22, 2009 2:22 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

x sucks

"Score some damn runs, or the baby pandas die"

by sergey606 on Apr 20, 2009 12:45 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Haha.....

dammit, I was gonna post that.

Insert witty and/or humorous signature here.

by DbacksSkins on Apr 20, 2009 4:39 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

And you wonder

Why I didn’t give an “E. All of the above” option on the poll. Or even an F.

"Win, or die" -- Marquise de Merteuil

by Jim McLennan on Apr 20, 2009 11:30 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I did wonder

why you didn’t give a “7. Bob Melvin” option, actually.

Insert witty and/or humorous signature here.

by DbacksSkins on Apr 20, 2009 11:46 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Errr.... 6

Insert witty and/or humorous signature here.

by DbacksSkins on Apr 20, 2009 11:46 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Numbering. It's vastly over-rated

This post was looking only at the playing staff, not the powers behind the throne. I’ll get to that next weeked – unless we go on a six-game winning streak, in which case I’ll table the motion.

"Win, or die" -- Marquise de Merteuil

by Jim McLennan on Apr 20, 2009 12:31 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Why can't these players reach that potential here?
Whilst the POTENTIAL is clearly there for some players, I can’t see the logic in basing two thirds of your lineup on potential.

We all were looking forward at the end of 2006 for the future when we started bringing up the kids that everyone in baseball agreed had a bunch of talent. Many felt that 2007 would be that year where they got their feet wet and get that experience and that starting in 2008, we would be the power in the NL West; for many years to come.
What happened? Did all the scouts have it that wrong?
We’ve seen all of them struggle mightily at times with the very basics of the game. Hitting, fielding, base running. Everyone else in the league made adjustments to them, but yet, they can’t seem to find that groove again and adjust back. To me, this speaks to a flaw in our system. We can dump our current load of players, but I don’t have the confidence bringing in a new batch will be any better. Quentin seems to be doing well as is Ugglia. It would be a stab to the heart to throw in the towel on this bunch only to watch them take off with another team.
I say find this flaw in our player development and deal with that first, then look at other options. I would hate to bring up Whitesell at this point in time and then watch his talent and potential be wasted and go for naught.

"If you'd need to know, you'd know. but they decided that you don't need to know,so you don't. So stop thinking about what you don't know because you don't need to know what you think you need to know about!"

by unnamedDBacksfan on Apr 20, 2009 3:49 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Quentin is on pace for 82hrs. I know if they were to give up on upton in saw 2 or 3 years he would blow up in another uniform. 40/40 guy, trade him, he looks like he is home sick or something, trade him to rays for crawford. So he can be with his bro

by jaydubsped on Apr 20, 2009 10:24 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

ooh.

since we’re reuniting people, maybe we can trade Stephen Drew to the Red Sox, for…..well….. since we do so great with trades, maybe Masterson?

"Score some damn runs, or the baby pandas die"

by sergey606 on Apr 20, 2009 11:19 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Maybe

we could get Jason Varitek. He’s got a lot of veteraniness.

Insert witty and/or humorous signature here.

by DbacksSkins on Apr 20, 2009 11:22 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

yeah

I was trying to find someone who is close to retirement and/or just sucks

"Score some damn runs, or the baby pandas die"

by sergey606 on Apr 20, 2009 4:13 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Also has a fancy C on his uniform

That also counts for extra.

Babe Ruth was a jerk but baseball's still a beautiful game - Dean Winchester

by luckycc on Apr 21, 2009 3:34 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

The "core"

As I see it, we have no choice but to stick with the core that we have now. Sure, we can tweak it a bit by trading Webb and getting a front line player and a couple of prospects, but we still have to fill out the lineup every day. The majority of our young players – Upton, Young, Drew, Jackson, Reynolds, Snyder, Tracy – have to realize their potential, or the D-Backs will stink for years to come. This is the group we built around and there is no realistic option for significant change.

What concerns me is the observation made by unnamedDbacksfan – players seem to do so much better after leaving the D-Backs. Sometimes this is just perception bias (and mmaybe it is in this case) – but Uggla, Quentin, and now (maybe) Bonafacio. Is there something wrong with the way we are handling our young players?

by Craig from Az on Apr 20, 2009 12:12 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Too early to say that

in Bonny’s case.

Insert witty and/or humorous signature here.

by DbacksSkins on Apr 20, 2009 2:42 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Guys,

" I wish you would step back from that ledge my friend[s]"

As Jim pointed out, the ’01 World Seires team was in the same spot we were at 4-8 and they had both Johnson and Schilling, in fact the all of the 4 wins were started by either of our aces. Otherwise, the pitching that year had been horrendous.

To me, while the offensive struggles are certainly concerning and frustrating, I am happy to see that our pitching, especially the starters have been fairly sharp (save an outing or two). Andall of this has been without the guy that finished in the top two in Cy Young voting the past 3 years. As long as the pitching remains a constant (and all signs seem to point to that happeneing) this team has a chance.

The ’01 team was able to turn it around quickly, getting back to .500 a mere 8 games after their 4-8 start, and this team can too. Lets all just take a deep breath and give the 2009 season a chance to unfold before we…

“Cut ties with all the lies that we’ve been living in”

You know how to cut to the core of me, Baxter. You're so wise. Like a miniature Buddha, covered with hair.

by Snake Bitten on Apr 20, 2009 12:26 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

....then again,

presumably we won’t have a LH juicer power bat this year who slugs 57 HRs, either.

Insert witty and/or humorous signature here.

by DbacksSkins on Apr 20, 2009 2:44 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Not yet

anyways.

Oh Baaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaarry…

What? neh-are you se-no! No! I hh I I don't even't know what you're sayinhow whatdoyou whatdoyou talking about you want me to go away? I I I I can't no! I can't I can't just leave I - ...you can't leave me!

by soco on Apr 20, 2009 8:14 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I thought there was an unspoken rule

never to mention a certain LH juicer power bat on the 2001 team? I’m going to ignore that comment and pretend I don’t know what you’re talking about.

Zug be with you.
And also with you.

by NewJackCity on Apr 20, 2009 8:25 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

- cough cough -

NL West TempestTeapot
Nothing matters , and what if it did?

by victor frankenstein on Apr 21, 2009 10:35 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

That's why we need to hire another one

Photobucket

Do you mind if we borrow him?

What? neh-are you se-no! No! I hh I I don't even't know what you're sayinhow whatdoyou whatdoyou talking about you want me to go away? I I I I can't no! I can't I can't just leave I - ...you can't leave me!

by soco on Apr 21, 2009 10:42 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

The growing consensus is that the man has left the building , never to return.

Inactivity , widespread blackballingdistaste , declining abilities all point to the end of Barry The Ballplayer.

Scenes We’d Like To See: Barry The Coach.

NL West TempestTeapot
Nothing matters , and what if it did?

by victor frankenstein on Apr 21, 2009 11:09 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Agreed,

with the possible exception of the coaching thing.

Insert witty and/or humorous signature here.

by DbacksSkins on Apr 21, 2009 11:10 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Oh I know

it was just something that got thrown around last year, and in spite of my better judgement I’d probably be okay with him on the team.

What? neh-are you se-no! No! I hh I I don't even't know what you're sayinhow whatdoyou whatdoyou talking about you want me to go away? I I I I can't no! I can't I can't just leave I - ...you can't leave me!

by soco on Apr 21, 2009 7:35 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

he's still awesome

"Score some damn runs, or the baby pandas die"

by sergey606 on Apr 21, 2009 1:52 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

"So what do we do now"

Well, I think our only option is to just ride out the season and then make moves in the offseason. I don’t see any hitter out there that we can get that would make a difference. There isn’t an Adam Dunn that we can trade for, out of the free agents this year one that I think could help our team is Adrian Beltre, but he’s not going to be the difference maker that makes our offense go from bad to good. So there is not point in giving guys up for him.

One option I thought of was Nate McLouth, but some thing with Beltre don’t think he would be the difference in our offense going from bad to good, so there would be no point in giving guys up for him.

This is why I say wait until the offseason, maybe a good hitter will demand a trade and we can get him by using Webb or prospects.

Because this is Arizona.

by damdrs1717 on Apr 20, 2009 1:30 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

I've held

the opinion before the season, and I still hold it now: if the Diamondbacks aren’t contending this year we can expect the Baby Backs 2.0 experiment to be over. That doesn’t mean every player will be booted, but I would hope and imagine that the FO would be willing to seriously consider rebuilding. Going back through the standings, there are quite a few teams that have charged out of nowhere to win a division once, and then completely such the next few years or more when they realize their “golden team” had considerable flaws or was too lucky.

We still have starting pitching, but the offense is too inconsistent to back them up. This might more acceptable if we could build a bullpen, but that seems to be as about a sure thing as playing Russian roulette. Do we risk moving one of our better players to get another “sure thing” like Rauch?

After saying all that, however, I do think there should be a period of seeing precisely what kind of team emerges for the long term season. After two weeks we can see how bad the slumping Diamondbacks are, now let’s see if they can balance that out. Of course, the leash needs to be kept pretty short otherwise the Diamondbacks could find themselves completely out of any race by the end of May.

What? neh-are you se-no! No! I hh I I don't even't know what you're sayinhow whatdoyou whatdoyou talking about you want me to go away? I I I I can't no! I can't I can't just leave I - ...you can't leave me!

by soco on Apr 20, 2009 8:18 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

What do we do now?

Keep playing like last night.

by emilylovesthedbacks on Apr 21, 2009 12:36 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

+1

"He can't re-educate them in camps! He'd have to educate them first."

by kishi on Apr 21, 2009 1:11 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Go Dbacks

I’m also in the “concerned players perform better away from the club” camp. I hope that the first two weeks were just a slow start and the team will get the kinks worked out – I’d love to see the play more consistent. This isn’t last April and it’s not last September either.

The fact that the players seem unable to reach their full potential points to a coaching issue for me. It’s not one player struggling, it’s everybody. Now, low morale can explain somethings, especially if the guys are expecting to lose. But there is a possibility that coaching isn’t where it needs to be and players are not imptoving or are being allowed to keep bad habits (see: Grace’s comments about Upton wrapping his bat too far back over his shoulder).

Babe Ruth was a jerk but baseball's still a beautiful game - Dean Winchester

by luckycc on Apr 21, 2009 3:56 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

I don't necessarily agree

with the “players always succeed away from the Dbacks” stance. I think it’s just that they’re much more noticeable when they do. Nobody here is complaining about Sergio Santos, Andrew Good or Mike Gosling. And what about players that perform better once they show up here? Yusmeiro Petit, Chad Qualls, for example?

Insert witty and/or humorous signature here.

by DbacksSkins on Apr 21, 2009 4:13 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

True

Individual mileage does vary. I’m more likely, though, to believe that problems with the coaching created difficulties with certain players who did go on to succeed elsewhere than I am to believe that those players were misevaluated. Given the difficulties with the lineup this year (and last), this makes sense to me.

Of course, our current crop of players could be struggling because they were misevaluated and expected to perform at a higher level than they are capable of achieving, so it’s a bit of a circular argument.

But if asked what’s wrong with the team, I vote coaching.

Babe Ruth was a jerk but baseball's still a beautiful game - Dean Winchester

by luckycc on Apr 22, 2009 1:33 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Okay,

since the Dbacks couldn’t keep up with what I said they should do…

Fire Bob Melvin, overhaul the coaching staff, and get rid of Rauch and Tony Clark. Yes, I can see where TC is considered “veteran leadership” but he could do that as a bench coach and open up a roster spot for Whitesell.

I have no idea what to do about the bullpen. I get the feeling that if we had a decent manager that recognized his players’ weaknesses (Rauch CANNOT pitch when we’re up by one; Schoenweis CANNOT pitch to righties; etc) things might go a bit better, but the bullpen has just been the suckage that causes all our problems. Focus the draft on relief pitching, maybe? I honestly do not know anymore.

by emilylovesthedbacks on Apr 22, 2009 12:56 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

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