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Diamondbacks 2, Nationals 0 - Balk This Way

Record: 45-45. Pace: 81-81. Change on last season: -3

Not quite the offensive surge I was hoping for. Four hits - including the side going 3-for-22 over more than six innings from the Nationals' bullpen - and two unearned runs are all we had to show on our side of the scoreboard. Thank heavens Webb and the A-pen were on top form, combining for a six-hit shutout, albeit against a team that has now posted zero runs in eleven games, That includes the past three times we have faced them, with Webb (twice) and Haren being largely responsible for the twenty-seven inning scoreless streak.

It certainly did no harm at all when opposing starter Odalis Perez was thrown out in the third after committing his second balk, the third such pitcher this season (Nolasco and Burnett being the others - the only Diamondback ever, was the Big Unit, on April 20th, 1999 vs Philadelphia). I can somewhat understand his frustration, since he isn't a balky pitcher - before today, his last such call was back in August 2006, and he only had fourteen in his career, going back to 1998. It wasn't the balks that got him tossed, however: It was charging home-plate umpire Angel Hernandez, who no doubt understood perfectly the Spanish-language profanities being hurled at him. I withhold judgment on whether they were genuine balks or not, following the lead of former umpire Ron Luciano, who once said, "I never called a balk in my life. I didn't understand the rule."

The first balk, in particular, proved crucial, as it moved Chris Burke - who had reached on an error - into scoring position. A single by Chris Young then brought Burke home, and that was all the offense Arizona would need. they did add another run in the sixth - though that was equally as dependent on a defensive mistake by Washington. Hammock hit a single to center, which went right past the Nationals fielder, and allowed Reynolds to score all the way from first. Outside those two gifts, our best chance was the fourth, when an Upton double put runners at second and third with one out. However, Hammock flew out, Burke was intentionally walked, and Webb struck out looking. Young and Reynolds each had a hit and a walk.

This was a game which was won by the pitching. Webb slugged his way through six scoreless innings, allowing six hits and two walks, but striking out six too, and bearing down whenever necessary. If that seemed to be quite often, Brandon was up to the challenge, leaving the Nationals 0-for-8 with runners in scoring position. Perhaps his best work was also in the fourth, after a Washington hit-and-run put men on the corners with one out. Flores and Pena became back-to-back strikeout victims, and another zero was posted on the board. The fifth was equally nerve-wracking, after a Reynolds error gave the Nationals a fourth out: a Webb walk loaded the bases, before he got Kearns to fly out to Young in center.

Brandon Webb seems to be throwing fewer pitches this season - it was 112 today, and that was only one below the most this year. I looked at Webb's career since he became a full-time starter, and divided the starts up into four categories, based on the number of pitches. Here are the results:

<= 90 91-100 101-110 111+ Avg. Med.
2008 3 8 5 3 97.8 98
2007 6 10 10 8 100.8 101.5
2006 4 10 16 3 100.8 103
2005 5 9 9 10 102.1 104
2004 7 11 13 4 97.8 100

Just to explain the difference between average and median. The former is the number of pitches, divided by the number of starts. The latter is the number of pitches where half his starts were more and half less - this is perhaps a better measure, since it helps reduce the impact of outings cut short by injury or ejection. It's notable that this is the first year since 2004 that Webb has had more starts at or below 100 pitches, than above - 11-8, even after today. Last year, the ratio was 16-18, and it was 14-19 each of the two seasons before that. At first, I thought that might be because he goes deeper into games in the second half, but that's not the case: he faced 28.2 batters per start before the All-Star break, and it dips slightly, to 27.4 after the break.

Impeccable - indeed, perfect - work by the bullpen. Qualls, Peña and Lyon retired all nine batters they faced, with a mere 28 pitches covering the final three innings. They therefore avoided any potentially stressful situations, such as the Nationals getting the tying run to the plate. Mind you, as the entire roster has only hit six homers in their last dozen games, putting someone on base wouldn't necessarily have been the worst thing in the world. Peña looked particularly effective, striking out two of the three batters he faced and touching 97 mph on the radar. Though I am probably not alone in taking more comfort from Qualls' solid 1-2-3 inning, as his performance becomes a good deal more important with Juan Cruz sitting on the disabled list.

280708120_diamondbacks_nationals_91071430_live_medium
[Click to enlarge, in new window]
Master of his domain: Brandon Webb, +38.1%
Honorable mention: Chris Young, +11.6%
God-emperor of suck: Orlando Hudson, -12.3%

Exactly 300 comments in the Gameday Thread today - thanks to some late padding! Also present were a good number of others, so thanks to the following for their participation: nihil67, TwinnerA, Muu, unnamedDBacksfan, Turambar, Zephon, soco, srdmad, dahlian, utahdbacksfan (welcome!), kishi, hotclaws, Diamondhacks, emilylovesthedbacks, luckycc, Wimb, garyho, BleedingSedonaRed, golfmanthee, SongBird and Geno Ardi. First time since the Oakland series that we've managed to put back-to-back wins on the board, and it gives us another shot tomorrow at three victories in a row - that would be the first time we've done so since May 16, having gone 0-4 in Arizona's attempts to three-peat since then.

Equally as important, it's looking set fair for a Dodgers defeat, as they are 7-1 down to the Braves in the bottom of the eighth. A win would once again give us sole possession of first place in the NL West. Elsewhere, Scott Hairston has gone 3-for-5 with a homer and three RBI for San Diego. His average, at time of writing, is up to .254: that would have been good enough for fourth-best in today's starting D-backs lineup, behind only Hudson (.298), Jackson (.296) and, just, Reynolds (.256). Our starting left-fielder, Burke went 0-for-3, dropping his season average to .168. utahdbacksfan asked a very pertinent question in the Gameday Thread, wondering if Augie Ojeda can play left-field...

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Ah, sole possession of first place, we missed you.

Not a pretty game, by any means, but we’ve lost plenty of ugly games already, so it is about time one went our way. Really, though, think about it. Foolish errors leading to runs leading to losses? Getting runners to third with one out and not being able to bring them in to score? It’s like the Diamondbacks are playing themselves….

"Evil lurks everywhere, often in plain sight... Can you lurk in plain sight? Or is that just walking?"

by kishi on Jul 9, 2008 3:12 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

No Comparison

Please. Don’t even think of putting these 2 offenses in the same class. That Nationals lineup must be among the weakest ever assembled.

Belliard leads their starting 8 with 7 HR’s. On the D’backs that would put him in a 3-way tie for 6th, just one ahead of Eric Byrnes.

RBI? Flores’ 30 puts him behind 6 of our starters, plus Chris Snyder.

But the most shocking stat of all is this. Their #4 and #5 hitters, Austin Kearns and Dmitri Young, have a grand total of 28 RBI between them. Conor Jackson and Mark Reynolds have 99!

by fjm235 on Jul 9, 2008 4:14 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Really?

Let’s look at their numbers for the month of June:

Arizona: .224/.291/.361, 21 home runs, 84 RBIs, 215 stirke outs
Washington: .251/.325/.371, 22 home runs, 84 RBIS, 185 strike outs

In May, the numbers edge slightly in Arizona’s favor: averages are a bit higher, the Diamondbacks have three more home runs and three more RBIs, though we still strike out more.

Outside of April, which we have to accept as a gross anomaly, it seems pretty comparable to me.

"Evil lurks everywhere, often in plain sight... Can you lurk in plain sight? Or is that just walking?"

by kishi on Jul 9, 2008 5:45 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Eh.....

K’s might not really be the best comparison, since we’ve struck out, in total, more than any other MLB team except the Padres and Marlins.

In fact, if you go by AB/Ks, we’re 2nd highest in the majors, at 4.33 ABs per strikeout. The Fish are the clear leaders, at a shocking 4.10. The Padres strike out every 4.37 AB. In the AL, the leaders are the A’s at 4.60, and the Indians at 4.63. Of course, neither of those teams has a hole in the 9 spot called “the pitcher”. Whether it’s by nature or nurture, this lineup has a lot of free swingers who are going to rack up the Ks. (I’m looking in YOUR direction, Mark Reynolds, Chris Young, and Justin Upton.

If it makes anyone feel slightly better about us striking out, 2 of the bottom 3 MLB teams in total strikeouts are the Mariners, with 475, and the Blue Jays, with 518. (Dbacks have 690) Those two teams are only batting .254 and .259, respectively, even with the DH….

Mark Reynolds: Turning me gay since '07

by DbacksSkins on Jul 9, 2008 10:40 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Yeah, strike outs probably weren’t the best comparison. But, since RBIs and home runs were specifically mentioned, I figured they deserved a mention, since for May and June, they were nearly identical.

"Evil lurks everywhere, often in plain sight... Can you lurk in plain sight? Or is that just walking?"

by kishi on Jul 9, 2008 2:08 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

A better comparison might simply be OPS.

As you indicated, the Nats had the better OPS than the Dbacks during our awful June. However, the Nationals are the worst hitting team by OPS on the season. Dbacks are “only” 18th. Is it all because of April?

April: .819 OPS, 2nd in majors
May: .731 OPS, 19th in majors
June: .652 OPS, 29th in majors
July (so far): .685 OPS, 20th in majors

On the other hand, the Nats:
April: .642, 29th
May: .676, 25th
June: .696, 25th
July (so far): .608, 30th

In short, yes; while from April to June we were in total free fall, the Nats have been consistently awful. While the July numbers come with all the obvious caveats of…. err, being taken from all of 8 games, (for example, the Nats have already had to face Brandon Webb) let’s hope that our slight offensive bounceback continues.

Also, the fact that our OPS dropped 46 points between May and July, and yet we only slipped one spot, tells you that it MUST be just before the ASB….

Mark Reynolds: Turning me gay since '07

by DbacksSkins on Jul 9, 2008 10:53 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

OT

Another interesting stat piece—Reynolds is now 2nd on the team in OPS at .839 (to CoJack’s .847), ahead of O-Dawg’s .822, with Upton 4th at .786. I’m surprised by that, although it’s obviously due to his (relatively) astronomical slugging %, at .502. The fact that Mark has the fewest ABs/HR (a Tony Clark-like 16.3) is not surprising. (Tracy, Upton and Drew are next)

Also, if we were to make a lineup strictly formed by OBP, it would go:

Augie, SS – .403 (.784)
CoJack, LF – .386 (.847)
O-Dawg, 2B – .356 (.822)
Jupton, RF – .353 (.786)
Snyder, C – .339 (.779)
Reynolds, 3B – .337 (.839)
Tracy, 1B – .324 (.768)
CY, CF – .305 (.725)
Pwnings, P – .321 (.675)

(OPS in parentheses)

I think, ATC, I kinda like that lineup…. which means it’ll probably never happen.

Mark Reynolds: Turning me gay since '07

by DbacksSkins on Jul 9, 2008 11:15 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

You know, you should never hope for injuries upon anyone,

but if there’s anyone I hope that gets injured, it’s probably Rich Harden.

Mark Reynolds: Turning me gay since '07

by DbacksSkins on Jul 9, 2008 10:23 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Don't think of it as wishing for an injury

Think of it as hoping he gets some unexpected vacation time. Everybody likes vacation!

"Evil lurks everywhere, often in plain sight... Can you lurk in plain sight? Or is that just walking?"

by kishi on Jul 9, 2008 1:47 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

True!

Plus, he gets paid either way!

Mark Reynolds: Turning me gay since '07

by DbacksSkins on Jul 9, 2008 1:56 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Is it really hoping

if it’s the inevitable?

By all means hit at a glacial pace. You know how that thrills me.

by soco on Jul 9, 2008 2:38 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Of course.

It’s like hoping Osama ibn Laden will die. It’s inevitable, but still.

Mark Reynolds: Turning me gay since '07

by DbacksSkins on Jul 9, 2008 2:47 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Well, not exactly

more like hoping Prior will be injured. It’s almost inevitable.

By all means hit at a glacial pace. You know how that thrills me.

by soco on Jul 9, 2008 2:52 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I'll just throw this out there

I’ve read a few articles on the Harden deal and most of htem describe Sean Gallagher (the pitcher Oakland got back in the deal) in glowing terms – exceptional prospect, etc. Here are Gallagher’s career minor league stats alongside our friend Yusmeiro Petit (with /9IP totals):
Gallagher: 22 yr – 6+ mo 2.77 ERA 481 IP 1.24 WHIP 482 K (9.02/9IP) 188 BB (3.52/9IP) 26 HR (0 .49/9IP)
Petit 23yr – 7+mo 3.41 ERA 596 IP 1.07 WHIP 624 K (9.42) 141 BB ( 2.13) 52 HR (0.79)

Majors looks like this:
Gallagher 5.28 ERA 85 ERA+ 73.1 IP 1.51 WHIP 54 K (6.62) 34 BB (4.17) 9 HR (1.10)
Petit 5.75 ERA 79 ERA+ 97 IP 1.46 WHIP 68 K (6.31) 28 BB (2.60) 20 HR (1.86)

As a further comparison, they both have struggled out of the bullpen in the majors (7.71 & 7.41 ERAs) but have done much, much better as starters (4.45 & 4.86).

I’m not sure how they REALLY compare as prospects but Petit’s numbers seem to compare pretty favorably to Gallagher and Billy Beane just traded for that guy. I will say one huge difference between them is that Petit has struggled every time he has stepped up a level but once he has adapted, he’s fared nicely. Gallagher OTOH has been pretty consistent at every level.

by golfmanthee on Jul 9, 2008 11:01 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Definitely

a nice player to get back for Jorge Julio.

However, Petit’s numbers are certainly buoyed by his phenomenal last start, and I think we all agree that he won’t be tossing many outings like that…. nice as it would be. But I could easily see him as a very nice replacement 6th starter for EdGon, assuming Max takes RJ’s spot in the rotation sometime next year. (If not from the beginning) How many more years do we have Double D under contract?

Mark Reynolds: Turning me gay since '07

by DbacksSkins on Jul 9, 2008 11:18 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Actually

Petit had 3 similar starts last year to his last one (6IP, 1 R, 2 H, 4 K, 0 BB):
4/22 Giants 7 IP, 2 R, 4H, 5K, 0 BB – I remember this one, solo shots to Feliz & Bonds otherwise gooseeggs
7/22 Cubs 6 IP, 0 R, 3 H, 5 K, 0 BB
9/30 Rockies (in Denver) 5 IP, 0 R, 4 H, 4 K, 1 BB – remember the Rockies were still battling for a playoff spot so this was their regular lineup

Actually, he hasn’t been allowed to pitch deep into games in his starts (only 3 of 11 Dbacks starts have gone 6 IP and he has never thrown 90 pitches in a game in the majors for either the DBacks or Marlins) but of his 11 DBacks starts, 7 have been 5+ IP and 3 or fewer runs.

by golfmanthee on Jul 9, 2008 11:37 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I definitely remember the Cubs start.

Petit probably hasn’t been allowed to go deep into games because he’s only 23. I’m not exactly surprised, given how careful the team has been with Scherzer.

Mark Reynolds: Turning me gay since '07

by DbacksSkins on Jul 9, 2008 12:18 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Oh -- on another note,

Angel Hernandez needs to be dragged out back and given the horse-with-a-broken-leg treatment.

Whether that includes being sent to the knacker’s, I don’t know.

Ben? Consider adding “Angel Hernandez sucks” to your signature.

Mark Reynolds: Turning me gay since '07

by DbacksSkins on Jul 9, 2008 12:22 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Meh

While not my favorite umpire, he came through for us on this one.

Fire Bob Melvin. Free Jamie D'Antona. Eric Byrnes Sucks.

by nihil67 on Jul 9, 2008 1:08 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

That should not

forgive his past transgressions!

Mark Reynolds: Turning me gay since '07

by DbacksSkins on Jul 9, 2008 1:24 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I guess

But we see him behind the plate, what, like 5 times a year? I have to watch Melvin every game. It’d be like me saying I hate the Chicago White Sox play by play guy. It’s a true statement, but I watch maybe 3 or 4 of their games a year on WGN… so it’s just not at the same level of disgust.

Fire Bob Melvin. Free Jamie D'Antona. Eric Byrnes Sucks.

by nihil67 on Jul 9, 2008 2:30 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Except

that he doesn’t influence the game.

Mark Reynolds: Turning me gay since '07

by DbacksSkins on Jul 9, 2008 2:37 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Hernandez was the ump

At the game that I was at with Jim,....I was giving him an earful and his daughters just happened to be sitting on the other side of the aisle and complained and asked me to stop yelling at their father.

by shoewizard on Jul 9, 2008 3:36 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

For amusement

Googled “worst baseball umpires”, and this page on how much Angel Hernandez sucks was #4 on the results.

by Jim McLennan on Jul 9, 2008 4:10 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I read

until I saw “MLB Forums…” and then I didn’t need to read anymore.

By all means hit at a glacial pace. You know how that thrills me.

by soco on Jul 9, 2008 4:19 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

That's funny.

Fire Bob Melvin. Free Jamie D'Antona. Eric Byrnes Sucks.

by nihil67 on Jul 9, 2008 5:04 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

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