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SB Nation Awards: Rookie of the Year

Moving on to the next in the series of SB Nation awards, we have the voting for Rookie of the Year. In contrast to the Manager of the Year award yesterday, which was a landslide for Jim Tracy, this was a great deal closer. The top four contenders all received between six and nine first place votes and it was largely the distinctions further down the rankings which decided the final victory. One thing, however, remained unchanged: the word "Diamondbacks" was not to be heard on any voter's lips, despite the decent performance by the like of Gerardo Parra in this area.

After the jump, we'll go through the ballot in detail, and throw a few reminders at you, in case you're not quite able to put a face to the name.

Star-divide

Rk Player Team 1st 2nd 3rd Pts
1 Tommy Hanson Atlanta Braves 9 9 6 78
2 J.A. Happ Philadelphia Phillies 6 9 7 64
3 Andrew McCutchen Pittsburgh Pirates 8 3 5 54
4 Chris Coghlan Florida Marlins 7 5 4 54
5 Dexter Fowler Colorado Rockies - 3 1 10
6 Randy Wells Chicago Cubs - - 6 6
7 Garrett Jones Pittsburgh Pirates 1 - - 5
8 Casey McGehee Milwaukee Brewers - 1 2 5
9 Seth Smith Colorado Rockies - 1 - 3

Arizona faced winner Tommy Hanson on August 17th in Atlanta., and he pitched pretty well that day, giving up two runs on six hits over six innings - he walked none and struck out seven. Arizona lost 8-4, with Hanson taking the win, though to be honest, the six unearned runs allowed by Max Scherzer that day, probably had something to do with it as much as Hanson.  Curiously, runner-up J.A. Happ posted exactly the same line against us, when we faced the Phillies on July 29th. However, he ended up with the loss, the Braves running into the buzz-saw which was, er, Yusmeiro Petit. The Petit Unit shut down the potent Philadelphia line-up for six innings, and Justin Upton drove in three runs as we blanked the visitors 4-0. Based on their performance against us, Randy Wells would probably be a Rookie of the Year contender, as he blanked us for seven innings during the final series at Wrigley.

On the position player side, if we were going purely on performances against the Diamondbacks, neither Andrew McCutchen nor Chris Coghlan would likely have qualified, as neither made much of an impression. In six games, McCutchen went 5-for-29, with no home-runs and one RBI, though five walks helped elevate his OPS to a merely mediocre .693. Chris Coghlan would have been delighted with anything like that: in seven games, he was 4-for-25, posting a line of .162/.192/.200, and a K:BB ratio of 6:1. Better numbers were posted by Casey McGehee (7-for-12 with two HR), though he only played in three games against Arizona. In more at-bats, the award would go to Dexter Fowler, who in 38 PAs versus the Diamondbacks, was at .310/.459/.586, with three stolen bases.

My ballot went Happ, Coghlan, Hanson. Even though Happ was relatively old for a rookie, at 26, you can't ignore a 145 ERA+. Some of the raw numbers, such as WHIP, went in Hanson's favor, and at age only 22, he's got astonishing potential - he's probably more likely to win a Cy Young down the road, and become another in the long line of great young Braves pitching. However, Happ threw almost forty more innings and was also working in a much less pitcher-friendly environment. Despite his struggles against us, Coghlan flourished, ending the year with a .321 batting average, sixth-best in the National League. He also had a credible K:BB ratio of 77:53, and didn't embarrass himself with the glove, in his first professional year playing the outfield.

Moving over to the American League, it's really hard to comment meaningfully, as I barely know anything about most of the contenders. Still, got to love any players named "Elvis," especially one playing in Texas. I note Andrew Bailey getting almost twice as many first-place votes, but also getting left off almost half the ballots, and that cost him first-place. It'll always be tough for a closer to win this award. Further down the list, I note former Diamondbacks prospect Brett Anderson, traded to Oakland as part of the Dan Haren trade. He had a solid year, especially given he's only 21. In July, he had a complete-game shutout against the Red Sox, and less than two weeks later, took a perfect game into the eighth. Haren didn't come cheaply...

Rk Player Team 1st 2nd 3rd Pts
1 Elvis Andrus Texas Rangers 6 9 6 63
2 Andrew Bailey Oakland Athletics 11 1 3 61
3 Jeff Niemann Tampa Bay Rays 3 5 3 33
4 Rick Porcello Detroit Tigers 2 7 2 33
5 Brett Anderson Oakland Athletics 5 1 3 31
6 Gordon Beckham Chicago White Sox 1 2 8 19
7 Nolan Reimold Baltimore Orioles 1 - 1 6
8 Matt Wieters Baltimore Orioles - 1 3 6
9 Brad Bergesen Baltimore Orioles - 1 - 3
10 Ricky Romero Toronto Blue Jays - 1 - 3
11 Travis Snider Toronto Blue Jays - 1 - 3

Tomorrow, it'll be the Cy Young award, and one hopes that Dan Haren might perhaps merit a mention on a ballot or two there?

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My notes

1. Chris Coghlan – Monster .320 year! Good player all year long, high OBP, at the top of the lists for most categories.
2. J.A. Happ – Phillies needed his arm this year, played really well for any pitcher, let alone a rookie! Balanced bullpen/rotation changes well.
3. Andrew McCutchen – also could’ve gone for Garret Jones, both are great players. Has better numbers than Parra (if I’d had 5 spots, would’ve put him 5th) with 1 month less playing time. Definite spark plug for the Pirates, made an immediate impact, will be a big force for years to come.

WTF?? I don’t think I even looked at Hanson!

Awww yay for Bailey getting so many first place votes for the AL!! I hope he places 2nd (I think 1st is a long shot) in the actual RotY voting.

Things ’Skins has in common with foulpole for 400, please. -- soco

by snakecharmer on Nov 10, 2009 12:54 PM EST reply actions  

Rookie of the Year

Looking at the list it looks like players from East Coast teams. Thats why Parra not listed or even given a say. What does it take for West Coast teams to be considered for anything. Just my take on it.

by jimaz62 on Nov 10, 2009 2:07 PM EST reply actions  

Might be different in the CY voting

I think you’ll find the NL Central and NL West getting most of the love there. Can’t argue too much with the top picks here, they were certainly among the best available IMHO. I’m with Charmer – Parra is not a top three pick this year.

"Win, or die" -- Marquise de Merteuil

by Jim McLennan on Nov 10, 2009 3:44 PM EST up reply actions  

It was all around an excellent year for rookies.

In a normal year Fowler or Wells would have had a good chance at nabbing the prize. This year, no chance. No sense crying over spilled milk, but I just don’t see how Hanson wins this prize over Happ. Happ pitched as well as Hanson, pitched more innings, and was more instrumental to his team’s success than Hanson. I think this was given to Hanson because he is all sparkly and prospecty. Snakecharmer’s right, McCutchen or Coghlan also probably deserved it more than Hanson.

"Love is the most important thing in the world, but baseball is pretty good too. " ~Greg, age 8

by njjohn on Nov 10, 2009 2:34 PM EST reply actions  

I think this was given to Hanson because he is all sparkly and prospecty

If this were an MVP vote, I’d be inclined to vote for Happ based on innings disparity. That’s alot of extra value. But a RotY vote, at least to me, is as much about demonstrated potential as it is about seasonal valuation.

On the position side, McCutchen accumulated less counting stats than Coghlan, because Coghlan was called up a month earlier. McCutchen’s two yrs younger, a better defender and a better baserunner.

On the slab, Happ got the call two months before Hanson, not by virtue of being a “better rookie” so much as being a more established 26 year old with major league cups o’ coffee in 2007 and 2008. Aside from the IP, Happ and Hanson look pretty similar, but a closer look reveals they’re quite different pitchers. Hanson strikes out more guys, and his ERA breakdowns (ERC & DIPS) are quite a bit better. Do most voters care about that? No. I think they care more about ‘sparkly and prospecty’, the fact he’s only 22 and for all intents and purposes, already better than Happ.

I’d vote for either Hanson or McCutchen, with Happ thiird.

If the FO is the focus of anything, something is seriously wrong with the picture ! - unnamedDBacksfan 2/20/09

by Diamondhacks on Nov 10, 2009 5:08 PM EST reply actions  

McCutchen will definitely get some actual votes for RotY

I was very impressed with what I saw of him whenever I watched Pirates games.

Things ’Skins has in common with foulpole for 400, please. -- soco

by snakecharmer on Nov 10, 2009 7:40 PM EST up reply actions  

Well, I suppose since there is no written definition of how the award ought to be voted on one can vote as he or she deems worthy, but assuming a player does not have any other professional experience (say, Japanese ball), I think it’s rather dubious to vote for a player based on future potential. My understanding of the award would be to vote for the rookie who had the best YEAR, not the best prospects for future years.

Based on that, I don’t think it’s debatable that Happ had a superior year than Hanson

"Love is the most important thing in the world, but baseball is pretty good too. " ~Greg, age 8

by njjohn on Nov 10, 2009 9:58 PM EST up reply actions  

I agree with you that Happ was more valuable than Hanson in 2009, but only because Hanson wasn’t called up until June. While Hanson was in the majors, I think he slightly outpitched Happ (better ERA, WHIP, K/9, K/BB, H/9), but Happ still had 38 more IP.

by Amit on Nov 11, 2009 3:41 AM EST up reply actions  

Hanson might have slightly outpitched Happ. I won’t contend with that statement. But 38 IP over 2 months is a very large contribution gap.

"Love is the most important thing in the world, but baseball is pretty good too. " ~Greg, age 8

by njjohn on Nov 11, 2009 2:21 PM EST up reply actions  

assuming a player does not have any other professional experience

Happ had a tiny bit of major league experience in 2007. He had major league experience in 2008. He pitched very well in 2009, but it was his third rookie year. He’s 27 years old. I understand MLB designates him as a rookie and rules are rules – I dont think he should be disqualified. But I do think that kind of “getting his feet wet” career arc can be discounted some compared to a 22 year old kid ( ie McCutcheon, Hanson, Parra theoretically) getting his first genuine taste of the majors.

When Happ was really a rookie (2007-2008), he was not only older than those other guys – he wasnt as good! He was pretty ordinary. It’s not easy to sit in a big league dugout or bullpen for the very first time, and outperform most of your elders. McCutcheon and Hanson did exactly that. Happ did not – at least not until he had a couple years to absorb the big league experience.

I’m judging rookies on demonstrated MLB skills, not merely future potential. You have to accomplish something of quality. My frustration with an MVP-style evaluation (quality x quantity=best rookie) is that rookie playing time is more arbitrary than it is for established players. Fantastic rookies sometimes get called up late, for a variety of reasons beyond their control.

If the FO is the focus of anything, something is seriously wrong with the picture ! - unnamedDBacksfan 2/20/09

by Diamondhacks on Nov 11, 2009 2:59 PM EST up reply actions  

Small smaple size

But Neftali Feliz was uh-maze-ing.

Wear your own fur.

by Marc Fournier on Nov 11, 2009 2:54 AM EST reply actions  

Indeed he was. The best pitcher to hurl for the Rangers in YEARS.

"Love is the most important thing in the world, but baseball is pretty good too. " ~Greg, age 8

by njjohn on Nov 11, 2009 2:22 PM EST up reply actions  

Should Ryan Roberts have got consideration?

I was startled to discover that that 29-year old certainly didn’t have enough PA’s to lose his rookie status before this year. The only question is, whether he had enough pre-September days (45) on an active roster to bar him from consideration. Not been able to find that out for sure yet.

"Win, or die" -- Marquise de Merteuil

by Jim McLennan on Nov 13, 2009 6:18 PM EST reply actions  

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